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Pergolettese crestPergolettese
v
Lumezzane crestLumezzane

Serie C - Girone A | Sun 25 Oct, 16:30

Pergolettese v Lumezzane Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Pergolettese and Lumezzane meet in Serie C - Girone A with both sides showing attacking intent this season. Pergolettese sits 8th with 14 points, while Lumezzane is 12th with 12 points, reflecting a competitive mid-table clash. Both teams have scored an average of 1.4 goals per game recently, indicating offensive capabilities. Pergolettese concedes fewer goals on average, but Lumezzane's higher over 2.5 goals rate suggests open, goal-rich encounters. This fixture promises a balanced contest with both sides likely to find the net, given their recent scoring trends and league positions.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Pergolettese and Lumezzane both average 1.4 goals scored per game recently.
  • Pergolettese concedes 1 goal per match; Lumezzane concedes 1.6, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Lumezzane has an 80% BTTS rate, Pergolettese 60%, supporting both teams scoring.
  • Over 2.5 goals occur in 60% of Pergolettese's and 80% of Lumezzane's recent matches.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2 over their last 6 meetings, showing goal potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong offensive outputs from Pergolettese and Lumezzane. Both teams maintain high BTTS rates, especially Lumezzane at 80%, and average 1.4 goals scored per game, indicating consistent attacking threat. Defensive records show Pergolettese concedes fewer goals, but Lumezzane's openness boosts the likelihood of goals at both ends. The 17.6% and positive at 1.91 make this a compelling pick without price caution. No data limitations affect in this selection.

Pergolettese BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Lumezzane BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Average Goals Scored (Both)1.4 per game
Positive
Pergolettese Goals Against1.0 per game
Neutral
Lumezzane Goals Against1.6 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown solid attacking form, with Lumezzane particularly prone to conceding goals. Pergolettese's balanced scoring and defense suggest a match where both sides can find the net. The data supports a BTTS outcome, reflecting the offensive tendencies and defensive gaps evident in recent performances.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“This fixture features two sides with clear attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams to score a logical expectation given their recent goal-scoring and conceding patterns.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Pergolettese and Lumezzane both average 1.4 goals scored per game recently.

Pergolettese concedes 1 goal per match; Lumezzane concedes 1.6, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Lumezzane has an 80% BTTS rate, Pergolettese 60%, supporting both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals occur in 60% of Pergolettese's and 80% of Lumezzane's recent matches.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
  • Recent over 2.5 goals rates of 60% for Pergolettese and 80% for Lumezzane suggest a tempo favoring multiple goals.
  • This trend points to a lively game with chances for both teams to score and possibly exceed two goals total.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Pergolettese1.4
Avg goals scored
Lumezzane1.4
Pergolettese1
Avg goals conceded
Lumezzane1.6
Pergolettese60%
BTTS rate
Lumezzane80%
Pergolettese60%
Over 2.5 goals
Lumezzane80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 36%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both Pergolettese and Lumezzane average 1.4 goals scored per game, with Lumezzane conceding 1.6 goals on average, highlighting defensive openness. Their BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively underline a strong trend for both sides to find the net. The head-to-head average of 2 goals over six matches further supports a goal-rich encounter.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Pergolettese to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Pergolettese Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Lumezzane Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Lumezzane to WinBetUK guide price · model 30%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
The 67.4% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 52.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Pergolettese show a 60% BTTS rate and Lumezzane show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Pergolettese

WWDDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
18 Oct 2026A Ospitaletto3-2
10 Oct 2026H Athletic Carpi2-1
03 Oct 2026A Arzignano Valchiampo2-2
26 Sep 2026H Trento0-0
20 Sep 2026A Lecco0-0

Lumezzane

LDWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
17 Oct 2026A Athletic Carpi1-3
13 Oct 2026A Juventus U230-0
10 Oct 2026H Albinoleffe3-2
26 Sep 2026H Folgore Caratese1-2
21 Sep 2026A Dolomiti Bellunesi2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 81% vs implied 75% · edge +5.7 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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Pergolettese to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Pergolettese Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Lumezzane Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Lumezzane to WinBetUK guide price · model 30%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
Recent form shows Pergolettese earning 9 points with a 60% BTTS rate and Lumezzane securing 7 points with an 80% BTTS rate. Both teams score and concede regularly, reflecting matches that tend to be open and competitive. This form data aligns well with the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Pergolettese Over 2.5
80%Lumezzane Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2, indicating a moderate scoring trend. Recent over 2.5 goals rates of 60% for Pergolettese and 80% for Lumezzane suggest a tempo favoring multiple goals. This trend points to a lively game with chances for both teams to score and possibly exceed two goals total.

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