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Puerto Cabello crestPuerto Cabello
v
Juventud crestJuventud

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Thu 21 May, 23:00

Puerto Cabello v Juventud Stats

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.1, Over 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 48% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 71%, so the current line is showing a +23.1-point value edge.
  • Puerto Cabello are at 60% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, Juventud are at 75%, and the H2H goal average is 4.
  • The goals data supports the Over 2.5 Goals angle: Puerto Cabello have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Over 2.5 Goals angle: Juventud have taken 1 win from their last 4 matches, with BTTS landing in 75% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.1, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 48% · edge +23.1 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Home Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%Puerto Cabello Over 2.5
75%Juventud Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Puerto Cabello

WLLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
06 May 2026H Cienciano3-0
29 Apr 2026A Juventud0-4
17 Apr 2026A Cienciano0-2
09 Apr 2026H Atletico-MG2-1
04 Mar 2026H Monagas SC0-0

Juventud

DWLD
Last 51W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 1L
05 May 2026H Atletico-MG2-2
29 Apr 2026H Puerto Cabello4-0
16 Apr 2026A Atletico-MG1-2
09 Apr 2026H Cienciano1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 29% · edge +12.3 pts
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Home Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Puerto Cabello1
Avg goals scored
Juventud2
Puerto Cabello1.4
Avg goals conceded
Juventud1.25
Puerto Cabello20%
BTTS rate
Juventud75%
Puerto Cabello60%
Over 2.5 goals
Juventud75%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 48% · edge +23.1 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Puerto Cabello wins
0Draws
1Juventud wins
29 Apr 2026Juventud v Puerto Cabello4-0
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 48% · edge +23.1 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Puerto Cabello3.75
Avg corners for
Juventud4
Puerto Cabello7.25
Avg total corners
Juventud8.5
Puerto Cabello1.75
Avg yellow cards
Juventud1.5
Puerto Cabello11
Avg shots
Juventud12.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 54% · edge +4.7 pts
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleJ. Hernández Anytime GoalscorerJ. Hernández · 0 goals · 7.5 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
J. Hernández 1+ Shot On TargetJ. Hernández · 7.5 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
J. Hernández 2+ ShotsJ. Hernández · 12.5 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
A. Cruz To Assist / Key Pass AngleA. Cruz · 4 assists · 2.65 key passes/90
76/100
Bet HERE
Gerardo José Padrón Colmenares To Be FouledGerardo José Padrón Colmenares · 6 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
G. Meléndez Card RiskG. Meléndez · 1 yellows · 4.15 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
J. Hernández
J. HernándezPuerto Cabello · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9012.5
SOT /907.5
M. Pérez
M. PérezJuventud · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /902.81
SOT /902.81
F. Mimbacas
F. MimbacasJuventud · Attacker
Goal threat58/100
Shots /901.88
SOT /901.57
Gonzalo Gomez
Gonzalo GomezJuventud · Midfielder
Goal threat31/100
Shots /902.2
SOT /902.2
S. Guerrero
S. GuerreroJuventud · Attacker
Goal threat25/100
Shots /902.73
SOT /901.36
G. Meléndez
G. MeléndezPuerto Cabello · Defender
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
P. Lima
P. LimaPuerto Cabello · Midfielder
Goal threat3/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Puerto Cabello5
Played
Juventud4
Puerto Cabello1.2
Avg goals for
Juventud2
Puerto Cabello1.4
Avg goals against
Juventud1.3
Puerto Cabello2
Clean sheets
Juventud1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 29% · edge +12.3 pts
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Home Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Puerto Cabello64202-2
3Juventud541213

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

Football Stats, Match Data & Daily Betting Analysis

Our football stats hub is built for punters who want to go deeper than basic predictions. Every day, BettingTips4You brings together data-led match analysis for fixtures across the biggest leagues and competitions, helping readers compare teams, spot trends and understand the numbers behind every game before making a betting decision.

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Key Betting Markets Covered

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Data That Supports Our Predictions

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Practical Stats, Not A Wall Of Numbers

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