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Rapid Vienna crestRapid Vienna
v
Ried crestRied

Bundesliga | Mon 25 May, 16:00

Rapid Vienna v Ried Stats

Data last updated: Sat 27 Jun 2026, 22:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rapid Vienna face Ried in Bundesliga on Mon 25 May, 16:00. Four of Ried's latest away league matches have concluded under 2.5 goals. Ried have won the last three meetings between the two clubs, scoring seven goals across those victories.

BT4Y best bet

Requires forecasting whether the total match score stays below or exceeds a defined number, like 2

  • At 4/5, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
  • 🎯 Selection Rationale: Under 2.5 Goals
  • Ried are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Rapid Vienna at 0.6.
  • BTTS rates of 40% for Rapid Vienna and 40% for Ried show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 60% for Under that scoring level sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Ried are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Rapid Vienna at 0.6. 🎯 Selection Rationale: Under 2.5 Goals

Model chance vs price60% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Neutral
Ried are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2.Visible data support
Positive
BTTS rates of 40% for Rapid Vienna and 40%.Visible data support
Positive
🎯 Selection Rationale: Under 2.5 GoalsArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because 🎯 Selection Rationale: Under 2.5 Goals Ried are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Rapid Vienna at 0.6. Mutandwa’s scoring numbers stand out not only because of the quantity, but because Ried often rely heavily on moments rather than sustained pressure.

Main risk

Mutandwa’s scoring numbers stand out not only because of the quantity, but because Ried often rely heavily on moments rather than sustained pressure.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

🎯 Selection Rationale: Under that scoring level

Ried are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Rapid Vienna at 0.6.

BTTS rates of 40% for Rapid Vienna and 40% for Ried show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Rapid Vienna3.4
Avg corners for
Ried4.6
Rapid Vienna9
Avg total corners
Ried9.8
Rapid Vienna0.8
Avg yellow cards
Ried2.2
Rapid Vienna6.8
Avg shots
Ried12
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 53% · edge +9.3 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rapid Vienna0.6
Avg goals scored
Ried1.2
Rapid Vienna1.8
Avg goals conceded
Ried1
Rapid Vienna40%
BTTS rate
Ried40%
Rapid Vienna40%
Over 2.5 goals
Ried40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 54% · edge +6.1 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for Rapid Vienna and 40% for Ried, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionRied to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 29% · edge +41.4 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Ried Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Rapid Vienna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Rapid Vienna to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Ried to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rapid Vienna

LLLLW
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
22 May 2026A Ried1-2
17 May 2026A Sturm Graz0-2
10 May 2026H Austria Vienna0-2
04 May 2026A Lask Linz1-3
26 Apr 2026H Red Bull Salzburg1-0

Ried

WWLLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
22 May 2026H Rapid Vienna2-1
19 May 2026H Wolfsberger AC2-1
16 May 2026A SCR Altach0-2
09 May 2026H Wolfsberger AC0-1
02 May 2026H FC BW Linz2-0
Best odds for this sectionRied to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 29% · edge +41.4 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
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Ried Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Rapid Vienna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Rapid Vienna to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Rapid Vienna wins
1Draws
4Ried wins
22 May 2026Ried v Rapid Vienna2-1
31 Jan 2026Ried v Rapid Vienna3-0
06 Dec 2025Rapid Vienna v Ried1-2
26 Oct 2025Ried v Rapid Vienna0-2
05 Apr 2023Rapid Vienna v Ried2-1
15 Oct 2022Ried v Rapid Vienna1-0
Best odds for this sectionRied to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 29% · edge +41.4 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Rapid Vienna to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
The head-to-head sample gives context for Ried to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Bundesliga

Rapid Vienna34
Played
Ried35
Rapid Vienna1.2
Avg goals for
Ried1.2
Rapid Vienna1.3
Avg goals against
Ried1.3
Rapid Vienna9
Clean sheets
Ried7
Best odds for this sectionRied to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 29% · edge +41.4 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Ried Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Rapid Vienna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Rapid Vienna to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Season data supports Ried to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Rapid Vienna33229671
9Ried28228410-4
5Rapid Vienna273212812-5
7Ried283212614-4
Rapid Vienna sit in position 5, while Ried sit in position 7, so table pressure belongs in the Under 2.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Rapid Vienna Over 2.5
40%Ried Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Rapid Vienna sit at 40% and Ried sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.