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Nottingham Forest crestNottingham Forest
v
Coventry crestCoventry

Premier League | Sat 19 Sep, 17:30

Nottingham Forest v Coventry Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Nottingham Forest face Coventry in Premier League on Sat 19 Sep, 17:30. Nottingham Forest come in with 5 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Coventry have 0 points and 0 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Nottingham Forest to Win

  • At 1.6, Nottingham Forest to Win implies roughly 63%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • Nottingham Forest have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 0 for Coventry.
  • Nottingham Forest have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Nottingham Forest to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Nottingham Forest sit 11 in the table, while Coventry sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for Nottingham Forest to Win sits against roughly 63% implied by the current price. Nottingham Forest have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 0 for Coventry.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 63% implied
Positive
Nottingham Forest have the stronger recent points return, taking 5.Visible data support
Positive
Nottingham Forest have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Nottingham Forest Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Nottingham Forest have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 0 for Coventry. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Nottingham Forest to Win evidence

Nottingham Forest have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 0 for Coventry.

Nottingham Forest have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Nottingham Forest Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Nottingham Forest sit 11 in the table, while Coventry sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Nottingham Forest to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Nottingham Forest1
    Avg goals scored
    Coventry0
    Nottingham Forest1
    Avg goals conceded
    Coventry2.5
    Nottingham Forest50%
    BTTS rate
    Coventry0%
    Nottingham Forest50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Coventry50%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 51% · edge +6.9 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 46%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS No is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: Nottingham Forest concede 1 on average and Coventry score 0, so the clean-sheet route has a data base.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Premier League fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Nottingham Forest

    WDDL
    Last 51W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 1L
    12 Sep 2026A Aston Villa2-1
    05 Sep 2026H Tottenham0-0
    29 Aug 2026A Liverpool2-2
    22 Aug 2026H Leeds0-1

    Coventry

    LLLL
    Last 50W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 4L
    13 Sep 2026H Brighton0-5
    05 Sep 2026A Manchester City0-1
    29 Aug 2026H Hull City0-1
    21 Aug 2026A Arsenal0-3
    Market aligned with main pickNottingham Forest to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Nottingham Forest Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.32
    Check odds @ 1.32
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    11Nottingham Forest541210
    20Coventry04004-10
    Nottingham Forest sit in position 11, while Coventry sit in position 20, so table pressure belongs in the Nottingham Forest to Win assessment.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickNottingham Forest to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Nottingham Forest Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.32
    Check odds @ 1.32
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 62%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 46%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Nottingham Forest to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Nottingham Forest2.75
    Avg corners for
    Coventry4.5
    Nottingham Forest8
    Avg total corners
    Coventry8.75
    Nottingham Forest2.75
    Avg yellow cards
    Coventry1
    Nottingham Forest14.5
    Avg shots
    Coventry10.25
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 60% · edge +2.5 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 42%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Nottingham Forest wins
    0Draws
    3Coventry wins
    08 Jul 2022Nottingham Forest v Coventry1-3
    06 Apr 2022Nottingham Forest v Coventry2-0
    08 Aug 2021Coventry v Nottingham Forest2-1
    02 Feb 2021Coventry v Nottingham Forest1-2
    04 Nov 2020Nottingham Forest v Coventry2-1
    18 Feb 2012Nottingham Forest v Coventry2-0
    Market aligned with main pickNottingham Forest to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 46%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Nottingham Forest to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premier League

    Nottingham Forest4
    Played
    Coventry4
    Nottingham Forest1
    Avg goals for
    Coventry0
    Nottingham Forest1
    Avg goals against
    Coventry2.5
    Nottingham Forest1
    Clean sheets
    Coventry0
    Market aligned with main pickNottingham Forest to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Nottingham Forest Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.32
    Check odds @ 1.32
    Season data supports Nottingham Forest to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Nottingham Forest Over 2.5
    50%Coventry Over 2.5
    2.57H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Nottingham Forest sit at 50% and Coventry sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2.57 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

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    Betting context

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