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Portland Timbers crestPortland Timbers
v
Colorado Rapids crestColorado Rapids

Major League Soccer | Sun 18 Oct, 03:30

Portland Timbers v Colorado Rapids Stats

Data last updated: Sat 17 Oct 2026, 09:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Major League Soccer clash features the Colorado Rapids visiting the Portland Timbers in a fixture with significant playoff implications. Colorado arrives in better recent form, having secured 6 points in their last matches compared to Portland's single point, suggesting momentum favors the Rapids. Both teams have shown attacking intent, but Colorado's slightly superior goal-scoring rate and more consistent defensive performances hint at a tactical edge. The Rapids' ability to capitalize on chances and maintain defensive discipline could prove decisive in this tightly contested encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Colorado Rapids to Win

  • Colorado Rapids have a 70% to win with strong value at 3.25 .
  • Recent form favors Colorado with 6 points gained versus Portland's 1 point.
  • Colorado averages 1.8 goals per game, slightly higher than Portland's 1.0.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking openness.
  • Colorado's attackers, including Rafael Navarro and D. Phillip, show strong goal threat and shot accuracy.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Colorado Rapids to win based on their superior recent form, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to Portland's 1.0, and a better defensive record conceding 1.8 goals versus 2.2. Colorado's attackers, notably Rafael Navarro and D. Phillip, contribute significantly to shot volume and accuracy, enhancing scoring potential. The Rapids' consistent performance and tactical discipline underpin the 70% win probability, making the 3.25 a positive value opportunity. No price warnings are present, supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Recent formColorado Rapids have earned 6 points recently versus Portland's 1 point
Strong positive
Goal scoringColorado averages 1.8 goals per game, Portland 1.0
Positive
Defensive recordColorado concedes 1.8 goals per game, Portland 2.2
Positive
Shot accuracyColorado's D. Phillip averages 1.48 shots on target per 90 minutes
Positive
Market price45.8% model chance vs 30.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Verdict: Colorado Rapids' recent form and attacking efficiency give them a tactical and statistical edge over Portland Timbers. Their ability to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity should be decisive in securing victory in this crucial MLS fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view

“Colorado Rapids combine clinical finishing from key attackers with a disciplined defensive approach, making them a strong contender to overcome Portland Timbers in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

Colorado Rapids to Win evidence

Colorado Rapids have a 70% to win with strong value at 3.25 .

Recent form favors Colorado with 6 points gained versus Portland's 1 point.

Colorado averages 1.8 goals per game, slightly higher than Portland's 1.0.

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking openness.

What To Watch In The Data

Colorado Rapids to Win notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3 per game, with a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals.
  • This trend suggests a relatively high-tempo game with opportunities for both teams to score, driven by transitional play and attacking intent from both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Portland Timbers1
Avg goals scored
Colorado Rapids1.8
Portland Timbers2.2
Avg goals conceded
Colorado Rapids1.8
Portland Timbers60%
BTTS rate
Colorado Rapids80%
Portland Timbers60%
Over 2.5 goals
Colorado Rapids60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with Colorado averaging 1.8 goals per game and Portland 1.0. The head-to-head average of 3 goals per match further supports an open game with scoring opportunities for both sides, making goal markets attractive for this fixture.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickColorado Rapids to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Colorado Rapids Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The 45.8% for Colorado Rapids to Win sits against roughly 30.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Colorado Rapids have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for Portland Timbers.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Portland Timbers

LDLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
15 Oct 2026A Los Angeles Galaxy0-2
11 Oct 2026A Sporting Kansas City3-3
27 Sep 2026A San Jose Earthquakes1-3
20 Sep 2026H Atlanta United FC0-1
13 Sep 2026A FC Dallas1-2

Colorado Rapids

DDLDW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
15 Oct 2026H Minnesota United FC2-2
11 Oct 2026H San Jose Earthquakes1-1
27 Sep 2026A Los Angeles Galaxy2-3
20 Sep 2026H Seattle Sounders3-3
13 Sep 2026H CF Montreal1-0
Market aligned with main pickColorado Rapids to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Colorado Rapids Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Colorado Rapids have gained 6 points recently, showing improved momentum and attacking output with 1.8 goals per game. Portland Timbers' recent form is weaker with only 1 point and a higher goals-against average, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. This contrast in form favors Colorado's chances to secure a win.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Portland Timbers Over 2.5
60%Colorado Rapids Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3 per game, with a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals. This trend suggests a relatively high-tempo game with opportunities for both teams to score, driven by transitional play and attacking intent from both sides.

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