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Pescara crestPescara
v
Ostia Mare crestOstia Mare

Serie C - Girone B | Sun 18 Oct, 16:30

Pescara v Ostia Mare Stats

Data last updated: Sat 17 Oct 2026, 09:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Pescara and Ostia Mare meet in Serie C - Girone B with both sides showing cautious recent form. Pescara ranks 10th with 12 points, while Ostia Mare sits 14th with 9 points. Both teams have averaged less than a goal per game recently, reflecting a tactical approach focused on defensive solidity. Low scoring rates and tight matches characterize their encounters this season, suggesting a controlled tempo and limited goal-scoring opportunities in this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Pescara concedes only 0.8 goals per game, indicating defensive resilience.
  • Ostia Mare has kept goals against to 0.6 per match, supporting a low-scoring outlook.
  • Both teams have low Over 2.5 Goals rates: Pescara 20%, Ostia Mare 0%.
  • Recent form shows Pescara scoring 1 goal per game, Ostia Mare 0.8, highlighting limited attacking output.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 66% chance, reflecting both teams' strong defensive records and low scoring rates. Pescara and Ostia Mare have combined for few goals recently, with Ostia Mare not exceeding 2.5 goals in any match this season. The price at 2.1 offers positive value given the implied chance is only 47.6%. This suggests a high probability of a tight, low-scoring game, consistent with tactical caution and defensive discipline shown by both sides.

Model Chance62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Goals For/AgainstLow scoring and conceding rates
Strong positive
Over 2.5 Goals RatePescara 20%, Ostia Mare 0%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a solid pick given both teams' defensive strengths and limited attacking output. Pescara and Ostia Mare have shown disciplined defensive structures, resulting in low goal concessions. The recent form data supports a cautious game with few clear chances, making a low-scoring outcome the most probable scenario.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical defensive discipline and low scoring likelihood

“This fixture is poised for a tactical battle with both sides prioritizing defensive organization over attacking risk, making Under 2.5 Goals a logical expectation based on their recent performances and goal trends.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Pescara concedes only 0.8 goals per game, indicating defensive resilience.

Ostia Mare has kept goals against to 0.6 per match, supporting a low-scoring outlook.

Recent form shows Pescara scoring 1 goal per game, Ostia Mare 0.8, highlighting limited attacking output.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • No head-to-head data exists for this fixture, but recent Over 2.5 Goals trends in Serie C - Girone B show low scoring rates.
  • Both teams' low Over 2.5 percentages over the current season indicate a trend towards defensive matches with fewer goals, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals outlook.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Pescara1
Avg goals scored
Ostia Mare0.8
Pescara0.8
Avg goals conceded
Ostia Mare0.6
Pescara60%
BTTS rate
Ostia Mare40%
Pescara20%
Over 2.5 goals
Ostia Mare0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 41%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Both teams have low goals scored and conceded per game, with Ostia Mare particularly showing a 0% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season. The BTTS No angle fits the controlled scoring environment, as neither side consistently threatens to score multiple goals or concede heavily.

Continue the research

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Pescara

DWLWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 3L
12 Oct 2026H Guidonia Montecelio 19371-1
03 Oct 2026A Livorno1-0
27 Sep 2026H Spezia1-2
20 Sep 2026A Vado1-0
16 Sep 2026H Gubbio1-1

Ostia Mare

DDDWL
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 4L
10 Oct 2026H Pianese0-0
04 Oct 2026A Latina1-1
27 Sep 2026H Forli1-1
20 Sep 2026A Gubbio2-0
16 Sep 2026H Ravenna0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +14.9 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Ostia Mare Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Ostia Mare to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 79%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Pescara Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Pescara to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Recent form data shows Pescara scoring 1 goal per game and Ostia Mare 0.8, with both conceding fewer than one goal per match. This steady but low offensive output supports the likelihood of a low-scoring encounter, consistent with the Under 2.5 Goals pick.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 58% · edge +5.5 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Ostia Mare Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Ostia Mare to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Pescara Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Pescara to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The 62.6% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Pescara and 0% for Ostia Mare, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Pescara Over 2.5
0%Ostia Mare Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
No head-to-head data exists for this fixture, but recent Over 2.5 Goals trends in Serie C - Girone B show low scoring rates. Both teams' low Over 2.5 percentages over the current season indicate a trend towards defensive matches with fewer goals, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals outlook.

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