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Peterborough crestPeterborough
v
Sheffield Wednesday crestSheffield Wednesday

League One | Sat 05 Sep, 12:30

Peterborough v Sheffield Wednesday Stats

Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sheffield Wednesday visit Peterborough in a League One clash where the away side holds a clear advantage in recent form and league standing. Sheffield Wednesday have won their last three matches, scoring an average of 2.75 goals per game while conceding 1.25, showcasing their attacking potency and improved defensive resilience. Peterborough, sitting lower in the table, have struggled to find the net consistently, averaging just 0.5 goals per game in recent outings. This fixture offers Sheffield Wednesday an opportunity to extend their strong run and consolidate their position near the top of the table, while Peterborough will look to disrupt that momentum on home soil.

BT4Y best bet

Sheffield Wednesday to Win

  • Sheffield Wednesday have won their last three matches with strong attacking output.
  • Peterborough have scored only 0.5 goals per game recently, indicating offensive struggles.
  • Sheffield Wednesday average 18 shots and 7.25 shots on target per game, showing attacking pressure.
  • Peterborough's defensive record is weaker, conceding 1.75 goals per game compared to Sheffield Wednesday's 1.25.
  • Sheffield Wednesday rank 2nd in the league, reflecting consistent season-long performance.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Sheffield Wednesday's chances to win at 70%, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 46.5%, indicating strong value in backing the away side. Their superior recent form, higher goal-scoring rate, and better shot metrics underline their control. The attacking trio of J. Barry, and Ali Al Hamadi provide multiple goal threats, supported by high shot volumes and key passes. Peterborough's lower scoring and defensive vulnerabilities further enhance Sheffield Wednesday's winning prospects. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Chance70%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance46.5%
Strong positive
Recent Goals For2.75 per game (Sheffield Wednesday) vs 0.5 (Peterborough)
Strong positive
Shots on Target per Game7.25 (Sheffield Wednesday) vs 3.25 (Peterborough)
Strong positive
League Position2nd (Sheffield Wednesday) vs 17th (Peterborough)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Sheffield Wednesday's recent form and attacking firepower make them the clear favorites to win this match. Their ability to create and convert chances, combined with Peterborough's struggles to score, suggests a strong likelihood of an away victory. The data supports backing Sheffield Wednesday to extend their winning streak in this League One fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Sheffield Wednesday's attacking trio and consistent shot volume create a compelling case for their victory, especially given Peterborough's offensive struggles and defensive lapses.”

Key Data Signals

Sheffield Wednesday to Win evidence

Sheffield Wednesday have won their last three matches with strong attacking output.

Peterborough have scored only 0.5 goals per game recently, indicating offensive struggles.

Sheffield Wednesday average 18 shots and 7.25 shots on target per game, showing attacking pressure.

Peterborough's defensive record is weaker, conceding 1.75 goals per game compared to Sheffield Wednesday's 1.25.

What To Watch In The Data

Sheffield Wednesday to Win notes

  • In the last six head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.83, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Sheffield Wednesday's recent matches have seen a 75% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting this fixture could follow a similar pattern with multiple goals scored, driven by Sheffield Wednesday's attacking style.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Peterborough4.25
Avg corners for
Sheffield Wednesday6.5
Peterborough8.25
Avg total corners
Sheffield Wednesday12.25
Peterborough1.5
Avg yellow cards
Sheffield Wednesday1.5
Peterborough11.5
Avg shots
Sheffield Wednesday18
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Sheffield Wednesday average 6.5 corners and 18 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Both teams have similar yellow card averages, suggesting a balanced disciplinary profile. The shot volume and corner statistics support Sheffield Wednesday's offensive threat and ability to create set-piece opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Peterborough0.5
Avg goals scored
Sheffield Wednesday2.75
Peterborough1.75
Avg goals conceded
Sheffield Wednesday1.25
Peterborough25%
BTTS rate
Sheffield Wednesday75%
Peterborough50%
Over 2.5 goals
Sheffield Wednesday75%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 80% vs implied 88% · edge -7.3 pts
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 44%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Sheffield Wednesday's matches have a high over 2.5 goals rate at 75%, reflecting their attacking style and ability to score multiple goals. Peterborough's lower scoring rate and 50% over 2.5 rate suggest a contrast in offensive output. Both teams to score is less likely given Peterborough's 25% BTTS rate, indicating Sheffield Wednesday may dominate the scoring.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSheffield Wednesday to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Sheffield Wednesday Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The current for Sheffield Wednesday to win offer clear value, with the model estimating a 70% chance compared to the market's 46.5%. This significant reflects Sheffield Wednesday's strong recent performances and attacking metrics. The price is attractive for bettors seeking a confident away win in this League One fixture.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Peterborough

DLWL
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
01 Sep 2026H Stevenage0-0
29 Aug 2026A Blackpool0-4
22 Aug 2026H Mansfield Town2-1
15 Aug 2026A Bradford0-2

Sheffield Wednesday

WWLW
Last 53W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 1L
01 Sep 2026A Wycombe2-1
29 Aug 2026H Bromley7-2
20 Aug 2026H Bradford0-1
15 Aug 2026A Leyton Orient2-1
Market aligned with main pickSheffield Wednesday to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Sheffield Wednesday Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Sheffield Wednesday have accumulated 9 points in recent matches, winning three straight games, while Peterborough have managed only 4 points with less offensive output. This form gap reflects Sheffield Wednesday's momentum and , making them the more likely winners in this fixture based on current performance trends.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Peterborough wins
0Draws
3Sheffield Wednesday wins
18 May 2023Sheffield Wednesday v Peterborough5-1
12 May 2023Peterborough v Sheffield Wednesday4-0
04 Mar 2023Sheffield Wednesday v Peterborough1-0
16 Aug 2022Peterborough v Sheffield Wednesday2-0
27 Apr 2013Peterborough v Sheffield Wednesday1-0
03 Nov 2012Sheffield Wednesday v Peterborough2-1
Market aligned with main pickSheffield Wednesday to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The six previous meetings between these teams have averaged 2.83 goals per game, showing a history of moderately open contests. While this sample supports the potential for goals, it is Sheffield Wednesday's current form and attacking metrics that more strongly influence the expected outcome of this match.
Season team stats

League One

Peterborough4
Played
Sheffield Wednesday4
Peterborough0.5
Avg goals for
Sheffield Wednesday2.8
Peterborough1.8
Avg goals against
Sheffield Wednesday1.3
Peterborough1
Clean sheets
Sheffield Wednesday0
Market aligned with main pickSheffield Wednesday to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Sheffield Wednesday Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Over the season, Sheffield Wednesday rank 2nd with strong attacking numbers, averaging higher goals and shots on target than Peterborough, who sit 17th. This season-long consistency in scoring and defensive solidity supports Sheffield Wednesday's chances to secure victory in this match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Sheffield Wednesday943016
17Peterborough44112-5
Sheffield Wednesday's 2nd place position in League One highlights their status as promotion contenders, whereas Peterborough's 17th place reflects struggles to climb the table. The league context underscores the away side's motivation to maintain their strong position and the challenge Peterborough faces to improve results.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Peterborough Over 2.5
75%Sheffield Wednesday Over 2.5
2.83H2H avg goals
In the last six head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.83, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Sheffield Wednesday's recent matches have seen a 75% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting this fixture could follow a similar pattern with multiple goals scored, driven by Sheffield Wednesday's attacking style.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.