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Nottingham Forest crestNottingham Forest
v
Newcastle crestNewcastle

Premier League | Sun 10 May, 14:00

Nottingham Forest v Newcastle Stats

BT4Y best bet

Nottingham Forest to Win

  • At 2.7, Nottingham Forest to Win is priced at roughly 37% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 74%, so the current line is showing a +37-point value edge.
  • Nottingham Forest have a recent record of 4W-1D-0L, while Newcastle come in at 1W-0D-4L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Nottingham Forest to Win angle: Nottingham Forest have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 3.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Nottingham Forest to Win angle: Newcastle have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.7, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 37% · edge +37 pts
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
3.6
Bet HERE @ 3.6
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
2.45
Bet HERE @ 2.45
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%Nottingham Forest Over 2.5
80%Newcastle Over 2.5
3.8H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Nottingham Forest

WWWDW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
04 May 2026A Chelsea3-1
24 Apr 2026A Sunderland5-0
19 Apr 2026H Burnley4-1
12 Apr 2026H Aston Villa1-1
22 Mar 2026A Tottenham3-0

Newcastle

WLLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 6L
02 May 2026H Brighton3-1
25 Apr 2026A Arsenal0-1
18 Apr 2026H Bournemouth1-2
12 Apr 2026A Crystal Palace1-2
22 Mar 2026H Sunderland1-2
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 37% · edge +37 pts
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
3.6
Bet HERE @ 3.6
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
2.45
Bet HERE @ 2.45
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Nottingham Forest3.2
Avg goals scored
Newcastle1.2
Nottingham Forest0.6
Avg goals conceded
Newcastle1.6
Nottingham Forest60%
BTTS rate
Newcastle80%
Nottingham Forest80%
Over 2.5 goals
Newcastle80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 58% · edge +18.1 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

3Nottingham Forest wins
1Draws
6Newcastle wins
05 Oct 2025Newcastle v Nottingham Forest2-0
23 Feb 2025Newcastle v Nottingham Forest4-3
10 Nov 2024Nottingham Forest v Newcastle1-3
28 Aug 2024Nottingham Forest v Newcastle1-1
10 Feb 2024Nottingham Forest v Newcastle2-3
26 Dec 2023Newcastle v Nottingham Forest1-3
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 37% · edge +37 pts
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
3.6
Bet HERE @ 3.6
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
2.45
Bet HERE @ 2.45
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Nottingham Forest4.2
Avg corners for
Newcastle3.8
Nottingham Forest10.8
Avg total corners
Newcastle9.2
Nottingham Forest2
Avg yellow cards
Newcastle2.2
Nottingham Forest9.8
Avg shots
Newcastle12.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.7 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleT. Awoniyi Anytime GoalscorerT. Awoniyi · 4 goals · 1.61 SOT/90
78/100
Bet HERE
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T. Awoniyi 1+ Shot On TargetT. Awoniyi · 1.61 shots on target/90
80/100
Bet HERE
T. Awoniyi 2+ ShotsT. Awoniyi · 2.53 shots/90
75/100
Bet HERE
C. Hudson-Odoi To Assist / Key Pass AngleC. Hudson-Odoi · 4 assists · 2.14 key passes/90
69/100
Bet HERE
Bruno Guimarães To Be FouledBruno Guimarães · 2.52 fouls won/90
78/100
Bet HERE
Joelinton Card RiskJoelinton · 10 yellows · 2.08 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
T. Awoniyi
T. AwoniyiNottingham Forest · Attacker
Goal threat70/100
Shots /902.53
SOT /901.61
W. Osula
W. OsulaNewcastle · Attacker
Goal threat64/100
Shots /901.68
SOT /901.26
M. Gibbs-White
M. Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest · Midfielder
Goal threat58/100
Shots /901.66
SOT /900.86
A. Gordon
A. GordonNewcastle · Attacker
Goal threat58/100
Shots /901.83
SOT /900.99
Y. Wissa
Y. WissaNewcastle · Attacker
Goal threat41/100
Shots /902.42
SOT /900.93
C. Wood
C. WoodNottingham Forest · Attacker
Goal threat50/100
Shots /902.35
SOT /900.94
Joelinton
JoelintonNewcastle · Midfielder
Goal threat32/100
Shots /900.97
SOT /900.48
D. Burn
D. BurnNewcastle · Defender
Goal threat18/100
Shots /900.31
SOT /900.13
Season team stats

Premier League

Nottingham Forest35
Played
Newcastle35
Nottingham Forest1.3
Avg goals for
Newcastle1.4
Nottingham Forest1.3
Avg goals against
Newcastle1.5
Nottingham Forest9
Clean sheets
Newcastle8
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 37% · edge +37 pts
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
2.45
Bet HERE @ 2.45
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
13Newcastle453513616-2
16Nottingham Forest423511915-2

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.