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Nottingham Forest crestNottingham Forest
v
Bournemouth crestBournemouth

Premier League | Sat 23 Jan, 15:00

Nottingham Forest v Bournemouth Stats

Data last updated: Thu 15 Oct 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Nottingham Forest face Bournemouth in Premier League on Sat 23 Jan, 15:00. Bournemouth enter the final weekend highly motivated for Champions League qualification under departing manager Andoni Iraola, backed by an elite 18-match unbeaten run.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Combines the outright match winner with a prerequisite that both teams score

  • At 5/2, Combines the outright match winner with a prerequisite that both teams score implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 23%.
  • A dramatic transformation in forward production since Pereira altered the offensive system between the lines.
  • Bournemouth need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Nottingham Forest on 5 and Bournemouth on 3.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for Nottingham Forest and 80% for Bournemouth.
  • Combines the outright match winner with a prerequisite that both teams score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1 for Nottingham Forest and 1.2 for Bournemouth are central to the read.
Price warning

Combines the outright match winner with a prerequisite that both teams score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 29% while the model sits nearer 23% (-5.3 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 23% for Combines the outright match winner with a prerequisite that both teams score sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Bournemouth need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Nottingham Forest on 5 and Bournemouth on 3. A dramatic transformation in forward production since Pereira altered the offensive system between the lines.

Model chance vs price23% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Negative
Bournemouth need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
A dramatic transformation in forward production since Pereira altered.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Bournemouth Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because a dramatic transformation in forward production since Pereira altered the offensive system between the lines. Bournemouth need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Nottingham Forest on 5 and Bournemouth on 3. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Combines the outright match winner with a prerequisite that both teams score evidence

A dramatic transformation in forward production since Pereira altered the offensive system between the lines.

Bournemouth need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Nottingham Forest on 5 and Bournemouth on 3.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for Nottingham Forest and 80% for Bournemouth.

Bournemouth Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1 for Nottingham Forest and 1.2 for Bournemouth are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Combines the outright match winner with a prerequisite that both teams score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Nottingham Forest1
Avg goals scored
Bournemouth1.2
Nottingham Forest1.4
Avg goals conceded
Bournemouth2.2
Nottingham Forest60%
BTTS rate
Bournemouth80%
Nottingham Forest60%
Over 2.5 goals
Bournemouth60%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Nottingham Forest

LLWDD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 3L
11 Oct 2026A Crystal Palace1-3
19 Sep 2026H Coventry0-1
12 Sep 2026A Aston Villa2-1
05 Sep 2026H Tottenham0-0
29 Aug 2026A Liverpool2-2

Bournemouth

LLDDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 3D 3L
10 Oct 2026A Chelsea1-5
20 Sep 2026H Liverpool0-1
12 Sep 2026H Brentford2-2
05 Sep 2026A Newcastle2-2
29 Aug 2026H Everton1-1

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Nottingham Forest Over 2.5
60%Bournemouth Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Nottingham Forest sit at 60% and Bournemouth sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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