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Paris FC crestParis FC
v
Stade Brestois 29 crestStade Brestois 29

Ligue 1 | Sun 03 May, 16:15

Paris FC v Stade Brestois 29 Stats

Data last updated: Tue 30 Jun 2026, 07:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Paris FC face Stade Brestois 29 in Ligue 1 on Sun 03 May, 16:15. Paris FC come in with 10 recent points and 2.2 goals per match, while Stade Brestois 29 have 2 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 3, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 33%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Paris FC show a 80% BTTS rate and Stade Brestois 29 show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Paris FC average 2.2 goals scored and Stade Brestois 29 average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 33% implied by the current price. Paris FC show a 80% BTTS rate and Stade Brestois 29 show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 33% implied
Strong positive
Paris FC show a 80% BTTS rate and Stade Brestois.Visible data support
Positive
Paris FC average 2.2 goals scored and Stade Brestois 29.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Paris FC show a 80% BTTS rate and Stade Brestois 29 show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Paris FC show a 80% BTTS rate and Stade Brestois 29 show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Paris FC average 2.2 goals scored and Stade Brestois 29 average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Paris FC5.6
Avg corners for
Stade Brestois 292.8
Paris FC11.6
Avg total corners
Stade Brestois 299.4
Paris FC2.2
Avg yellow cards
Stade Brestois 292.6
Paris FC11.2
Avg shots
Stade Brestois 298.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 50% · edge +19 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Paris FC2.2
Avg goals scored
Stade Brestois 291.4
Paris FC1.2
Avg goals conceded
Stade Brestois 292.6
Paris FC80%
BTTS rate
Stade Brestois 2960%
Paris FC60%
Over 2.5 goals
Stade Brestois 2960%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 33% · edge +42.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 24%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 33% · edge +42.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Paris FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
2
Check odds @ 2
Paris FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Stade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Paris FC

LWWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
26 Apr 2026H Lille0-1
19 Apr 2026A Metz3-1
10 Apr 2026H Monaco4-1
05 Apr 2026A Lorient1-1
22 Mar 2026H Le Havre3-2

Stade Brestois 29

DDLLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
24 Apr 2026H Lens3-3
19 Apr 2026A Nantes1-1
04 Apr 2026H Rennes3-4
21 Mar 2026A Auxerre0-3
14 Mar 2026A Monaco0-2
Best odds for this sectionParis FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 50% · edge +28 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Paris FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
2
Check odds @ 2
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Stade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Paris FC wins
5Draws
3Stade Brestois 29 wins
14 Sep 2025Stade Brestois 29 v Paris FC1-2
21 Jan 2019Paris FC v Stade Brestois 290-1
10 Aug 2018Stade Brestois 29 v Paris FC1-1
24 Feb 2018Paris FC v Stade Brestois 290-1
22 Sep 2017Stade Brestois 29 v Paris FC1-1
08 Aug 2017Paris FC v Stade Brestois 290-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 33% · edge +42.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Paris FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
2
Check odds @ 2
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Ligue 1

Paris FC34
Played
Stade Brestois 2934
Paris FC1.4
Avg goals for
Stade Brestois 291.3
Paris FC1.5
Avg goals against
Stade Brestois 291.6
Paris FC8
Clean sheets
Stade Brestois 299
Best odds for this sectionParis FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 50% · edge +28 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Paris FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
2
Check odds @ 2
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Stade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Season data supports Paris FC Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Paris FC4434111112-3
12Stade Brestois 29393410915-12
Paris FC sit in position 11, while Stade Brestois 29 sit in position 12, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Paris FC Over 2.5
60%Stade Brestois 29 Over 2.5
1.33H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Paris FC sit at 60% and Stade Brestois 29 sit at 60% with the H2H average at 1.33 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Betting context

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