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Vicenza Virtus crestVicenza Virtus

Serie B | Sun 01 Nov, 18:30

Palermo v Vicenza Virtus Stats

Data last updated: Mon 02 Nov 2026, 18:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Palermo hosts Vicenza Virtus in a Serie B clash where Palermo leads the table with strong attacking form, averaging 2.6 goals per game and an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Vicenza Virtus, struggling near the relegation zone, also shares an 80% over 2.5 goals rate but concedes 1.8 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams have shown offensive intent, setting the stage for an open, high-scoring encounter with Palermo's potent attack likely to challenge Vicenza's fragile defense under home conditions.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Palermo averages 2.6 goals per game with 80% over 2.5 goals matches.
  • Vicenza Virtus concedes 1.8 goals per game and also has 80% over 2.5 goals rate.
  • Recent head-to-head featured 6 goals in their only meeting, indicating high scoring potential.
  • Palermo averages 20.6 shots and 7 shots on target per game, showing offensive control.
  • Vicenza Virtus averages 11.2 shots but concedes many, suggesting defensive frailty.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 58% chance against a 42% implied market chance, reflecting a 16% . Palermo's attacking prowess combined with Vicenza Virtus's defensive struggles and high over 2.5 goals rates for both teams support a high-scoring game. The recent 6-goal head-to-head and Palermo's high shot volume reinforce the likelihood of multiple goals. No data limitations affect , making this a compelling pick for bettors seeking goal-rich action.

Palermo's high scoring rate2.6 goals per game, 80% over 2.5 rate
Strong positive
Vicenza Virtus defensive weakness1.8 goals conceded per game
Positive
Head-to-head goal average6 goals in last meeting
Strong positive
Shot volume advantagePalermo 20.6 shots per game
Positive
Market value edge55% model chance vs 40% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively match with Palermo's attacking efficiency and Vicenza Virtus's defensive frailties likely to produce multiple goals. Palermo's superior form and shot creation suggest they will dominate offensively, while Vicenza's struggles at the back increase the chance of a high-scoring game. This match is well set for Over 3.5 Goals given the attacking profiles and recent scoring trends.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking and defensive dynamics

“Palermo's dynamic midfielders and forwards create sustained pressure, while Vicenza Virtus's defensive lapses invite goal-scoring opportunities, making Over 3.5 Goals a logical expectation in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Palermo averages 2.6 goals per game with 80% over 2.5 goals matches.

Vicenza Virtus concedes 1.8 goals per game and also has 80% over 2.5 goals rate.

Recent head-to-head featured 6 goals in their only meeting, indicating high scoring potential.

Palermo averages 20.6 shots and 7 shots on target per game, showing offensive control.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last five matches involving these teams, Over 2.5 Goals occurred in 80% of Palermo's games and 80% of Vicenza Virtus's, with their only head-to-head producing 6 goals.
  • This trend indicates a fast tempo and attacking openness, with both sides prone to conceding and scoring, making a high goal count likely in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Palermo2.6
Avg goals scored
Vicenza Virtus1.2
Palermo1.4
Avg goals conceded
Vicenza Virtus1.8
Palermo80%
BTTS rate
Vicenza Virtus60%
Palermo80%
Over 2.5 goals
Vicenza Virtus80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates at 80%, with Palermo scoring 2.6 goals per game and Vicenza Virtus conceding 1.8. The recent head-to-head match featured 6 goals, underscoring the potential for an open game with goals at both ends. BTTS likelihood is supported by Palermo's offensive pressure and Vicenza's defensive lapses, suggesting multiple goal-scoring opportunities.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 61% · edge +15 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Palermo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Palermo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Vicenza Virtus Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Vicenza Virtus to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
The 55% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Palermo and 80% for Vicenza Virtus, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Palermo

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 0L
28 Oct 2026A Pisa3-3
25 Oct 2026H Carrarese2-1
17 Oct 2026A Mantova2-0
10 Oct 2026A Empoli4-2
19 Sep 2026H Padova2-1

Vicenza Virtus

LWDLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 4L
27 Oct 2026H Modena1-2
23 Oct 2026A Empoli2-0
17 Oct 2026A Benevento2-2
10 Oct 2026H Pisa0-3
20 Sep 2026A Hellas Verona1-2
Best odds for this sectionPalermo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Palermo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Vicenza Virtus Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Vicenza Virtus to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Palermo's recent form shows 13 points with an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, demonstrating consistent high-scoring matches. Vicenza Virtus has struggled with only 4 points and a 60% BTTS rate but matches Palermo's 80% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating openness in games involving both teams. This recent form data supports the likelihood of a goal-laden encounter exceeding 3.5 goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Palermo Over 2.5
80%Vicenza Virtus Over 2.5
6H2H avg goals
In the last five matches involving these teams, Over 2.5 Goals occurred in 80% of Palermo's games and 80% of Vicenza Virtus's, with their only head-to-head producing 6 goals. This trend indicates a fast tempo and attacking openness, with both sides prone to conceding and scoring, making a high goal count likely in this fixture.

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