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Real Betis crestReal Betis
v
Osasuna crestOsasuna

La Liga | Sun 11 Oct, 17:30

Real Betis v Osasuna Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 17:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Real Betis, currently third in La Liga, host Osasuna who sit 14th, in a fixture where attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities shape expectations. Betis have scored 1.4 goals per game but also concede at the same rate, while Osasuna's defense has been leakier, conceding 2.4 goals per match. Both sides have shown mixed recent form, with Betis collecting 10 points and Osasuna 4 from their last five games. The tactical setup suggests an open contest with chances at both ends, making goal-scoring from both teams a plausible outcome in this mid-table clash.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Real Betis averages 1.4 goals scored and conceded per game this season.
  • Osasuna concedes 2.4 goals per match, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Both teams have combined BTTS rates of 60% (Betis) and 40% (Osasuna).
  • Betis create significantly more shots (17.8) and shots on target (7) than Osasuna (8.2 shots, 3 SOT).
  • Recent form shows Betis with 10 points and Osasuna with 4 points from last five matches.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 66.7% probability, reflecting Betis' balanced scoring and conceding pattern and Osasuna's defensive vulnerabilities. Betis' high shot volume and Osasuna's leaky defense increase the chance of goals at both ends. The 11.1% at 1.8 confirms this as a positive-value bet with solid . No data limitations affect this assessment, and recent form supports an open game with goal opportunities for both sides.

Model Probability66.7% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+11.1 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge66.7% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+11.1 pts)
Strong positive
Betis Attack and Defense1.4 goals scored and conceded per game
Positive
Osasuna Defense2.4 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Shot Volume DisparityBetis average 17.8 shots vs Osasuna 8.2
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Teams to Score is a tactically sound pick given Real Betis' balanced attack and defense and Osasuna's defensive struggles. Betis' ability to generate high shot volumes combined with Osasuna's tendency to concede goals makes goals likely at both ends. This bet captures the attacking openness expected in this La Liga fixture.

Main risk

However, defensive concentration remains important.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Real Betis' offensive dynamism paired with Osasuna's defensive vulnerabilities creates a fertile ground for goals from both sides. The statistical and tactical signals align well for a BTTS outcome in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Real Betis averages 1.4 goals scored and conceded per game this season.

Osasuna concedes 2.4 goals per match, indicating defensive frailty.

Both teams have combined BTTS rates of 60% (Betis) and 40% (Osasuna).

Betis create significantly more shots (17.8) and shots on target (7) than Osasuna (8.2 shots, 3 SOT).

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals per game, indicating a relatively high-scoring history.
  • Both teams' over 2.5 goals rates at 40% suggest moderate frequency of open games.
  • This trend supports the expectation of an attacking tempo with goal opportunities for both sides, aligning with the BTTS pick.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Real Betis1.4
Avg goals scored
Osasuna0.8
Real Betis1.4
Avg goals conceded
Osasuna2.4
Real Betis60%
BTTS rate
Osasuna40%
Real Betis40%
Over 2.5 goals
Osasuna40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Betis score and concede at a rate of 1.4 goals per game, while Osasuna concedes 2.4 goals per match, highlighting defensive weaknesses. Betis' 60% BTTS rate and Osasuna's 40% rate suggest a moderate likelihood both teams will score, supported by an average of 2.9 goals in their last 10 meetings, pointing to an open game with goals at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Real Betis to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Osasuna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Real Betis Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Osasuna to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The 66.7% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+11.1 pts). Real Betis show a 60% BTTS rate and Osasuna show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Both Teams To Score (Yes) For this selection to win, Real Betis and Osasuna must both score at least one goal during 90 minutes.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Real Betis

DWWWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 1L
20 Sep 2026A Deportivo La Coruna1-1
17 Sep 2026H Getafe1-0
14 Sep 2026A Villarreal2-1
04 Sep 2026H Real Madrid1-0
29 Aug 2026A Levante2-5

Osasuna

DLLLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 3L
19 Sep 2026H Rayo Vallecano1-1
16 Sep 2026A Atletico Madrid0-4
12 Sep 2026H Espanyol0-2
06 Sep 2026A Alaves2-5
31 Aug 2026H Getafe1-0
Best odds for this sectionReal Betis to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Osasuna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Real Betis Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Osasuna to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 19%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Recent form shows Betis earning 10 points with a 1.4 goals per game average, maintaining offensive consistency. Osasuna's 4 points and 0.8 goals per game reflect struggles but also defensive lapses with 2.4 goals conceded per match. This contrast suggests Betis will press forward while Osasuna remains vulnerable, supporting the BTTS outcome.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Real Betis Over 2.5
40%Osasuna Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals per game, indicating a relatively high-scoring history. Both teams' over 2.5 goals rates at 40% suggest moderate frequency of open games. This trend supports the expectation of an attacking tempo with goal opportunities for both sides, aligning with the BTTS pick.

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