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Nottingham Forest
NewcastlePremier League | Sun 10 May, 14:00
Nottingham Forest v Newcastle Stats
Data last updated: Sun 31 May 2026, 08:50 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Nottingham Forest face Newcastle in Premier League on Sun 10 May, 14:00. Nottingham Forest have found a rich vein of league form, scoring 16 goals in five matches and winning three on the bounce.
Nottingham Forest Win
- At 6/4, Nottingham Forest Win implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
- Forest Return Home With One Mission Left.
- Nottingham Forest have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 3 for Newcastle.
- Nottingham Forest have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Nottingham Forest Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Nottingham Forest sit 16 in the table, while Newcastle sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 74% for Nottingham Forest Win sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price. Nottingham Forest have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 3 for Newcastle. Forest Return Home With One Mission Left.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Nottingham Forest Win is the preferred angle because forest Return Home With One Mission Left. Nottingham Forest have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 3 for Newcastle. Their recent matches have felt stretched, emotional and wildly open at times, but for Forest supporters that is far preferable to sterile football played in fear.
Their recent matches have felt stretched, emotional and wildly open at times, but for Forest supporters that is far preferable to sterile football played in fear.
Key Data Signals
Nottingham Forest Win evidence
Forest Return Home With One Mission Left.
Nottingham Forest have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 3 for Newcastle.
Nottingham Forest have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Nottingham Forest Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Nottingham Forest sit 16 in the table, while Newcastle sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Nottingham Forest Win notes
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Useful next reads
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Premier League
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Newcastle | 49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 44 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
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