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PSV Eindhoven crestPSV Eindhoven
v
Willem II crestWillem II

Eredivisie | Sat 31 Oct, 17:45

PSV Eindhoven v Willem II Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 08:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

PSV Eindhoven hosts Willem II in an Eredivisie clash where the home side sits comfortably in third place with 20 points, while Willem II struggles at the bottom with just 2 points. PSV's recent form shows attacking intent but some defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.4 goals per game. Willem II's defensive frailties are more pronounced, conceding 3.6 goals per game, though they remain active in attack. This match presents a tactical contrast between PSV's balanced offense and Willem II's urgent need to score, setting up a contest likely to feature goals from both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • PSV Eindhoven averages 80% BTTS rate, showing consistent scoring and conceding.
  • Willem II also has an 80% BTTS rate, reflecting their defensive struggles and attacking efforts.
  • Recent form shows PSV scoring 2 goals per game and conceding 1.4, while Willem II concedes 3.6 goals per game.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals, indicating open games with scoring from both teams.
  • Player data highlights PSV attackers like S. Hansen with strong shot and goal threat profiles.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at a 76% chance, well above the implied market chance of 58.8%, indicating strong value. PSV's balanced attack and moderate defensive concessions combine with Willem II's high goals conceded and active offense to create a high-probability BTTS scenario. Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate recently, supported by an average of nearly 3 goals per head-to-head match. The presence of key attacking players with high shot volumes further supports the likelihood of goals at both ends. No data limitations reduce in this pick.

PSV BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Willem II BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Model Probability73.8% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance73.8% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.9
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Teams to Score is a fitting pick given PSV Eindhoven's attacking strength and Willem II's defensive vulnerabilities. PSV's ability to create chances combined with Willem II's need to score to escape relegation pressure suggests goals at both ends. Recent form and player attacking profiles reinforce this expectation, making BTTS a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking profiles of PSV Eindhoven and the defensive struggles of Willem II create a compelling case for Both Teams to Score. The match dynamics and recent data strongly suggest goals from both sides in this Eredivisie fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

PSV Eindhoven averages 80% BTTS rate, showing consistent scoring and conceding.

Willem II also has an 80% BTTS rate, reflecting their defensive struggles and attacking efforts.

Recent form shows PSV scoring 2 goals per game and conceding 1.4, while Willem II concedes 3.6 goals per game.

Head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals, indicating open games with scoring from both teams.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating a tendency for open, attacking games.
  • This trend, combined with both teams' recent high BTTS rates and over 2.5 goals percentages, suggests a match tempo and style conducive to goals at both ends.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

PSV Eindhoven2
Avg goals scored
Willem II1
PSV Eindhoven1.4
Avg goals conceded
Willem II3.6
PSV Eindhoven80%
BTTS rate
Willem II80%
PSV Eindhoven60%
Over 2.5 goals
Willem II80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate recently, supported by PSV's average of 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, and Willem II's 3.6 goals conceded per game. The head-to-head average of 2.9 goals further confirms a pattern of open games with scoring from both sides, reinforcing the BTTS outlook.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Willem II to WinBetUK guide price · model 19%
23
Check odds @ 23
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
13
Check odds @ 13
PSV Eindhoven to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
The 73.8% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 58.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). PSV Eindhoven show a 80% BTTS rate and Willem II show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

PSV Eindhoven

DLWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
25 Oct 2026H Feyenoord1-1
17 Oct 2026A ADO Den Haag1-2
09 Oct 2026H Heerenveen2-0
20 Sep 2026A Twente2-3
13 Sep 2026H Sparta Rotterdam4-1

Willem II

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 8L
24 Oct 2026H Cambuur1-6
17 Oct 2026A Sparta Rotterdam2-3
11 Oct 2026A Utrecht1-3
19 Sep 2026H Fortuna Sittard0-1
15 Sep 2026A Ajax1-5
Best odds for this sectionWillem II to WinBetUK guide price · Model 19% vs implied 4% · edge +15 pts
23
Check odds @ 23
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.01
Check odds @ 1.01
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
13
Check odds @ 13
PSV Eindhoven to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
PSV Eindhoven has collected 7 points recently, scoring 2 goals per game while conceding 1.4, showing offensive consistency with some defensive lapses. Willem II has struggled, earning no points and conceding 3.6 goals per game, but their attacking efforts remain evident, maintaining the likelihood of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%PSV Eindhoven Over 2.5
80%Willem II Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating a tendency for open, attacking games. This trend, combined with both teams' recent high BTTS rates and over 2.5 goals percentages, suggests a match tempo and style conducive to goals at both ends.

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