Parma
SassuoloSerie A | Sun 28 Feb, 17:30
Parma v Sassuolo Stats
Data last updated: Mon 12 Oct 2026, 22:18 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Parma face Sassuolo in Serie A on Sun 28 Feb, 17:30. Players relax, shape disappears, emotions spill over and suddenly a sleepy final-day fixture becomes chaotic theatre.
Ly than Parma, averaging 1
- Ly than Parma, averaging 1 is rated around 27% by the current BT4Y model.
- With eight of their last 10 fixtures featuring fewer than three goals, their structural setup minimises spaces centrally and directly matches Sassuolo's historical instability.
- Sassuolo have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Parma.
- Sassuolo have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Ly than Parma, averaging 1 angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Parma sit 18 in the table, while Sassuolo sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model rates Ly than Parma, averaging 1 around 27% on the latest available numbers. Sassuolo have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Parma. With eight of their last 10 fixtures featuring fewer than three goals, their structural setup minimises spaces centrally and directly matches Sassuolo's historical instability.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Parma Win is the preferred angle because with eight of their last 10 fixtures featuring fewer than three goals, their structural setup minimises spaces centrally and directly matches Sassuolo's historical instability away from home. Sassuolo have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Parma. While this brings elevated risk and lower probability due to unexpected late transitions or game-state adjustments, it delivers significant pricing depth for targeted outcomes.
While this brings elevated risk and lower probability due to unexpected late transitions or game-state adjustments, it delivers significant pricing depth for targeted outcomes.
Key Data Signals
Ly than Parma, averaging 1 evidence
With eight of their last 10 fixtures featuring fewer than three goals, their structural setup minimises spaces centrally.
Sassuolo have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Parma.
Sassuolo have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Parma Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Parma sit 18 in the table, while Sassuolo sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Ly than Parma, averaging 1 notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Useful next reads
Market odds
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Parma
Sassuolo
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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