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Peterborough crestPeterborough
v
Mansfield Town crestMansfield Town

League One | Sat 22 Aug, 15:00

Peterborough v Mansfield Town Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 07:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Mansfield Town arrives at Peterborough with strong momentum after opening the League One season with a win, while Peterborough has yet to secure points. Mansfield's attacking style and higher league standing reflect a team confident in pressing forward, whereas Peterborough faces pressure to improve results quickly. This fixture pits Mansfield's efficient offense against Peterborough's defensive vulnerabilities, setting the stage for a contest where Mansfield's tactical discipline and recent form suggest they can capitalize on home side struggles.

BT4Y best bet

Mansfield Town to Win

  • Mansfield Town leads League One standings early with 3 points; Peterborough sits 23rd without points.
  • Mansfield averages 18 shots and 4 shots on target per game, significantly higher than Peterborough's 7 and 2 respectively.
  • Peterborough has conceded 2 goals while Mansfield has scored 2 and conceded only 1, indicating defensive solidity for Mansfield.
  • Mansfield's over 2.5 goals rate is 100%, contrasting with Peterborough's 0%, suggesting a more open game favoring Mansfield's attack.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors Mansfield Town to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, offensive output, and defensive resilience compared to Peterborough. Mansfield's high shot volume and goal threat, combined with Peterborough's struggles to score and defend, underpin this . The 2.3 offer positive value given the 43.5% implied chance, making Mansfield a compelling pick. No data limitations affect this analysis, and the current price aligns well with the model's assessment, supporting a standard stake.

Model chance70%
Strong positive
Implied chance vs model43.5% vs 70%
Strong positive
Recent formMansfield won opening game; Peterborough lost
Strong positive
Shots and goal threatMansfield averages 18 shots, Peterborough 7
Strong positive
Defensive recordMansfield conceded 1, Peterborough 2
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Mansfield Town's superior attacking metrics and early season form suggest they have the tactical edge to secure victory at Peterborough. Their ability to generate significantly more shots and maintain defensive discipline underpins the in this pick, making Mansfield the likely winner in this League One clash.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Mansfield's high shot volume and clinical finishing early in the season give them a clear advantage over Peterborough, who have yet to find their rhythm. This match should see Mansfield control the tempo and capitalize on defensive lapses.”

Key Data Signals

Mansfield Town to Win evidence

Mansfield Town leads League One standings early with 3 points; Peterborough sits 23rd without points.

Mansfield averages 18 shots and 4 shots on target per game, significantly higher than Peterborough's 7 and 2 respectively.

Peterborough has conceded 2 goals while Mansfield has scored 2 and conceded only 1, indicating defensive solidity for Mansfield.

Mansfield's over 2.5 goals rate is 100%, contrasting with Peterborough's 0%, suggesting a more open game favoring Mansfield's attack.

What To Watch In The Data

Mansfield Town to Win notes

  • The last six meetings between these teams have averaged 3 goals per game, supporting an expectation of an open, attacking contest.
  • Mansfield's current 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches aligns with this trend, indicating a likelihood of multiple goals and an engaging match tempo.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Peterborough0
Avg goals scored
Mansfield Town2
Peterborough2
Avg goals conceded
Mansfield Town1
Peterborough0%
BTTS rate
Mansfield Town100%
Peterborough0%
Over 2.5 goals
Mansfield Town100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 65% · edge +1.3 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Mansfield Town's matches have featured consistent goal scoring, with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate and both teams scoring in their opening game. Peterborough's matches have been low scoring with no BTTS occurrences. This contrast suggests a game leaning towards multiple goals, driven by Mansfield's attacking approach and Peterborough's defensive fragility.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickMansfield Town to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Load more odds for this section
Mansfield Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The of 2.3 for Mansfield Town to win reflect a positive value opportunity given the model's 70% win probability. This pricing suggests the market underestimates Mansfield's chances, likely due to Peterborough's home status. The current price is attractive for standard stakes without caution flags, making Mansfield a sound betting choice.

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Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Peterborough3
Avg corners for
Mansfield Town7
Peterborough10
Avg total corners
Mansfield Town8
Peterborough3
Avg yellow cards
Mansfield Town2
Peterborough7
Avg shots
Mansfield Town18
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 58% · edge -7.3 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Mansfield's average of 7 corners per game and higher shot volume indicates sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Peterborough's lower corner count and shot numbers reflect limited offensive threat. Discipline-wise, Peterborough averages more yellow cards, hinting at a potentially physical contest but with Mansfield maintaining better composure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Peterborough

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
15 Aug 2026A Bradford0-2

Mansfield Town

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
15 Aug 2026H Doncaster2-1
Market aligned with main pickMansfield Town to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Mansfield Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Mansfield Town's recent form is strong, having secured a win and scored twice while conceding only once. Peterborough's form is poor, with no points and two goals conceded without reply. This disparity in early season momentum favors Mansfield's and tactical execution heading into this match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Peterborough wins
2Draws
2Mansfield Town wins
28 Apr 2026Peterborough v Mansfield Town0-0
10 Feb 2026Mansfield Town v Peterborough1-2
30 Apr 2025Mansfield Town v Peterborough4-2
26 Dec 2024Peterborough v Mansfield Town0-3
26 Sep 2023Mansfield Town v Peterborough2-2
11 Aug 2020Mansfield Town v Peterborough0-2
Market aligned with main pickMansfield Town to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The head-to-head record over six matches shows an average of three goals per game, indicating historically open encounters. While this provides some background, current form and tactical setups carry more weight for this fixture given the teams' differing starts to the season.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League One

Peterborough1
Played
Mansfield Town1
Peterborough0
Avg goals for
Mansfield Town2
Peterborough2
Avg goals against
Mansfield Town1
Peterborough0
Clean sheets
Mansfield Town0
Market aligned with main pickMansfield Town to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Load more odds for this section
Mansfield Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Mansfield Town's season stats reveal a potent attack averaging 18 shots per game and a solid defense conceding just one goal so far. Peterborough's numbers are less encouraging, with fewer shots and a higher goals conceded rate, indicating struggles on both ends of the pitch that favor Mansfield's chances.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Mansfield Town311001
23Peterborough01001-2
Mansfield Town sits comfortably in 6th place early in the League One season, reflecting a positive start and competitive edge. Peterborough's position near the relegation zone adds pressure and suggests a team still searching for form, which could influence their tactical approach and risk-taking in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Peterborough Over 2.5
100%Mansfield Town Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The last six meetings between these teams have averaged 3 goals per game, supporting an expectation of an open, attacking contest. Mansfield's current 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches aligns with this trend, indicating a likelihood of multiple goals and an engaging match tempo.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Peterborough v Mansfield Town prediction

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Betting context

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