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Parma crestParma
v
AS Roma crestAS Roma

Serie A | Sun 10 May, 17:00

Parma v AS Roma Stats

Data last updated: Mon 06 Jul 2026, 11:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Parma face AS Roma in Serie A on Sun 10 May, 17:00. Parma come in with 8 recent points and 0.8 goals per match, while AS Roma have 10 points and 2.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • At 1.67, Over 8.5 Corners implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 75%.
  • AS Roma lead the corner sample at 4.6 per match, with Parma lower at 4.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Parma average 7.8 and AS Roma average 11.4.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 75% for Over 8.5 Corners sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. AS Roma lead the corner sample at 4.6 per match, with Parma lower at 4.

Model chance vs price75% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Strong positive
AS Roma lead the corner sample at 4.6 per match.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 8.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers AS Roma lead the corner sample at 4.6 per match, with Parma lower at 4. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

AS Roma lead the corner sample at 4.6 per match, with Parma lower at 4.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Parma average 7.8 and AS Roma average 11.4.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Parma4
Avg corners for
AS Roma4.6
Parma11.2
Avg total corners
AS Roma10.2
Parma0.8
Avg yellow cards
AS Roma1.6
Parma7.8
Avg shots
AS Roma11.4
Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A hubcorners trends hubplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Parma0.8
Avg goals scored
AS Roma2.4
Parma0.8
Avg goals conceded
AS Roma1.2
Parma40%
BTTS rate
AS Roma40%
Parma0%
Over 2.5 goals
AS Roma60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 48% · edge +12.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Parma Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
AS Roma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
AS Roma Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Over 8.5 Corners is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Parma

LWWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
03 May 2026A Inter0-2
25 Apr 2026H Pisa1-0
18 Apr 2026A Udinese1-0
12 Apr 2026H Napoli1-1
04 Apr 2026A Lazio1-1

AS Roma

WWDWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
04 May 2026H Fiorentina4-0
25 Apr 2026A Bologna2-0
18 Apr 2026H Atalanta1-1
10 Apr 2026H Pisa3-0
05 Apr 2026A Inter2-5
Best odds for this sectionParma Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 25% · edge +20 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
AS Roma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
AS Roma Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Parma wins
0Draws
8AS Roma wins
29 Oct 2025AS Roma v Parma2-1
16 Feb 2025Parma v AS Roma0-1
22 Dec 2024AS Roma v Parma5-0
14 Mar 2021Parma v AS Roma2-0
22 Nov 2020AS Roma v Parma3-0
08 Jul 2020AS Roma v Parma2-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 48% · edge +12.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
AS Roma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Serie A

Parma38
Played
AS Roma38
Parma0.7
Avg goals for
AS Roma1.6
Parma1.2
Avg goals against
AS Roma0.8
Parma13
Clean sheets
AS Roma18
Best odds for this sectionParma Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 25% · edge +20 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
Load more odds for this section
Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
AS Roma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
AS Roma Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Season data supports Parma Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3AS Roma73382341128
13Parma4538111215-18
Parma sit in position 13, while AS Roma sit in position 3, so table pressure belongs in the Over 8.5 Corners assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Parma Over 2.5
60%AS Roma Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Parma sit at 0% and AS Roma sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Serie A hubSerie A hubcorners trends hubplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictions

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