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Real Betis crestReal Betis
v
Levante crestLevante

La Liga | Sat 23 May, 20:00

Real Betis v Levante Stats

Data last updated: Tue 09 Jun 2026, 06:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Real Betis face Levante in La Liga on Sat 23 May, 20:00. Real Betis possess an incredibly strong home setup at La Cartuja, remaining unbeaten in their last 10 home league matches. Levante are fighting desperately for survival and possess in-form striker Carlos Espi, meaning they can strike.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

) Real Betis hold supreme structural and regional momentum heading into this final day clash

  • At 6/5, Real Betis Win implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 37%.
  • Betis have won five of the last six home matches against Levante, with narrow margins remaining highly frequent.
  • Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for Real Betis.
  • Real Betis have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Real Betis Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Real Betis sit 5 in the table, while Levante sit 16, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

) Real Betis hold supreme structural and regional momentum heading into this final day clash is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 46% while the model sits nearer 37% (-8.9 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +12.3 pts edge at 1.57.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 37% for Real Betis Win sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for Real Betis. Betis have won five of the last six home matches against Levante, with narrow margins remaining highly frequent.

Model chance vs price37% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Negative
Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Real Betis have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Betis have won five of the last six home.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Real Betis Win is the preferred angle because betis have won five of the last six home matches against Levante, with narrow margins remaining highly frequent. Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for Real Betis. This is a high-volatility market with higher potential returns but significantly lower probability.

Main risk

This is a high-volatility market with higher potential returns but significantly lower probability.

Key Data Signals

Real Betis Win evidence

Betis have won five of the last six home matches against Levante, with narrow margins remaining highly frequent.

Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for Real Betis.

Real Betis have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Real Betis Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Real Betis sit 5 in the table, while Levante sit 16, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Real Betis Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Real Betis1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Levante1.8
    Real Betis1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Levante1.8
    Real Betis80%
    BTTS rate
    Levante60%
    Real Betis80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Levante60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 83%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickReal Betis to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 37% vs implied 44% · edge -6.9 pts
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Real Betis Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Real Betis to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Real Betis5.4
    Avg corners for
    Levante6
    Real Betis9.6
    Avg total corners
    Levante10.4
    Real Betis1.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Levante2
    Real Betis13.2
    Avg shots
    Levante16.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 51% · edge +13.5 pts
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Real Betis

    LWDWD
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 5D 2L
    17 May 2026A Barcelona1-3
    12 May 2026H Elche2-1
    09 May 2026A Real Sociedad2-2
    03 May 2026H Oviedo3-0
    24 Apr 2026H Real Madrid1-1

    Levante

    WWWLD
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 2D 2L
    17 May 2026H Mallorca2-0
    12 May 2026A Celta Vigo3-2
    08 May 2026H Osasuna3-2
    02 May 2026A Villarreal1-5
    27 Apr 2026A Espanyol0-0
    Market aligned with main pickReal Betis to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 37% vs implied 44% · edge -6.9 pts
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Real Betis Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Real Betis wins
    1Draws
    4Levante wins
    14 Sep 2025Levante v Real Betis2-2
    13 Feb 2022Levante v Real Betis2-4
    28 Nov 2021Real Betis v Levante3-1
    19 Mar 2021Real Betis v Levante2-0
    29 Dec 2020Levante v Real Betis4-3
    28 Jun 2020Levante v Real Betis4-2
    Market aligned with main pickReal Betis to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 37% vs implied 44% · edge -6.9 pts
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Real Betis to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    La Liga

    Real Betis38
    Played
    Levante38
    Real Betis1.6
    Avg goals for
    Levante1.2
    Real Betis1.3
    Avg goals against
    Levante1.6
    Real Betis10
    Clean sheets
    Levante9
    Market aligned with main pickReal Betis to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 37% vs implied 44% · edge -6.9 pts
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Real Betis Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Season data supports Real Betis to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    5Real Betis60381515811
    16Levante423811918-14
    Real Betis sit in position 5, while Levante sit in position 16, so table pressure belongs in the Real Betis Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Real Betis Over 2.5
    60%Levante Over 2.5
    4.2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Real Betis sit at 80% and Levante sit at 60% with the H2H average at 4.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.