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Philadelphia Union crestPhiladelphia Union
v
Charlotte crestCharlotte

Major League Soccer | Sat 17 Oct, 19:30

Philadelphia Union v Charlotte Stats

Data last updated: Sun 18 Oct 2026, 21:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Philadelphia Union and Charlotte meet in a crucial Major League Soccer clash where both sides have shown attacking intent and willingness to press high. Philadelphia Union's recent form includes a perfect record of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, reflecting open play and offensive pressure. Charlotte also maintains a strong over 2.5 goals rate, indicating this fixture could see sustained attacking phases. Both teams rank closely in the standings, adding competitive edge and urgency to their playstyles, likely increasing set-piece opportunities such as corners in a lively encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Philadelphia Union average 5.2 corners per game, Charlotte average 5.6, combining for a high corner count.
  • Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates recently, suggesting open, attacking matches.
  • Philadelphia Union's aggressive pressing and Charlotte's counterattacks create frequent wide plays and crosses.
  • Recent form shows Philadelphia Union's matches consistently generate many set pieces and shots on target.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, reflecting both teams' high corner averages and attacking styles. Philadelphia Union and Charlotte each average over five corners per match, supported by strong shot volumes and open play tendencies. The pricing at 1.73 offers positive value with an 11.2% edge, indicating the market underestimates the likelihood of a corner-heavy game. is high at 81%, making this a solid statistical and tactical pick for corner betting.

Corner averagesPhiladelphia Union 5.2, Charlotte 5.6 per match
Strong positive
Model chance69% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Strong positive
Value edge69% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Strong positive
Confidence level81%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a dynamic match with both Philadelphia Union and Charlotte pushing forward aggressively, generating numerous attacking plays and wide deliveries. This tactical openness combined with their corner statistics supports the Over 9.5 Corners pick as a logical choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“Philadelphia Union's proactive wing play and Charlotte's quick transitions create a fertile environment for frequent corners, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling market to follow.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Philadelphia Union average 5.2 corners per game, Charlotte average 5.6, combining for a high corner count.

Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates recently, suggesting open, attacking matches.

Philadelphia Union's aggressive pressing and Charlotte's counterattacks create frequent wide plays and crosses.

Recent form shows Philadelphia Union's matches consistently generate many set pieces and shots on target.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.2, reflecting open contests.
  • Both teams' recent matches show a strong tendency for over 2.5 goals, indicating a tempo that favors attacking transitions and set-piece situations.
  • This trend suggests a match environment conducive to multiple corners through sustained offensive pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Philadelphia Union3.6
Avg goals scored
Charlotte1.8
Philadelphia Union1.4
Avg goals conceded
Charlotte2
Philadelphia Union80%
BTTS rate
Charlotte80%
Philadelphia Union100%
Over 2.5 goals
Charlotte80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both Philadelphia Union and Charlotte have high over 2.5 goals rates—100% and 80% respectively—indicating open matches with frequent attacking phases. Their matches also show an 80% BTTS rate each, suggesting both teams create chances and concede, which often leads to more corners through sustained pressure and wide play.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Major League Soccer hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Philadelphia Union to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Philadelphia Union Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Charlotte Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Charlotte to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+11.2 pts). Charlotte lead the corner sample at 5.6 per match, with Philadelphia Union lower at 5.2.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Philadelphia Union

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 2D 0L
15 Oct 2026A Chicago Fire3-1
11 Oct 2026H Real Salt Lake2-1
27 Sep 2026H Orlando City SC4-2
20 Sep 2026A Sporting Kansas City4-3
14 Sep 2026A San Diego5-0

Charlotte

LWLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
15 Oct 2026A Columbus Crew1-3
11 Oct 2026H FC Dallas3-2
27 Sep 2026H Chicago Fire0-1
20 Sep 2026A DC United2-1
13 Sep 2026A FC Cincinnati3-3
Best odds for this sectionPhiladelphia Union to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 67% · edge +7.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Philadelphia Union Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Charlotte Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Charlotte to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
5
Check odds @ 5
Philadelphia Union has collected 15 points recently with matches consistently featuring over 2.5 goals and high corner counts. Charlotte's recent form includes 7 points with 80% of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, showing a trend toward open, attacking games that produce many corners. This recent form data supports the Over 9.5 Corners selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Philadelphia Union Over 2.5
80%Charlotte Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.2, reflecting open contests. Both teams' recent matches show a strong tendency for over 2.5 goals, indicating a tempo that favors attacking transitions and set-piece situations. This trend suggests a match environment conducive to multiple corners through sustained offensive pressure.

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