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Puebla crestPuebla
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U.N.A.M. - Pumas crestU.N.A.M. - Pumas

Liga MX | Sat 31 Oct, 03:00

Puebla v U.N.A.M. - Pumas Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 08:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Puebla and U.N.A.M. - Pumas meet in a Liga MX clash where both sides have shown tendencies to find the net despite defensive vulnerabilities. Puebla's recent form shows a struggle to keep clean sheets, while U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a slightly better scoring rate and BTTS frequency. Both teams rank mid-table with close points, adding competitive edge to this encounter. Tactical setups suggest open play with attacking intent from both sides, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends in this balanced fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 70%, indicating frequent mutual scoring.
  • Puebla concedes an average of 2 goals per game, showing defensive frailty.
  • - Pumas average 1.6 goals scored per match, highlighting offensive capability.
  • Recent matches show Puebla's BTTS rate at 60%, U.N.A.M.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 3 per game, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong attacking outputs and defensive lapses on both sides. Puebla's 60% BTTS rate and U.N.A.M. - Pumas' 80% rate underline consistent mutual scoring. The average of 3 goals in their last 10 meetings supports an open game. Offensive players like G. Mustre contribute significantly to shot volume and goal threat, reinforcing the likelihood of goals from both teams. No price warnings apply, making this a solid value bet with standard staking recommended.

Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Puebla BTTS Rate60%
Positive
U.N.A.M. - Pumas BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
H2H Average Goals3 per match
Positive
Price Value Edge74.9% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities that make both teams to score a compelling pick. Puebla's defensive concessions and U.N.A.M. - Pumas' offensive efficiency combine to create a fixture where goals at both ends are likely. The data supports a lively match with scoring opportunities for both sides, making BTTS a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS likelihood

“This matchup features two teams with attacking strengths and defensive weaknesses, setting the stage for goals at both ends. The consistent BTTS rates and player shot profiles underline the likelihood of a goal-filled contest.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 70%, indicating frequent mutual scoring.

Puebla concedes an average of 2 goals per game, showing defensive frailty.

- Pumas average 1.6 goals scored per match, highlighting offensive capability.

Recent matches show Puebla's BTTS rate at 60%, U.N.A.M.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 3, indicating a trend towards higher scoring encounters.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to goals, aligning with the BTTS pick and the likelihood of an over 2.5 goals scenario in this fixture.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Puebla

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Puebla yet.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

DLWDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
25 Oct 2026H Tigres UANL1-1
22 Oct 2026A Santos Laguna0-2
17 Oct 2026A Atlante FC2-1
12 Oct 2026H Cruz Azul3-3
27 Sep 2026H Atletico San Luis2-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 74% · edge -1.7 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Puebla Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Puebla to WinBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Recent form data shows Puebla struggling defensively with 2 goals conceded per game and only 1 goal scored, while U.N.A.M. - Pumas score 1.6 goals per match and concede 2. Both teams have BTTS rates above 60%, indicating consistent mutual scoring in recent matches, supporting the BTTS pick.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Puebla-
Avg goals scored
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.6
Puebla-
Avg goals conceded
U.N.A.M. - Pumas2
Puebla-
BTTS rate
U.N.A.M. - Pumas80%
Puebla-
Over 2.5 goals
U.N.A.M. - Pumas60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have shown a strong tendency to score and concede goals, with Puebla's 60% BTTS rate and U.N.A.M. - Pumas' 80% rate reinforcing mutual scoring likelihood. Their last ten meetings averaged 3 goals per game, suggesting an open game with multiple scoring chances for both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Puebla Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Puebla to WinBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The 74.9% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+15 pts).
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Puebla Over 2.5
60%U.N.A.M. - Pumas Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 3, indicating a trend towards higher scoring encounters. This sample suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to goals, aligning with the BTTS pick and the likelihood of an over 2.5 goals scenario in this fixture.

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