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Palermo crestPalermo
v
Lecce crestLecce

Coppa Italia | Mon 17 Aug, 20:15

Palermo v Lecce Stats

Data last updated: Sat 03 Oct 2026, 08:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Palermo face Lecce in Coppa Italia on Mon 17 Aug, 20:15. Palermo's attack is led by Joel Pohjanpalo, who scored 24 league goals last season and five in his last 10 matches.

BT4Y match pick

Loses if either side fails to score (e

  • At 3, Loses if either side fails to score (e implies roughly 33%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 32%.
  • Palermo vs Lecce: Pohjanpalo Threat Meets Lecce’s Away Problem.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 32% for Loses if either side fails to score (e sits against roughly 33% implied by the current price. Palermo vs Lecce: Pohjanpalo Threat Meets Lecce’s Away Problem.

Model chance vs price32% model chance against roughly 33% implied
Neutral
Palermo vs Lecce: Pohjanpalo Threat Meets Lecce’s Away Problem.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -1.4 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Lecce Win is the preferred angle because palermo vs Lecce: Pohjanpalo Threat Meets Lecce’s Away Problem. Those figures do not automatically dictate how Monday unfolds, but they do suggest a team that has not consistently generated large attacking volume.

Main risk

Those figures do not automatically dictate how Monday unfolds, but they do suggest a team that has not consistently generated large attacking volume.

Key Data Signals

Loses if either side fails to score (e evidence

Palermo vs Lecce: Pohjanpalo Threat Meets Lecce’s Away Problem.

What To Watch In The Data

Loses if either side fails to score (e notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLecce to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 32% vs implied 33% · edge -1.4 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Lecce Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Lecce to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Palermo-
    Avg goals scored
    Lecce-
    Palermo-
    Avg goals conceded
    Lecce-
    Palermo-
    BTTS rate
    Lecce-
    Palermo-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Lecce-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 50% · edge +7 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Palermo

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Palermo yet.

    Lecce

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Lecce yet.

    Market aligned with main pickLecce to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 32% vs implied 33% · edge -1.4 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 60%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Lecce Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Palermo Over 2.5
    -Lecce Over 2.5
    3.33H2H avg goals
    Palermo vs Lecce: Pohjanpalo Threat Meets Lecce’s Away Problem.

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