Football Stats Hub

Platense crestPlatense
v
Lanus crestLanus

Liga Profesional Argentina | Sat 17 Oct, 21:30

Platense v Lanus Stats

Data last updated: Fri 16 Oct 2026, 09:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Liga Profesional Argentina fixture features Lanus visiting Platense, with Lanus currently fifth in the standings and Platense in 13th. Lanus have shown solid defensive form, conceding just 0.2 goals per match recently, while Platense have struggled more at the back. Lanus' recent run of 13 points contrasts with Platense's 3 points, indicating momentum in Lanus' favour. The tactical setup suggests Lanus will look to control possession and exploit Platense's defensive vulnerabilities, aiming to extend their winning streak in this away match under moderate pressure to maintain their top-table position.

BT4Y best bet

Lanus to Win

  • Lanus have a strong recent form with 13 points compared to Platense's 3 points.
  • Lanus concede only 0.2 goals per game, showing defensive solidity.
  • Platense have a high BTTS rate of 80%, but Lanus only 20%, indicating Lanus' defensive strength.
  • Lanus' attackers like D. Wlk have good shot and goal threat metrics.
  • The model gives Lanus a 70% chance to win with positive value at of 2.88.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Lanus' strong defensive record, conceding just 0.2 goals per game recently, combined with their superior recent form and attacking threat from key players like D. Aquino, supports a high probability of an away win. Platense's defensive struggles and lower points tally further strengthen this case. The of 2.88 offer positive value given the model's 70% win probability. No data limitations affect in this pick, making Lanus to Win a well-supported selection based on current form and player impact.

Recent FormLanus 13 points vs Platense 3 points
Strong positive
Defensive StrengthLanus concede 0.2 goals per game
Strong positive
Attacking ThreatD. Aquino 6 goals, 1.27 SOT/90
Positive
Price Value49.7% model chance vs 34.7% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Lanus' superior recent form and defensive resilience make them the clear favourites to win this match. Their ability to limit opponents to very few goals recently, combined with effective attacking players, gives them a tactical and statistical edge over Platense, who have struggled to secure points and goals.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Lanus' disciplined defense and clinical attackers position them strongly to secure an away victory, especially given Platense's recent struggles and defensive frailties.”

Key Data Signals

Lanus to Win evidence

Lanus have a strong recent form with 13 points compared to Platense's 3 points.

Lanus concede only 0.2 goals per game, showing defensive solidity.

Platense have a high BTTS rate of 80%, but Lanus only 20%, indicating Lanus' defensive strength.

Lanus' attackers like D. Wlk have good shot and goal threat metrics.

What To Watch In The Data

Lanus to Win notes

  • In the last nine head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, indicating moderately low-scoring games.
  • Both teams have a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting that while goals are possible, the tempo and defensive setups often limit high-scoring outcomes in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Platense1
Avg goals scored
Lanus1.6
Platense1.4
Avg goals conceded
Lanus0.2
Platense80%
BTTS rate
Lanus20%
Platense40%
Over 2.5 goals
Lanus40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 25%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Platense have an 80% rate of both teams scoring, indicating open games at home, whereas Lanus have only a 20% BTTS rate, reflecting their defensive discipline. Both teams have a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting moderate scoring potential. This contrast points to Lanus controlling the game to limit Platense's scoring chances while exploiting defensive gaps.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Platense

DDLLD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
11 Oct 2026H Argentinos JRS1-1
05 Oct 2026A Velez Sarsfield2-2
20 Sep 2026H Newells Old Boys0-1
12 Sep 2026A Estudiantes L.P.1-2
04 Sep 2026H Deportivo Riestra1-1

Lanus

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
12 Oct 2026H Velez Sarsfield2-0
03 Oct 2026A Newells Old Boys0-0
22 Sep 2026H Estudiantes L.P.2-1
14 Sep 2026A Deportivo Riestra3-0
06 Sep 2026H Defensa Y Justicia1-0
Market aligned with main pickLanus to WinBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Lanus Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Lanus have accumulated 13 points recently, showcasing strong form and consistency, while Platense have only managed 3 points, reflecting struggles in both attack and defense. Lanus' ability to maintain clean sheets and score regularly underpins their and tactical control heading into this match.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickLanus to WinBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
Lanus Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
The 49.7% for Lanus to Win sits against roughly 34.7% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Lanus have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 3 for Platense.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Platense Over 2.5
40%Lanus Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last nine head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, indicating moderately low-scoring games. Both teams have a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting that while goals are possible, the tempo and defensive setups often limit high-scoring outcomes in this fixture.

Loading deeper match data…