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Rayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano
v
Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad

La Liga | Sun 26 Apr, 13:00

Rayo Vallecano v Real Sociedad Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 3, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 33% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 60%, so the current line is showing a +26.7-point value edge.
  • Rayo Vallecano have scored in 60% of the recent sample and Real Sociedad have scored in 80%, with BTTS rates of 20% and 60%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Rayo Vallecano have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Real Sociedad have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 3, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 33% · edge +26.7 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.55
Bet HERE @ 2.55
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

20%Rayo Vallecano Over 2.5
60%Real Sociedad Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Rayo Vallecano

WLWLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
23 Apr 2026H Espanyol1-0
12 Apr 2026A Mallorca0-3
03 Apr 2026H Elche1-0
22 Mar 2026A Barcelona0-1
16 Mar 2026H Levante1-1

Real Sociedad

LDWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
22 Apr 2026H Getafe0-1
11 Apr 2026H Alaves3-3
04 Apr 2026H Levante2-0
20 Mar 2026A Villarreal1-3
15 Mar 2026H Osasuna3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 77% · edge -1.7 pts
1.3
Bet HERE @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.55
Bet HERE @ 2.55
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Rayo Vallecano0.6
Avg goals scored
Real Sociedad1.8
Rayo Vallecano1
Avg goals conceded
Real Sociedad1.6
Rayo Vallecano20%
BTTS rate
Real Sociedad60%
Rayo Vallecano20%
Over 2.5 goals
Real Sociedad60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 33% · edge +26.7 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

2Rayo Vallecano wins
5Draws
3Real Sociedad wins
05 Oct 2025Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano0-1
16 Mar 2025Rayo Vallecano v Real Sociedad2-2
16 Jan 2025Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano3-1
18 Aug 2024Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano1-2
27 Jan 2024Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano0-0
29 Oct 2023Rayo Vallecano v Real Sociedad2-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 33% · edge +26.7 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.55
Bet HERE @ 2.55
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Rayo Vallecano7.2
Avg corners for
Real Sociedad6.8
Rayo Vallecano12.6
Avg total corners
Real Sociedad11.2
Rayo Vallecano2.6
Avg yellow cards
Real Sociedad2.6
Rayo Vallecano16.2
Avg shots
Real Sociedad13.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
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Over 4.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleO. Óskarsson Anytime GoalscorerO. Óskarsson · 7 goals · 1.84 SOT/90
84/100
Bet HERE
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O. Óskarsson 1+ Shot On TargetO. Óskarsson · 1.84 shots on target/90
83/100
Bet HERE
Jon Karrikaburu 2+ ShotsJon Karrikaburu · 3.31 shots/90
81/100
Bet HERE
Barrenetxea To Assist / Key Pass AngleBarrenetxea · 5 assists · 2.24 key passes/90
72/100
Bet HERE
T. Kubo To Be FouledT. Kubo · 2.98 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
R. Nteka Card RiskR. Nteka · 3 yellows · 3.09 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
O. Óskarsson
O. ÓskarssonReal Sociedad · Attacker
Goal threat88/100
Shots /902.49
SOT /901.84
Mikel Oyarzabal
Mikel OyarzabalReal Sociedad · Attacker
Goal threat73/100
Shots /902.05
SOT /901.21
Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de FrutosRayo Vallecano · Attacker
Goal threat60/100
Shots /901.8
SOT /900.99
Gorka Carrera
Gorka CarreraReal Sociedad · Attacker
Goal threat20/100
Shots /901.38
SOT /901.38
Jon Karrikaburu
Jon KarrikaburuReal Sociedad · Attacker
Goal threat27/100
Shots /903.31
SOT /901.32
R. Nteka
R. NtekaRayo Vallecano · Midfielder
Goal threat53/100
Shots /902.47
SOT /901.24
Ó. Trejo
Ó. TrejoRayo Vallecano · Midfielder
Goal threat18/100
Shots /901.23
SOT /901.23
Season team stats

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano36
Played
Real Sociedad36
Rayo Vallecano1
Avg goals for
Real Sociedad1.5
Rayo Vallecano1.2
Avg goals against
Real Sociedad1.6
Rayo Vallecano11
Clean sheets
Real Sociedad3
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 39% · edge +7.8 pts
2.55
Bet HERE @ 2.55
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Real Sociedad4536111213-1
10Rayo Vallecano4436101412-6

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.