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Racing Club crestRacing Club
v
Caracas FC crestCaracas FC

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Fri 22 May, 01:00

Racing Club v Caracas FC Stats

Data last updated: Fri 12 Jun 2026, 05:00 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Racing Club face Caracas FC in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Fri 22 May, 01:00. Racing Club come in with 4 recent points and 1.75 goals per match, while Caracas FC have 9 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Caracas FC to Win

  • At 15, Caracas FC Win implies roughly 7%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • Caracas FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Racing Club.
  • Caracas FC have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Caracas FC Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Caracas FC Win sits against roughly 7% implied by the current price. Caracas FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Racing Club.

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 7% implied
Strong positive
Caracas FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 9.Visible data support
Positive
Caracas FC have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Caracas FC Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Caracas FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Racing Club. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Caracas FC Win evidence

Caracas FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Racing Club.

Caracas FC have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Caracas FC Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Caracas FC Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Racing Club6.25
    Avg corners for
    Caracas FC2.8
    Racing Club10
    Avg total corners
    Caracas FC7.6
    Racing Club2.25
    Avg yellow cards
    Caracas FC2.4
    Racing Club17
    Avg shots
    Caracas FC10
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 44% · edge +23.8 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
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    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 61%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Racing Club1.75
    Avg goals scored
    Caracas FC1.2
    Racing Club1.75
    Avg goals conceded
    Caracas FC0.8
    Racing Club100%
    BTTS rate
    Caracas FC60%
    Racing Club75%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Caracas FC20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 23% · edge +52.9 pts
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCaracas FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 7% · edge +55.9 pts
    15
    Check odds @ 15
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Caracas FC to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Racing Club

    LDLW
    Last 51W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 2L
    07 May 2026A Botafogo1-2
    29 Apr 2026A Caracas FC1-1
    15 Apr 2026H Botafogo2-3
    07 Apr 2026A Independiente Petrolero3-1

    Caracas FC

    WDWDD
    Last 52W 3D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 0L
    05 May 2026A Independiente Petrolero3-2
    29 Apr 2026H Racing Club1-1
    15 Apr 2026H Independiente Petrolero1-0
    09 Apr 2026A Botafogo1-1
    04 Mar 2026H Metropolitanos FC0-0
    Market aligned with main pickCaracas FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 7% · edge +55.9 pts
    15
    Check odds @ 15
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
    4.77
    Check odds @ 4.77
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Racing Club wins
    1Draws
    0Caracas FC wins
    29 Apr 2026Caracas FC v Racing Club1-1
    Market aligned with main pickCaracas FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 7% · edge +55.9 pts
    15
    Check odds @ 15
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Caracas FC to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Racing Club6
    Played
    Caracas FC7
    Racing Club1.8
    Avg goals for
    Caracas FC1.4
    Racing Club1.5
    Avg goals against
    Caracas FC1.3
    Racing Club1
    Clean sheets
    Caracas FC2
    Market aligned with main pickCaracas FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 7% · edge +55.9 pts
    15
    Check odds @ 15
    Season data supports Caracas FC to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Caracas FC962310
    3Racing Club862222
    CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    75%Racing Club Over 2.5
    20%Caracas FC Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Racing Club sit at 75% and Caracas FC sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

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