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Platense crestPlatense
v
Penarol crestPenarol

CONMEBOL Libertadores | Thu 07 May, 23:00

Platense v Penarol Stats

Data last updated: Wed 06 May 2026, 05:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Platense face Penarol in CONMEBOL Libertadores on Thu 07 May, 23:00. Platense come in with 6 recent points and 1.33 goals per match, while Penarol have 1 points and 0.67 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Platense to Win

  • Platense Win is rated around 71% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Platense have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for Penarol.
  • Platense have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.33 conceded per match, which helps the Platense Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Platense Win around 71% on the latest available numbers. Platense have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for Penarol.

Platense have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Platense have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.33 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Platense Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Platense have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for Penarol. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Platense Win evidence

Platense have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for Penarol.

Platense have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.33 conceded per match, which helps the Platense Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Platense Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Platense1.33
    Avg goals scored
    Penarol0.67
    Platense1.33
    Avg goals conceded
    Penarol1.67
    Platense67%
    BTTS rate
    Penarol67%
    Platense67%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Penarol33%

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Platense2.67
    Avg corners for
    Penarol3
    Platense3.67
    Avg total corners
    Penarol6
    Platense2.33
    Avg yellow cards
    Penarol2.67
    Platense8
    Avg shots
    Penarol11.33

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Platense

    WWL
    Last 52W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 1L
    29 Apr 2026H Santa Fe2-1
    17 Apr 2026A Penarol2-1
    10 Apr 2026H Corinthians0-2

    Penarol

    LLD
    Last 50W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 2L
    01 May 2026A Corinthians0-2
    17 Apr 2026H Platense1-2
    10 Apr 2026A Santa Fe1-1

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Platense wins
    0Draws
    0Penarol wins
    17 Apr 2026Penarol v Platense1-2

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    CONMEBOL Libertadores

    Platense6
    Played
    Penarol6
    Platense1.3
    Avg goals for
    Penarol0.7
    Platense1.2
    Avg goals against
    Penarol1.3
    Platense1
    Clean sheets
    Penarol0

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    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Platense1063121
    4Penarol36033-4
    CONMEBOL Libertadores standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    67%Platense Over 2.5
    33%Penarol Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Platense sit at 67% and Penarol sit at 33% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.