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Parma crestParma
v
AS Roma crestAS Roma

Serie A | Sat 21 Nov, 17:00

Parma v AS Roma Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 23:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Parma face AS Roma in Serie A on Sat 21 Nov, 17:00. Parma come in with 4 recent points and 0.8 goals per match, while AS Roma have 11 points and 2.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

AS Roma to Win

  • AS Roma to Win is rated around 70% by the current BT4Y model.
  • AS Roma have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for Parma.
  • AS Roma have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the AS Roma to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Parma sit 15 in the table, while AS Roma sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates AS Roma to Win around 70% on the latest available numbers. AS Roma have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for Parma.

AS Roma have the stronger recent points return, taking 11.Visible data support
Positive
AS Roma have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: AS Roma Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers AS Roma have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for Parma. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

AS Roma to Win evidence

AS Roma have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for Parma.

AS Roma have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the AS Roma Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Parma sit 15 in the table, while AS Roma sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

AS Roma to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Parma0.8
    Avg goals scored
    AS Roma2.8
    Parma1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    AS Roma1.4
    Parma20%
    BTTS rate
    AS Roma60%
    Parma80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    AS Roma60%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Useful next reads

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Parma

    WDLLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 6L
    02 Nov 2026A Atalanta3-0
    28 Oct 2026H Udinese0-0
    24 Oct 2026A Lazio1-2
    19 Oct 2026H Torino0-3
    10 Oct 2026A Inter0-3

    AS Roma

    WWDWD
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 3D 0L
    31 Oct 2026A Udinese5-2
    27 Oct 2026H Cagliari4-2
    24 Oct 2026A Napoli3-3
    17 Oct 2026H Genoa2-0
    11 Oct 2026A Como0-0

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Parma Over 2.5
    60%AS Roma Over 2.5
    2.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Parma sit at 80% and AS Roma sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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