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Olimpia crestOlimpia
v
Vasco DA Gama crestVasco DA Gama

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Wed 20 May, 23:00

Olimpia v Vasco DA Gama Stats

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.25, Over 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 44% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 60%, so the current line is showing a +15.7-point value edge.
  • Olimpia are at 40% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, Vasco DA Gama are at 75%, and the H2H goal average is 3.
  • The goals data supports the Over 2.5 Goals angle: Olimpia have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Over 2.5 Goals angle: Vasco DA Gama have taken 2 wins from their last 4 matches, with BTTS landing in 50% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.25, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 44% · edge +15.7 pts
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 61%
2.08
Bet HERE @ 2.08
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.9
Bet HERE @ 2.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.72
Bet HERE @ 1.72
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%Olimpia Over 2.5
75%Vasco DA Gama Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Olimpia

WLDWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 1L
07 May 2026A Barracas Central2-1
30 Apr 2026A Vasco DA Gama0-3
16 Apr 2026H Barracas Central0-0
09 Apr 2026A A. Italiano2-0
05 Mar 2026A Sportivo Trinidense1-0

Vasco DA Gama

WWLD
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
06 May 2026A A. Italiano2-1
30 Apr 2026H Olimpia3-0
15 Apr 2026H A. Italiano1-2
07 Apr 2026A Barracas Central0-0
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 48% · edge +13 pts
2.08
Bet HERE @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.9
Bet HERE @ 2.9
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.72
Bet HERE @ 1.72
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Olimpia1
Avg goals scored
Vasco DA Gama1.5
Olimpia0.8
Avg goals conceded
Vasco DA Gama0.75
Olimpia20%
BTTS rate
Vasco DA Gama50%
Olimpia40%
Over 2.5 goals
Vasco DA Gama75%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 44% · edge +15.7 pts
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Olimpia wins
0Draws
1Vasco DA Gama wins
30 Apr 2026Vasco DA Gama v Olimpia3-0
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 44% · edge +15.7 pts
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.9
Bet HERE @ 2.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Olimpia4.4
Avg corners for
Vasco DA Gama5
Olimpia8.4
Avg total corners
Vasco DA Gama10.25
Olimpia3.2
Avg yellow cards
Vasco DA Gama3.25
Olimpia14.8
Avg shots
Vasco DA Gama15.25
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 48% · edge +14 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleLukas Zuccarello Anytime GoalscorerLukas Zuccarello · 0 goals · 11.25 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
Lukas Zuccarello 1+ Shot On TargetLukas Zuccarello · 11.25 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
Lukas Zuccarello 2+ ShotsLukas Zuccarello · 11.25 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Adson To Assist / Key Pass AngleAdson · 2 assists · 4.95 key passes/90
78/100
Bet HERE
A. Gómez To Be FouledA. Gómez · 7.5 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Matheus França Card RiskMatheus França · 2 yellows · 0.78 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Lukas Zuccarello
Lukas ZuccarelloVasco DA Gama · Midfielder
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9011.25
SOT /9011.25
C. Spinelli
C. SpinelliVasco DA Gama · Attacker
Goal threat58/100
Shots /903.49
SOT /901.88
Brenner
BrennerVasco DA Gama · Midfielder
Goal threat46/100
Shots /901.15
SOT /901.15
S. Ferreira
S. FerreiraOlimpia · Attacker
Goal threat42/100
Shots /903
SOT /903
E. Delmás
E. DelmásOlimpia · Attacker
Goal threat38/100
Shots /902.41
SOT /902.41
J. Rojas
J. RojasVasco DA Gama · Attacker
Goal threat38/100
Shots /904.62
SOT /901.15
A. Silva
A. SilvaOlimpia · Midfielder
Goal threat33/100
Shots /903.53
SOT /901.76
Matheus França
Matheus FrançaVasco DA Gama · Attacker
Goal threat45/100
Shots /901.57
SOT /901.57
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Olimpia5
Played
Vasco DA Gama4
Olimpia1
Avg goals for
Vasco DA Gama1.5
Olimpia0.8
Avg goals against
Vasco DA Gama0.8
Olimpia3
Clean sheets
Vasco DA Gama2
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 48% · edge +13 pts
2.08
Bet HERE @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.9
Bet HERE @ 2.9
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.72
Bet HERE @ 1.72
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Vasco DA Gama742113
3Olimpia742110

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

Football Stats, Match Data & Daily Betting Analysis

Our football stats hub is built for punters who want to go deeper than basic predictions. Every day, BettingTips4You brings together data-led match analysis for fixtures across the biggest leagues and competitions, helping readers compare teams, spot trends and understand the numbers behind every game before making a betting decision.

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Key Betting Markets Covered

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Data That Supports Our Predictions

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