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Philadelphia Union crestPhiladelphia Union
v
Inter Miami crestInter Miami

Major League Soccer | Thu 20 Aug, 00:30

Philadelphia Union v Inter Miami Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 22:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Philadelphia Union face Inter Miami in Major League Soccer on Thu 20 Aug, 00:30. Philadelphia have collected 10 league points after conceding first in 2026, while dropping eight points after scoring the opener themselves. Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami: Form Has Flipped the Pressure at Subaru Park. Absences may increase the importance of midfield control

BT4Y best bet

Philadelphia Union to Win and Both Teams to Score

  • At 27/10, Philadelphia Union to Win and Both Teams to Score implies roughly 27%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 37%.
  • Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
  • Philadelphia Union need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Philadelphia Union on 12 and Inter Miami on 10.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 80% for Philadelphia Union and 80% for Inter Miami.
  • Philadelphia Union to Win and Both Teams to Score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.8 for Philadelphia Union and 2.6 for Inter Miami are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 37% for Philadelphia Union to Win and Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 27% implied by the current price. Philadelphia Union need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Philadelphia Union on 12 and Inter Miami on 10. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Model chance vs price37% model chance against roughly 27% implied
Positive
Philadelphia Union need the result edge to pair with scoring.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Read on for all our free predictions and betting.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Philadelphia Union Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because read on for all our free predictions and betting tips. Philadelphia Union need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Philadelphia Union on 12 and Inter Miami on 10. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Philadelphia Union to Win and Both Teams to Score evidence

Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Philadelphia Union need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Philadelphia Union on 12 and Inter Miami on 10.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 80% for Philadelphia Union and 80% for Inter Miami.

Philadelphia Union Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.8 for Philadelphia Union and 2.6 for Inter Miami are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Philadelphia Union to Win and Both Teams to Score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Philadelphia Union6.4
Avg corners for
Inter Miami5.5
Philadelphia Union10.6
Avg total corners
Inter Miami10.75
Philadelphia Union2
Avg yellow cards
Inter Miami3
Philadelphia Union21.4
Avg shots
Inter Miami16.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 53% · edge +12.5 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Major League Soccer fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Philadelphia Union v Inter Miamicorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Philadelphia Union2.8
Avg goals scored
Inter Miami2.6
Philadelphia Union2.2
Avg goals conceded
Inter Miami2.4
Philadelphia Union80%
BTTS rate
Inter Miami80%
Philadelphia Union80%
Over 2.5 goals
Inter Miami80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 88% vs implied 90% · edge -2.1 pts
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for Philadelphia Union and 80% for Inter Miami, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickPhiladelphia Union Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 50% · edge +13.2 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Philadelphia Union to WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Philadelphia Union Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Philadelphia Union

WWWWL
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
16 Aug 2026A New York City FC3-2
02 Aug 2026H Atlanta United FC3-2
26 Jul 2026H Seattle Sounders1-0
23 Jul 2026H New York Red Bulls3-1
25 May 2026A Inter Miami4-6

Inter Miami

LDWWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
16 Aug 2026A Nashville SC1-4
02 Aug 2026H Columbus Crew2-2
26 Jul 2026A CF Montreal1-0
23 Jul 2026H Chicago Fire3-2
25 May 2026H Philadelphia Union6-4
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 81% vs implied 67% · edge +13.8 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Philadelphia Union Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 63%
2
Check odds @ 2
Philadelphia Union to WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Philadelphia Union wins
2Draws
6Inter Miami wins
25 May 2026Inter Miami v Philadelphia Union6-4
25 May 2025Philadelphia Union v Inter Miami3-3
29 Mar 2025Inter Miami v Philadelphia Union2-1
15 Sep 2024Inter Miami v Philadelphia Union3-1
16 Jun 2024Philadelphia Union v Inter Miami1-2
16 Aug 2023Philadelphia Union v Inter Miami1-4
Market aligned with main pickPhiladelphia Union to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 41% · edge +13.1 pts
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The head-to-head sample gives context for Philadelphia Union to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union24
Played
Inter Miami24
Philadelphia Union1.7
Avg goals for
Inter Miami2.5
Philadelphia Union1.6
Avg goals against
Inter Miami1.8
Philadelphia Union5
Clean sheets
Inter Miami4
Market aligned with main pickPhiladelphia Union Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 50% · edge +13.2 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Philadelphia Union to WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Season data supports Philadelphia Union Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Inter Miami4424128415
8Philadelphia Union302486102
Philadelphia Union sit in position 8, while Inter Miami sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Philadelphia Union to Win and Both Teams to Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Philadelphia Union Over 2.5
80%Inter Miami Over 2.5
4.1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Philadelphia Union sit at 80% and Inter Miami sit at 80% with the H2H average at 4.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Philadelphia Union v Inter Miami prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

Major League Soccer hubMajor League Soccer fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Philadelphia Union v Inter Miamicorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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