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Paris Saint Germain crestParis Saint Germain
v
Stade Brestois 29 crestStade Brestois 29

Ligue 1 | Sun 10 May, 20:00

Paris Saint Germain v Stade Brestois 29 Stats

Data last updated: Wed 08 Jul 2026, 04:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Paris Saint Germain face Stade Brestois 29 in Ligue 1 on Sun 10 May, 20:00. Paris Saint Germain come in with 10 recent points and 2.4 goals per match, while Stade Brestois 29 have 2 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.91, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • Paris Saint Germain show a 60% BTTS rate and Stade Brestois 29 show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Paris Saint Germain average 2.4 goals scored and Stade Brestois 29 average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. Paris Saint Germain show a 60% BTTS rate and Stade Brestois 29 show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Strong positive
Paris Saint Germain show a 60% BTTS rate and Stade.Visible data support
Positive
Paris Saint Germain average 2.4 goals scored and Stade Brestois.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Paris Saint Germain show a 60% BTTS rate and Stade Brestois 29 show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Paris Saint Germain show a 60% BTTS rate and Stade Brestois 29 show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Paris Saint Germain average 2.4 goals scored and Stade Brestois 29 average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Paris Saint Germain8.2
Avg corners for
Stade Brestois 291.8
Paris Saint Germain12.2
Avg total corners
Stade Brestois 299.2
Paris Saint Germain2
Avg yellow cards
Stade Brestois 292.6
Paris Saint Germain19
Avg shots
Stade Brestois 297.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Paris Saint Germain2.4
Avg goals scored
Stade Brestois 291.4
Paris Saint Germain1
Avg goals conceded
Stade Brestois 293
Paris Saint Germain60%
BTTS rate
Stade Brestois 2960%
Paris Saint Germain100%
Over 2.5 goals
Stade Brestois 2980%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 52% · edge +20.9 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 52% · edge +20.9 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Stade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
6.8
Check odds @ 6.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Paris Saint Germain to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Paris Saint Germain Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Paris Saint Germain

DWWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
02 May 2026H Lorient2-2
25 Apr 2026A Angers3-0
22 Apr 2026H Nantes3-0
19 Apr 2026H Lyon1-2
03 Apr 2026H Toulouse3-1

Stade Brestois 29

LDDLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
03 May 2026A Paris FC0-4
24 Apr 2026H Lens3-3
19 Apr 2026A Nantes1-1
04 Apr 2026H Rennes3-4
21 Mar 2026A Auxerre0-3
Best odds for this sectionStade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 15% · edge +27.3 pts
6.8
Check odds @ 6.8
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Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 45%
4.76
Check odds @ 4.76
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.03
Check odds @ 1.03
Paris Saint Germain to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Paris Saint Germain Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

9Paris Saint Germain wins
1Draws
0Stade Brestois 29 wins
25 Oct 2025Stade Brestois 29 v Paris Saint Germain0-3
19 Feb 2025Paris Saint Germain v Stade Brestois 297-0
11 Feb 2025Stade Brestois 29 v Paris Saint Germain0-3
01 Feb 2025Stade Brestois 29 v Paris Saint Germain2-5
14 Sep 2024Paris Saint Germain v Stade Brestois 293-1
07 Feb 2024Paris Saint Germain v Stade Brestois 293-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 52% · edge +20.9 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Paris Saint Germain to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Ligue 1

Paris Saint Germain34
Played
Stade Brestois 2934
Paris Saint Germain2.2
Avg goals for
Stade Brestois 291.3
Paris Saint Germain0.9
Avg goals against
Stade Brestois 291.6
Paris Saint Germain18
Clean sheets
Stade Brestois 299
Best odds for this sectionStade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 15% · edge +27.3 pts
6.8
Check odds @ 6.8
Load more odds for this section
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Paris Saint Germain to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Paris Saint Germain Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Season data supports Stade Brestois 29 Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Paris Saint Germain7634244645
12Stade Brestois 29393410915-12
Paris Saint Germain sit in position 1, while Stade Brestois 29 sit in position 12, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Paris Saint Germain Over 2.5
80%Stade Brestois 29 Over 2.5
4.1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Paris Saint Germain sit at 100% and Stade Brestois 29 sit at 80% with the H2H average at 4.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Fixture links

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Betting context

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