Football Stats Hub

Rayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano
v
Alaves crestAlaves

La Liga | Thu 20 Aug, 20:00

Rayo Vallecano v Alaves Stats

Data last updated: Sat 03 Oct 2026, 14:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rayo Vallecano face Alaves in La Liga on Thu 20 Aug, 20:00. Rayo Vallecano return home on Thursday carrying the frustration of an opening-day defeat that arrived in the 97th minute, while Alaves travel to Vallecas after starting their La Liga campaign with a 3-0 win over Getafe.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 21/20, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 49%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 64%.
  • This balance supports a Both Teams To Score outcome, despite Rayo's recent clean sheets against Alaves at home.
  • Rayo Vallecano show a 100% BTTS rate and Alaves show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Rayo Vallecano average 1 goals scored and Alaves average 3, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 64% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 49% implied by the current price. Rayo Vallecano show a 100% BTTS rate and Alaves show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. This balance supports a Both Teams To Score outcome, despite Rayo's recent clean sheets against Alaves at home.

Model chance vs price64% model chance against roughly 49% implied
Strong positive
Rayo Vallecano show a 100% BTTS rate and Alaves show.Visible data support
Positive
Rayo Vallecano average 1 goals scored and Alaves average 3.Visible data support
Positive
This balance supports a Both Teams To Score outcome.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because this balance supports a Both Teams To Score outcome, despite Rayo's recent clean sheets against Alaves at home. Rayo Vallecano show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Alaves show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. That history should not obscure the visitors’ current attacking numbers, but it does sharpen the challenge.

Main risk

That history should not obscure the visitors’ current attacking numbers, but it does sharpen the challenge.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

This balance supports a Both Teams To Score outcome, despite Rayo's recent clean sheets against Alaves at home.

Rayo Vallecano show a 100% BTTS rate and Alaves show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Rayo Vallecano average 1 goals scored and Alaves average 3, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rayo Vallecano1
Avg goals scored
Alaves3
Rayo Vallecano2
Avg goals conceded
Alaves0
Rayo Vallecano100%
BTTS rate
Alaves0%
Rayo Vallecano100%
Over 2.5 goals
Alaves100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5

Continue the research

Useful next reads

La Liga hubfull betting preview for Rayo Vallecano v Alavescorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Alaves to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Rayo Vallecano Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Rayo Vallecano to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Alaves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rayo Vallecano

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
15 Aug 2026A Sevilla1-2

Alaves

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
15 Aug 2026H Getafe3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 62% · edge -0.1 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Alaves to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Rayo Vallecano Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Rayo Vallecano to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Alaves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Rayo Vallecano Over 2.5
100%Alaves Over 2.5
1.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Rayo Vallecano sit at 100% and Alaves sit at 100% with the H2H average at 1.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Loading deeper match data…