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Paris FC crestParis FC
v
Paris Saint Germain crestParis Saint Germain

Ligue 1 | Sat 03 Apr, 16:00

Paris FC v Paris Saint Germain Stats

Data last updated: Tue 20 Oct 2026, 02:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Paris FC face Paris Saint Germain in Ligue 1 on Sat 03 Apr, 16:00. Paris FC have won four of their last six home league matches, scoring 12 goals across victories against Brest, Monaco and Le Havre.

BT4Y best bet

Ing the winner with the requirement for both teams to score at least one goal

  • At 6/4, Ing the winner with the requirement for both teams to score at least one goal implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 55%.
  • This market combines picking the winner with the requirement for both teams to score at least one goal.
  • Paris FC show a 60% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Paris FC average 1.8 goals scored and Paris Saint Germain average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 55% for Ing the winner with the requirement for both teams to score at least one goal sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price. Paris FC show a 60% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. This market combines picking the winner with the requirement for both teams to score at least one goal.

Model chance vs price55% model chance against roughly 40% implied
Strong positive
Paris FC show a 60% BTTS rate and Paris Saint.Visible data support
Positive
Paris FC average 1.8 goals scored and Paris Saint Germain.Visible data support
Positive
This market combines picking the winner with the requirement.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because this market combines picking the winner with the requirement for both teams to score at least one goal. Paris FC show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Paris Saint Germain show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Pros: High returns on dominant but defensively open sides.

Main risk

Pros: High returns on dominant but defensively open sides.

Key Data Signals

Ing the winner with the requirement for both teams to score at least one goal evidence

This market combines picking the winner with the requirement for both teams to score at least one goal.

Paris FC show a 60% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Paris FC average 1.8 goals scored and Paris Saint Germain average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Ing the winner with the requirement for both teams to score at least one goal notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Paris FC1.8
Avg goals scored
Paris Saint Germain2
Paris FC1.4
Avg goals conceded
Paris Saint Germain1
Paris FC60%
BTTS rate
Paris Saint Germain80%
Paris FC60%
Over 2.5 goals
Paris Saint Germain80%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Paris FC

WLWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 1L
18 Oct 2026H Rennes4-3
10 Oct 2026A Lorient0-1
19 Sep 2026H Strasbourg2-1
12 Sep 2026H Lyon0-0
06 Sep 2026A Marseille3-2

Paris Saint Germain

WWWWL
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 1L
17 Oct 2026A Strasbourg3-1
10 Oct 2026H Le Mans3-1
20 Sep 2026A Marseille2-1
13 Sep 2026A Stade Brestois 291-0
04 Sep 2026H Monaco1-2

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Paris FC Over 2.5
80%Paris Saint Germain Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Paris FC sit at 60% and Paris Saint Germain sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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