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Pisa crestPisa
v
Napoli crestNapoli

Serie A | Sun 17 May, 11:00

Pisa v Napoli Stats

BT4Y best bet

Napoli Draw No Bet

  • At 2.02, Napoli Draw No Bet is priced at roughly 50% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 76%, so the current line is showing a +26.5-point value edge.
  • Pisa have a recent record of 0W-0D-5L, while Napoli come in at 1W-2D-2L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Napoli Draw No Bet angle: Pisa have taken 0 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Napoli Draw No Bet angle: Napoli have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.02, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26.5 pts
2.02
Bet HERE @ 2.02
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 60%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
9
Bet HERE @ 9
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%Pisa Over 2.5
40%Napoli Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Pisa

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 9L
10 May 2026A Cremonese0-3
01 May 2026H Lecce1-2
25 Apr 2026A Parma0-1
19 Apr 2026H Genoa1-2
10 Apr 2026A AS Roma0-3

Napoli

LDWLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
11 May 2026H Bologna2-3
02 May 2026A Como0-0
24 Apr 2026H Cremonese4-0
18 Apr 2026H Lazio0-2
12 Apr 2026A Parma1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26.5 pts
2.02
Bet HERE @ 2.02
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
9
Bet HERE @ 9
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.06
Bet HERE @ 1.06
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.78
Bet HERE @ 1.78
DrawBetfred guide price · model 20%
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Pisa0.4
Avg goals scored
Napoli1.4
Pisa2.2
Avg goals conceded
Napoli1.2
Pisa40%
BTTS rate
Napoli40%
Pisa80%
Over 2.5 goals
Napoli40%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 83% vs implied 80% · edge +3.4 pts
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Pisa wins
0Draws
1Napoli wins
22 Sep 2025Napoli v Pisa3-2
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 56% · edge +9.8 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
9
Bet HERE @ 9
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
DrawBetfred guide price · model 20%
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Pisa3.8
Avg corners for
Napoli7
Pisa8
Avg total corners
Napoli9.4
Pisa2.8
Avg yellow cards
Napoli0.6
Pisa10
Avg shots
Napoli15.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 48% · edge +12.5 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleR. Lukaku Anytime GoalscorerR. Lukaku · 1 goals · 1.8 SOT/90
81/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
Alisson Santos 1+ Shot On TargetAlisson Santos · 1.8 shots on target/90
83/100
Bet HERE
R. Lukaku 2+ ShotsR. Lukaku · 3.6 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
David Neres To Assist / Key Pass AngleDavid Neres · 3 assists · 2.04 key passes/90
70/100
Bet HERE
İ. Vural To Be Fouledİ. Vural · 3.92 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Juan Jesus Card RiskJuan Jesus · 9 yellows · 2.14 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
R. Lukaku
R. LukakuNapoli · Attacker
Goal threat78/100
Shots /903.6
SOT /901.8
Alisson Santos
Alisson SantosNapoli · Attacker
Goal threat73/100
Shots /902.51
SOT /901.8
S. McTominay
S. McTominayNapoli · Midfielder
Goal threat64/100
Shots /902.37
SOT /901.13
C. Stengs
C. StengsPisa · Midfielder
Goal threat27/100
Shots /902.95
SOT /901.48
Juan Jesus
Juan JesusNapoli · Defender
Goal threat10/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
M. Marin
M. MarinPisa · Midfielder
Goal threat10/100
Shots /900.07
SOT /900
Season team stats

Serie A

Pisa36
Played
Napoli36
Pisa0.7
Avg goals for
Napoli1.5
Pisa1.8
Avg goals against
Napoli1
Pisa5
Clean sheets
Napoli13
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26.5 pts
2.02
Bet HERE @ 2.02
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
9
Bet HERE @ 9
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.78
Bet HERE @ 1.78
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Napoli7036217818
20Pisa183621222-41

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.