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Paris FC crestParis FC
v
Paris Saint Germain crestParis Saint Germain

Ligue 1 | Sun 17 May, 20:00

Paris FC v Paris Saint Germain Stats

Data last updated: Wed 17 Jun 2026, 06:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Paris FC face Paris Saint Germain in Ligue 1 on Sun 17 May, 20:00. Paris FC have won four of their last six home league matches, scoring 12 goals across victories against Brest, Monaco and Le Havre.

BT4Y best bet

Ing the winner with the requirement for both teams to score at least one goal

  • At 6/4, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
  • This market combines picking the winner with the requirement for both teams to score at least one goal.
  • Paris FC show a 60% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Paris FC average 2.4 goals scored and Paris Saint Germain average 2.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 60% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price. Paris FC show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Paris Saint Germain show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. This market combines picking the winner with the requirement for both teams to score at least one goal.

Model chance vs price60% model chance against roughly 40% implied
Strong positive
Paris FC show a 60% BTTS rate and Paris Saint.Visible data support
Positive
Paris FC average 2.4 goals scored and Paris Saint Germain.Visible data support
Positive
This market combines picking the winner with the requirement.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because this market combines picking the winner with the requirement for both teams to score at least one goal. Paris FC show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Paris Saint Germain show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Pros: High returns on dominant but defensively open sides.

Main risk

Pros: High returns on dominant but defensively open sides.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

This market combines picking the winner with the requirement for both teams to score at least one goal.

Paris FC show a 60% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Paris FC average 2.4 goals scored and Paris Saint Germain average 2.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Paris FC2.4
Avg goals scored
Paris Saint Germain2.2
Paris FC1
Avg goals conceded
Paris Saint Germain0.4
Paris FC60%
BTTS rate
Paris Saint Germain20%
Paris FC80%
Over 2.5 goals
Paris Saint Germain60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 67% · edge -6.7 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 79%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price: the BTTS rates are 60% for Paris FC and 20% for Paris Saint Germain, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 67% · edge -6.7 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Paris FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Paris Saint Germain Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Paris Saint Germain to WinBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Paris FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Ligue 1 fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Paris FC4.4
Avg corners for
Paris Saint Germain7.8
Paris FC10.6
Avg total corners
Paris Saint Germain12
Paris FC2.6
Avg yellow cards
Paris Saint Germain1.2
Paris FC12.4
Avg shots
Paris Saint Germain17.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 51% · edge +18.5 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Paris FC

LWLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
10 May 2026A Rennes1-2
03 May 2026H Stade Brestois 294-0
26 Apr 2026H Lille0-1
19 Apr 2026A Metz3-1
10 Apr 2026H Monaco4-1

Paris Saint Germain

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
13 May 2026A Lens2-0
10 May 2026H Stade Brestois 291-0
02 May 2026H Lorient2-2
25 Apr 2026A Angers3-0
22 Apr 2026H Nantes3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 86% · edge -1.9 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
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Paris FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.37
Check odds @ 2.37
Paris Saint Germain Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Paris Saint Germain to WinBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Paris FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Paris FC wins
0Draws
2Paris Saint Germain wins
12 Jan 2026Paris Saint Germain v Paris FC0-1
04 Jan 2026Paris Saint Germain v Paris FC2-1
16 Dec 2022Paris Saint Germain v Paris FC2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 67% · edge -6.7 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Paris Saint Germain to WinBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Paris FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ligue 1

Paris FC34
Played
Paris Saint Germain34
Paris FC1.4
Avg goals for
Paris Saint Germain2.2
Paris FC1.5
Avg goals against
Paris Saint Germain0.9
Paris FC8
Clean sheets
Paris Saint Germain18
Best odds for this sectionParis FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 32% · edge +12.7 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Paris Saint Germain Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Paris Saint Germain to WinBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Paris FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Season data supports Paris FC Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Paris Saint Germain7634244645
11Paris FC4434111112-3
Paris FC sit in position 11, while Paris Saint Germain sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Paris FC Over 2.5
60%Paris Saint Germain Over 2.5
2.33H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Paris FC sit at 80% and Paris Saint Germain sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.33 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Paris FC v Paris Saint Germain prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

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