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PEC Zwolle crestPEC Zwolle
v
GO Ahead Eagles crestGO Ahead Eagles

Eredivisie | Sun 18 Oct, 11:15

PEC Zwolle v GO Ahead Eagles Stats

Data last updated: Sat 17 Oct 2026, 09:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

GO Ahead Eagles visit PEC Zwolle in an Eredivisie clash where recent form and attacking prowess set the stage for an away win. GO Ahead Eagles have been more clinical offensively, averaging 2 goals per game compared to PEC Zwolle's 0.6, while defensively both sides have struggled. The Eagles' higher league standing and better recent points tally reflect their momentum. This match presents a tactical battle with GO Ahead Eagles likely to leverage their sharper attack and more consistent form to secure victory.

BT4Y best bet

GO Ahead Eagles to Win

  • GO Ahead Eagles have scored 2 goals per game recently, PEC Zwolle only 0.6
  • GO Ahead Eagles hold a 9-place advantage in the league standings
  • PEC Zwolle concede over 3 goals per game, GO Ahead Eagles concede 2.6
  • GO Ahead Eagles average 15.6 shots and 5.8 shots on target per match
  • GO Ahead Eagles have a 67% to win, showing strong value at 1.95

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors GO Ahead Eagles to win with a 67.2% chance, significantly above the implied market chance of 51.3%, indicating strong value. The Eagles' superior attacking metrics, including higher shots and goals scored, combined with better recent form and league position, underpin this . Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest an open game, but GO Ahead Eagles' offensive edge and consistent scoring make them the likely winners. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Chance66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Neutral
Value Edge66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Goals Scored2.0 per game (GO Ahead Eagles) vs 0.6 (PEC Zwolle)
Strong positive
Shots on Target5.8 vs 3.6
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

GO Ahead Eagles' superior attacking form and higher league standing make them the tactical and statistical favorites to win this match. Their ability to generate more shots and goals recently complements their momentum, suggesting they can overcome PEC Zwolle's home challenge and secure victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“GO Ahead Eagles demonstrate a clear offensive advantage and better recent form, positioning them strongly to claim all three points in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

GO Ahead Eagles to Win evidence

GO Ahead Eagles have scored 2 goals per game recently, PEC Zwolle only 0.6

GO Ahead Eagles hold a 9-place advantage in the league standings

PEC Zwolle concede over 3 goals per game, GO Ahead Eagles concede 2.6

GO Ahead Eagles average 15.6 shots and 5.8 shots on target per match

What To Watch In The Data

GO Ahead Eagles to Win notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.7, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • PEC Zwolle's 80% over 2.5 goals rate and GO Ahead Eagles' 60% rate in recent matches suggest this fixture is likely to feature multiple goals, driven by open play and defensive lapses.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

PEC Zwolle0.6
Avg goals scored
GO Ahead Eagles2
PEC Zwolle3.2
Avg goals conceded
GO Ahead Eagles2.6
PEC Zwolle40%
BTTS rate
GO Ahead Eagles100%
PEC Zwolle80%
Over 2.5 goals
GO Ahead Eagles60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 85%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 49%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, with PEC Zwolle conceding over 3 goals per game and GO Ahead Eagles conceding 2.6. GO Ahead Eagles' strong scoring rate and PEC Zwolle's 40% BTTS rate indicate a moderate chance of both teams scoring, while the high over 2.5 goals rate for PEC Zwolle (80%) suggests a potentially open and goal-rich encounter.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickGO Ahead Eagles to WinBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
GO Ahead Eagles Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The 66.3% for GO Ahead Eagles to Win sits against roughly 51.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). GO Ahead Eagles have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for PEC Zwolle.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

PEC Zwolle

LLLDL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 6L
11 Oct 2026H Cambuur0-1
18 Sep 2026A Groningen0-3
13 Sep 2026H Feyenoord0-7
04 Sep 2026A Sparta Rotterdam2-2
29 Aug 2026H NEC Nijmegen1-3

GO Ahead Eagles

DDDDL
Last 50W 4D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 1L
10 Oct 2026H Sparta Rotterdam3-3
20 Sep 2026A NEC Nijmegen1-1
12 Sep 2026H Groningen1-1
08 Sep 2026A Utrecht3-3
29 Aug 2026A AZ Alkmaar2-5
Market aligned with main pickGO Ahead Eagles to WinBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
GO Ahead Eagles Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
GO Ahead Eagles have accumulated 4 points recently with a strong attacking output of 2 goals per game, contrasting with PEC Zwolle's 1 point and 0.6 goals per game. This form disparity highlights GO Ahead Eagles' momentum and scoring consistency, reinforcing their chances to secure a win in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%PEC Zwolle Over 2.5
60%GO Ahead Eagles Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.7, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. PEC Zwolle's 80% over 2.5 goals rate and GO Ahead Eagles' 60% rate in recent matches suggest this fixture is likely to feature multiple goals, driven by open play and defensive lapses.

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