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Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen

Friendlies Clubs | Wed 12 Aug, 19:45

Nottingham Forest v Bayer Leverkusen Stats

Data last updated: Tue 11 Aug 2026, 07:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly match between Nottingham Forest and Bayer Leverkusen offers a chance for both teams to prepare for the upcoming season. Bayer Leverkusen have demonstrated strong attacking form recently, averaging 3.8 goals per game and maintaining a solid defensive record with just 0.4 goals conceded on average. Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, have struggled to find the net, scoring only 0.8 goals per game and conceding 1.6. The German side’s superior recent form and goal-scoring prowess set the stage for a confident away performance in this encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Bayer Leverkusen to Win

  • Bayer Leverkusen have won 70% to win this fixture
  • Leverkusen average 3.8 goals per game, showing strong attacking form
  • Nottingham Forest score only 0.8 goals per game, indicating offensive struggles
  • Leverkusen concede just 0.4 goals on average, highlighting defensive solidity
  • Leverkusen have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting high-scoring potential

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors Bayer Leverkusen to win due to their dominant recent form and attacking efficiency, averaging nearly 4 goals per game while conceding very few. Nottingham Forest’s lower scoring rate and higher goals conceded create a clear contrast. The 2.1 offer good value given the model’s 70% win probability, reflecting Bayer Leverkusen’s quality and readiness in this friendly fixture. No price warnings apply, making this a solid standard stake recommendation.

Recent formLeverkusen 15 points vs Forest 4 points
Strong positive
Goals scored per gameLeverkusen 3.8 vs Forest 0.8
Strong positive
Goals conceded per gameLeverkusen 0.4 vs Forest 1.6
Strong positive
Over 2.5 goals rateLeverkusen 100% vs Forest 40%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Bayer Leverkusen’s superior attacking form and defensive stability make them the clear favorite in this friendly. Their ability to score freely while limiting chances against suggests they will control the game and secure the win. Nottingham Forest’s struggles in front of goal reduce their threat, reinforcing the away win selection.

Main risk

Their positioning will matter at both ends: Forest need enough support around Gibbs-White to progress the ball, but Leverkusen’s attacking record makes careless turnovers potentially expensive.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Bayer Leverkusen’s clinical finishing and disciplined defense give them a tactical edge in this friendly, making them the most likely winners despite the experimental nature of pre-season matches.”

Key Data Signals

Bayer Leverkusen to Win evidence

Bayer Leverkusen have won 70% to win this fixture

Leverkusen average 3.8 goals per game, showing strong attacking form

Nottingham Forest score only 0.8 goals per game, indicating offensive struggles

Leverkusen concede just 0.4 goals on average, highlighting defensive solidity

What To Watch In The Data

Bayer Leverkusen to Win notes

  • Recent trends show Bayer Leverkusen consistently involved in high-scoring games, with a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • This trend suggests an open game with multiple goals, driven by Leverkusen’s attacking tempo and Forest’s defensive challenges.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Nottingham Forest0.8
Avg goals scored
Bayer Leverkusen3.8
Nottingham Forest1.6
Avg goals conceded
Bayer Leverkusen0.4
Nottingham Forest60%
BTTS rate
Bayer Leverkusen40%
Nottingham Forest40%
Over 2.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 88% vs implied 86% · edge +2.5 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Bayer Leverkusen’s perfect 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate signals a high likelihood of multiple goals in this match. Nottingham Forest’s lower scoring and higher conceding rates suggest they may struggle defensively, increasing the chance of goals from both sides or at least a high-scoring game overall.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBayer Leverkusen to WinBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Bayer Leverkusen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
The of 2.1 for Bayer Leverkusen to win reflect a strong value opportunity, as the model estimates a 70% chance of victory. This significant indicates the market may underestimate Leverkusen’s quality and recent form, making the selection attractive at current prices.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Nottingham Forest

LLLWD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 3L
08 Aug 2026A Barcelona0-1
08 Aug 2026A Udinese0-1
31 Jul 2026A Sporting CP1-4
31 Jul 2026A Portimonense2-1
26 Jul 2026A Guimaraes1-1

Bayer Leverkusen

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 0L
08 Aug 2026H Sevilla2-1
01 Aug 2026H Rot-Weiß Essen3-0
29 Jul 2026H Genk4-0
25 Jul 2026A Kickers Offenbach3-1
18 Jul 2026A SF Baumberg7-0
Market aligned with main pickBayer Leverkusen to WinBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Bayer Leverkusen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Bayer Leverkusen’s recent form is impressive, with 15 points accumulated and a high goal-scoring rate, contrasting sharply with Nottingham Forest’s modest 4 points and lower offensive output. This form disparity suggests Leverkusen enter the match with superior and momentum.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Nottingham Forest wins
0Draws
0Bayer Leverkusen wins
Market aligned with main pickBayer Leverkusen to WinBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
No previous head-to-head data exists for this fixture, so historical meetings offer no guidance. The focus remains on current form and statistical profiles to assess likely outcomes.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Nottingham Forest7
Played
Bayer Leverkusen5
Nottingham Forest1.3
Avg goals for
Bayer Leverkusen3.8
Nottingham Forest1.1
Avg goals against
Bayer Leverkusen0.4
Nottingham Forest2
Clean sheets
Bayer Leverkusen3
Market aligned with main pickBayer Leverkusen to WinBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Bayer Leverkusen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Leverkusen’s season stats highlight a potent attack averaging 3.8 goals per game and a tight defense conceding just 0.4, underpinning their strong win probability. Nottingham Forest’s stats reveal offensive struggles and defensive lapses, reinforcing the likelihood of a Leverkusen victory.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Nottingham Forest Over 2.5
100%Bayer Leverkusen Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends show Bayer Leverkusen consistently involved in high-scoring games, with a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches. This trend suggests an open game with multiple goals, driven by Leverkusen’s attacking tempo and Forest’s defensive challenges.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.