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Palmeiras crestPalmeiras
v
Cerro Porteno crestCerro Porteno

CONMEBOL Libertadores | Thu 21 May, 01:30

Palmeiras v Cerro Porteno Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 2.25, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 44% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 67%, so the current line is showing a +22.3-point value edge.
  • Palmeiras have scored in 100% of the recent sample and Cerro Porteno have scored in 75%, with BTTS rates of 75% and 25%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Palmeiras have taken 2 wins from their last 4 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Cerro Porteno have taken 2 wins from their last 4 matches, with BTTS landing in 25% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.25, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 44% · edge +22.3 pts
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
5.75
Bet HERE @ 5.75
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
8.5
Bet HERE @ 8.5
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.14
Bet HERE @ 1.14
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

25%Palmeiras Over 2.5
0%Cerro Porteno Over 2.5
2.71H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Palmeiras

WDWD
Last 52W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 0L
05 May 2026A Sporting Cristal2-0
30 Apr 2026A Cerro Porteno1-1
16 Apr 2026H Sporting Cristal2-1
09 Apr 2026A Junior1-1

Cerro Porteno

WDWL
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
08 May 2026A Junior1-0
30 Apr 2026H Palmeiras1-1
14 Apr 2026H Junior1-0
09 Apr 2026A Sporting Cristal0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 17% · edge +24.6 pts
5.75
Bet HERE @ 5.75
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
8.5
Bet HERE @ 8.5
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 79%
1.04
Bet HERE @ 1.04
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.14
Bet HERE @ 1.14
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Palmeiras1.5
Avg goals scored
Cerro Porteno0.75
Palmeiras0.75
Avg goals conceded
Cerro Porteno0.5
Palmeiras75%
BTTS rate
Cerro Porteno25%
Palmeiras25%
Over 2.5 goals
Cerro Porteno0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 44% · edge +22.3 pts
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

6Palmeiras wins
1Draws
0Cerro Porteno wins
30 Apr 2026Cerro Porteno v Palmeiras1-1
08 May 2025Cerro Porteno v Palmeiras0-2
10 Apr 2025Palmeiras v Cerro Porteno1-0
24 May 2023Cerro Porteno v Palmeiras0-3
21 Apr 2023Palmeiras v Cerro Porteno2-1
06 Jul 2022Palmeiras v Cerro Porteno5-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 44% · edge +22.3 pts
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
8.5
Bet HERE @ 8.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Palmeiras7.75
Avg corners for
Cerro Porteno2.5
Palmeiras11.75
Avg total corners
Cerro Porteno8.25
Palmeiras1
Avg yellow cards
Cerro Porteno2
Palmeiras20.5
Avg shots
Cerro Porteno8.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +7.5 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 5.5 CardsBetfred guide price
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleR. Sosa Anytime GoalscorerR. Sosa · 2 goals · 0.99 SOT/90
71/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
J. Iturbe 1+ Shot On TargetJ. Iturbe · 1.96 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
Felipe Anderson 2+ ShotsFelipe Anderson · 4.22 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Allan To Assist / Key Pass AngleAllan · 2 assists · 2.38 key passes/90
71/100
Bet HERE
Allan To Be FouledAllan · 2.9 fouls won/90
76/100
Bet HERE
J. Iturbe Card RiskJ. Iturbe · 1 yellows · 1.96 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
R. Sosa
R. SosaPalmeiras · Attacker
Goal threat51/100
Shots /901.65
SOT /900.99
J. López
J. LópezPalmeiras · Attacker
Goal threat50/100
Shots /901.76
SOT /901.26
J. Arias
J. AriasPalmeiras · Midfielder
Goal threat38/100
Shots /901.58
SOT /901.06
J. Iturbe
J. IturbeCerro Porteno · Attacker
Goal threat29/100
Shots /901.96
SOT /901.96
Maurício
MaurícioPalmeiras · Midfielder
Goal threat21/100
Shots /901.48
SOT /901.48
Felipe Anderson
Felipe AndersonPalmeiras · Midfielder
Goal threat32/100
Shots /904.22
SOT /901.41
J. Torres
J. TorresCerro Porteno · Midfielder
Goal threat38/100
Shots /901.9
SOT /901.09
F. Peralta
F. PeraltaCerro Porteno · Midfielder
Goal threat3/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras4
Played
Cerro Porteno4
Palmeiras1.5
Avg goals for
Cerro Porteno0.8
Palmeiras0.8
Avg goals against
Cerro Porteno0.5
Palmeiras1
Clean sheets
Cerro Porteno2
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 17% · edge +24.6 pts
5.75
Bet HERE @ 5.75
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
8.5
Bet HERE @ 8.5
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.14
Bet HERE @ 1.14
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Palmeiras842203
2Cerro Porteno742111

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

Football Stats, Match Data & Daily Betting Analysis

Our football stats hub is built for punters who want to go deeper than basic predictions. Every day, BettingTips4You brings together data-led match analysis for fixtures across the biggest leagues and competitions, helping readers compare teams, spot trends and understand the numbers behind every game before making a betting decision.

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For every game available, you can explore detailed match data designed to support smarter analysis. This includes how often teams score and concede, whether they tend to start quickly or finish strongly, how reliable they are at home or away, and which betting markets appear most aligned with the numbers.

Key Betting Markets Covered

These insights can be especially useful when assessing popular football betting markets such as Match Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under Goals, Double Chance, Draw No Bet and Bet Builder selections.

Football betting is rarely about one statistic in isolation. A team may look strong in the league table but struggle away from home. Another side may be inconsistent overall but create high shot volume, win corners regularly or score in most home fixtures. Our match stats help bring those details into focus, allowing you to see the wider picture before looking at prices.

Data That Supports Our Predictions

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That combination of data and analysis helps readers understand not just what the suggested bet is, but why it may make sense based on the available evidence.

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Practical Stats, Not A Wall Of Numbers

Our approach is practical rather than overwhelming. Football data can quickly become a wall of numbers, so we focus on stats that are useful for betting analysis: goal averages, recent trends, scoring patterns, defensive records, fixture context and market relevance.

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