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Puerto Cabello crestPuerto Cabello
v
Juventud crestJuventud

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Thu 21 May, 23:00

Puerto Cabello v Juventud Stats

Data last updated: Fri 12 Jun 2026, 08:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Puerto Cabello face Juventud in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Thu 21 May, 23:00. Puerto Cabello come in with 7 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Juventud have 5 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.1, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 71%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Puerto Cabello and 75% for Juventud, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Juventud are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Puerto Cabello at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 20% for Puerto Cabello and 75% for Juventud show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 71% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Puerto Cabello and 75% for Juventud, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price71% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Puerto Cabello.Visible data support
Positive
Juventud are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Puerto Cabello and 75% for Juventud, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Puerto Cabello and 75% for Juventud, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Juventud are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Puerto Cabello at 1.

BTTS rates of 20% for Puerto Cabello and 75% for Juventud show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Puerto Cabello1
Avg goals scored
Juventud2
Puerto Cabello1.4
Avg goals conceded
Juventud1.25
Puerto Cabello20%
BTTS rate
Juventud75%
Puerto Cabello60%
Over 2.5 goals
Juventud75%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 48% · edge +23.1 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 48% · edge +23.1 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Juventud to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Juventud Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Puerto Cabello to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Puerto Cabello Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Puerto Cabello3.6
Avg corners for
Juventud4
Puerto Cabello6.8
Avg total corners
Juventud8.5
Puerto Cabello1.6
Avg yellow cards
Juventud1.5
Puerto Cabello11.4
Avg shots
Juventud12.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 55% · edge +0.9 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Puerto Cabello

WLLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
06 May 2026H Cienciano3-0
29 Apr 2026A Juventud0-4
17 Apr 2026A Cienciano0-2
09 Apr 2026H Atletico-MG2-1
04 Mar 2026H Monagas SC0-0

Juventud

DWLD
Last 51W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 1L
05 May 2026H Atletico-MG2-2
29 Apr 2026H Puerto Cabello4-0
16 Apr 2026A Atletico-MG1-2
09 Apr 2026H Cienciano1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 60% · edge +11 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Juventud to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Juventud Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Puerto Cabello to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Puerto Cabello Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Puerto Cabello wins
0Draws
1Juventud wins
29 Apr 2026Juventud v Puerto Cabello4-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 48% · edge +23.1 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Juventud to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Puerto Cabello to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Puerto Cabello7
Played
Juventud6
Puerto Cabello1
Avg goals for
Juventud1.7
Puerto Cabello1.3
Avg goals against
Juventud1.2
Puerto Cabello2
Clean sheets
Juventud1
Best odds for this sectionJuventud to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 29% · edge +12.3 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Juventud Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Puerto Cabello to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Puerto Cabello Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Season data supports Juventud to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Juventud761413
4Puerto Cabello76213-3
CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Puerto Cabello Over 2.5
75%Juventud Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Puerto Cabello sit at 60% and Juventud sit at 75% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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