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Paredes crestParedes
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Lusitânia Lourosa crestLusitânia Lourosa

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 01 Aug, 19:30

Paredes v Lusitânia Lourosa Stats

Data last updated: Fri 31 Jul 2026, 04:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Paredes face Lusitânia Lourosa in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 01 Aug, 19:30. Paredes come in with 3 recent points and 2 goals per match, while Lusitânia Lourosa have 5 points and 0.8 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Under 2.5 Goals is rated around 66% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Paredes and 20% for Lusitânia Lourosa, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Paredes are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Lusitânia Lourosa at 0.8.
  • BTTS rates of 50% for Paredes and 20% for Lusitânia Lourosa show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Under 2.5 Goals around 66% on the latest available numbers. The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Paredes and 20% for Lusitânia Lourosa, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Paredes and 20%.Visible data support
Positive
Paredes are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Paredes are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Lusitânia Lourosa at 0.8. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Paredes are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Lusitânia Lourosa at 0.8.

BTTS rates of 50% for Paredes and 20% for Lusitânia Lourosa show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Paredes2
Avg goals scored
Lusitânia Lourosa0.8
Paredes2
Avg goals conceded
Lusitânia Lourosa1.2
Paredes50%
BTTS rate
Lusitânia Lourosa20%
Paredes50%
Over 2.5 goals
Lusitânia Lourosa20%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Paredes

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
22 Jul 2026A AVS4-2
18 Jul 2026A Santa Clara0-2

Lusitânia Lourosa

DDWLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 2L
29 Jul 2026A Leça0-0
29 Jul 2026H FC Porto B3-3
25 Jul 2026H Academico Viseu1-0
18 Jul 2026H SC Braga B0-2
15 Jul 2026A Famalicao0-1

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Paredes wins
3Draws
0Lusitânia Lourosa wins
09 Feb 2020Lusitânia Lourosa v Paredes2-2
15 Sep 2019Paredes v Lusitânia Lourosa0-0
08 Sep 2019Paredes v Lusitânia Lourosa0-0

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Paredes3
Played
Lusitânia Lourosa6
Paredes2.7
Avg goals for
Lusitânia Lourosa1
Paredes2
Avg goals against
Lusitânia Lourosa1.7
Paredes0
Clean sheets
Lusitânia Lourosa2

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Paredes Over 2.5
20%Lusitânia Lourosa Over 2.5
1.33H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Paredes sit at 50% and Lusitânia Lourosa sit at 20% with the H2H average at 1.33 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.