Football Stats Hub

Parma crestParma
v
Monza crestMonza

Serie A | Sun 06 Sep, 14:00

Parma v Monza Stats

Data last updated: Thu 01 Oct 2026, 05:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Parma face Monza in Serie A on Sun 06 Sep, 14:00. Monza have conceded 7 goals in two league games, so Parma are facing a defence already allowing opponents regular reward. Parma and Monza arrive with similar form, leaving fine margins likely to decide the result.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 20/23, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Parma show a 0% BTTS rate and Monza show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Parma average 0 goals scored and Monza average 1.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. Parma show a 0% BTTS rate and Monza show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Positive
Parma show a 0% BTTS rate and Monza show a.Visible data support
Positive
Parma average 0 goals scored and Monza average 1.5, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Parma show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Monza show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. However, facing a Monza side that conceded four to Inter Milan and three to Udinese offers Parma their most realistic opportunity to score.

Main risk

However, facing a Monza side that conceded four to Inter Milan and three to Udinese offers Parma their most realistic opportunity to score.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Parma show a 0% BTTS rate and Monza show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Parma average 0 goals scored and Monza average 1.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Parma0
Avg goals scored
Monza1.5
Parma1.5
Avg goals conceded
Monza3.5
Parma0%
BTTS rate
Monza100%
Parma0%
Over 2.5 goals
Monza100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 29%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Parma Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Monza to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Monza Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Parma

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
29 Aug 2026A Juventus0-2
22 Aug 2026H Cagliari0-1

Monza

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
29 Aug 2026H Udinese2-3
22 Aug 2026A Inter1-4
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 67% · edge -2.5 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Parma Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Monza to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Monza Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Parma Over 2.5
100%Monza Over 2.5
1.75H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Parma sit at 0% and Monza sit at 100% with the H2H average at 1.75 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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