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Rayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano
v
Alaves crestAlaves

La Liga | Thu 20 Aug, 20:00

Rayo Vallecano v Alaves Stats

Data last updated: Thu 10 Sep 2026, 18:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rayo Vallecano face Alaves in La Liga on Thu 20 Aug, 20:00. Rayo Vallecano return home on Thursday carrying the frustration of an opening-day defeat that arrived in the 97th minute, while Alaves travel to Vallecas after starting their La Liga campaign with a 3-0 win over Getafe.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 21/20, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 49%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 64%.
  • This balance supports a Both Teams To Score outcome, despite Rayo's recent clean sheets against Alaves at home.
  • Rayo Vallecano show a 100% BTTS rate and Alaves show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Rayo Vallecano average 1 goals scored and Alaves average 3, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 64% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 49% implied by the current price. Rayo Vallecano show a 100% BTTS rate and Alaves show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. This balance supports a Both Teams To Score outcome, despite Rayo's recent clean sheets against Alaves at home.

Model chance vs price64% model chance against roughly 49% implied
Strong positive
Rayo Vallecano show a 100% BTTS rate and Alaves show.Visible data support
Positive
Rayo Vallecano average 1 goals scored and Alaves average 3.Visible data support
Positive
This balance supports a Both Teams To Score outcome.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because this balance supports a Both Teams To Score outcome, despite Rayo's recent clean sheets against Alaves at home. Rayo Vallecano show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Alaves show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. That history should not obscure the visitors’ current attacking numbers, but it does sharpen the challenge.

Main risk

That history should not obscure the visitors’ current attacking numbers, but it does sharpen the challenge.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

This balance supports a Both Teams To Score outcome, despite Rayo's recent clean sheets against Alaves at home.

Rayo Vallecano show a 100% BTTS rate and Alaves show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Rayo Vallecano average 1 goals scored and Alaves average 3, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rayo Vallecano1
Avg goals scored
Alaves3
Rayo Vallecano2
Avg goals conceded
Alaves0
Rayo Vallecano100%
BTTS rate
Alaves0%
Rayo Vallecano100%
Over 2.5 goals
Alaves100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5

Continue the research

Useful next reads

La Liga hubfull betting preview for Rayo Vallecano v Alavescorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Alaves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Alaves to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Rayo Vallecano Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Rayo Vallecano to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Rayo Vallecano2
Avg corners for
Alaves5
Rayo Vallecano3
Avg total corners
Alaves8
Rayo Vallecano4
Avg yellow cards
Alaves4
Rayo Vallecano6
Avg shots
Alaves18
Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 29%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 5.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rayo Vallecano

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
15 Aug 2026A Sevilla1-2

Alaves

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
15 Aug 2026H Getafe3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Alaves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Alaves to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Rayo Vallecano Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Rayo Vallecano to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7Rayo Vallecano wins
0Draws
3Alaves wins
23 May 2026Alaves v Rayo Vallecano1-2
14 Jan 2026Alaves v Rayo Vallecano2-0
26 Oct 2025Rayo Vallecano v Alaves1-0
29 Mar 2025Alaves v Rayo Vallecano0-2
26 Oct 2024Rayo Vallecano v Alaves1-0
10 Mar 2024Alaves v Rayo Vallecano1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Alaves to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Rayo Vallecano to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano4
Played
Alaves4
Rayo Vallecano1.8
Avg goals for
Alaves2.5
Rayo Vallecano2.5
Avg goals against
Alaves0.8
Rayo Vallecano0
Clean sheets
Alaves2
Best odds for this sectionAlaves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Load more odds for this section
Alaves to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Rayo Vallecano Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Rayo Vallecano to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Season data supports Alaves Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Alaves1043107
14Rayo Vallecano44112-3
Rayo Vallecano sit in position 14, while Alaves sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Rayo Vallecano Over 2.5
100%Alaves Over 2.5
1.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Rayo Vallecano sit at 100% and Alaves sit at 100% with the H2H average at 1.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Rayo Vallecano v Alaves prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

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Competition and hubs

La Liga hubLa Liga hubfull betting preview for Rayo Vallecano v Alavescorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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