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O'Higginsv
Sao PauloCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Thu 07 May, 23:00
O'Higgins v Sao Paulo Stats
BT4Y best bet
O'Higgins or Sao Paulo to Win
- At 1.67, O'Higgins or Sao Paulo to Win is priced at roughly 60% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 82%, so the current line is showing a +22.1-point value edge.
- O'Higgins have a recent record of 2W-0D-1L, while Sao Paulo come in at 2W-1D-0L across the same last-five lens.
- The result profile supports the O'Higgins or Sao Paulo to Win angle: O'Higgins have taken 2 wins from their last 3 matches, averaging 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded.
- The result profile supports the O'Higgins or Sao Paulo to Win angle: Sao Paulo have taken 2 wins from their last 3 matches, with BTTS landing in 0% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 1.67, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 40% · edge +6.1 pts
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
0%O'Higgins Over 2.5
0%Sao Paulo Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
O'Higgins
WLW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 recordLast 102W 0D 1L
29 Apr 2026H Boston River2-0
14 Apr 2026A Sao Paulo0-2
08 Apr 2026H Millonarios2-0
Sao Paulo
DWW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 recordLast 102W 1D 0L
29 Apr 2026A Millonarios0-0
14 Apr 2026H O'Higgins2-0
08 Apr 2026A Boston River1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 78% · edge -3.6 pts
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
O'Higgins1.33
Avg goals scoredSao Paulo1
O'Higgins0.67
Avg goals concededSao Paulo0
O'Higgins0%
BTTS rateSao Paulo0%
O'Higgins0%
Over 2.5 goalsSao Paulo0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 55% · edge +13.4 pts
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
0O'Higgins wins
0Draws
1Sao Paulo wins
14 Apr 2026Sao Paulo v O'Higgins2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 40% · edge +6.1 pts
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
O'Higgins6.33
Avg corners forSao Paulo6.33
O'Higgins11.33
Avg total cornersSao Paulo14.33
O'Higgins2.67
Avg yellow cardsSao Paulo2.33
O'Higgins14
Avg shotsSao Paulo11
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.4 pts
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
A. CastilloO'Higgins · Attacker
Goal threat63/100
Shots /904.62
SOT /901.54
F. GonzálezO'Higgins · Attacker
Goal threat62/100
Shots /902.02
SOT /901.35
ArturSao Paulo · Attacker
Goal threat50/100
Shots /902.41
SOT /901.61
P. dos SantosSao Paulo · Attacker
Goal threat42/100
Shots /903
SOT /903
T. VecinoO'Higgins · Attacker
Goal threat39/100
Shots /904.29
SOT /902.14
FerreiraSao Paulo · Midfielder
Goal threat28/100
Shots /901.67
SOT /901.67
NicolasSao Paulo · Defender
Goal threat13/100
Shots /902.9
SOT /900
LucianoSao Paulo · Midfielder
Goal threat48/100
Shots /901.13
SOT /901.13
Season team stats
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
O'Higgins3
PlayedSao Paulo3
O'Higgins1.3
Avg goals forSao Paulo1
O'Higgins0.7
Avg goals againstSao Paulo0
O'Higgins2
Clean sheetsSao Paulo3
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 40% · edge +6.1 pts
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
