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Nottingham Forestv
Aston VillaUEFA Europa League | Thu 30 Apr, 20:00
Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa Stats
BT4Y best bet
Both Teams to Score
- At 3.4, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 29% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 67%, so the current line is showing a +37.3-point value edge.
- Nottingham Forest have scored in 80% of the recent sample and Aston Villa have scored in 100%, with BTTS rates of 60% and 40%.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Nottingham Forest have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 1 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Aston Villa have taken 5 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 3.4, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 29% · edge +37.3 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
40%Nottingham Forest Over 2.5
60%Aston Villa Over 2.5
3.8H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Nottingham Forest
WDWLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 106W 1D 3L
16 Apr 2026H FC Porto1-0
09 Apr 2026A FC Porto1-1
19 Mar 2026A FC Midtjylland2-1
12 Mar 2026H FC Midtjylland0-1
26 Feb 2026H Fenerbahçe1-2
Aston Villa
WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 recordLast 109W 0D 1L
16 Apr 2026H Bologna4-0
09 Apr 2026A Bologna3-1
19 Mar 2026H Lille2-0
12 Mar 2026A Lille1-0
29 Jan 2026H Red Bull Salzburg3-2
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 38% · edge +31.8 pts
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Nottingham Forest1
Avg goals scoredAston Villa2.6
Nottingham Forest1
Avg goals concededAston Villa0.6
Nottingham Forest60%
BTTS rateAston Villa40%
Nottingham Forest40%
Over 2.5 goalsAston Villa60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 29% · edge +37.3 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
2Nottingham Forest wins
3Draws
5Aston Villa wins
12 Apr 2026Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa1-1
03 Jan 2026Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest3-1
05 Apr 2025Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest2-1
14 Dec 2024Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa2-1
24 Feb 2024Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest4-2
05 Nov 2023Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa2-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 29% · edge +37.3 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Nottingham Forest6.6
Avg corners forAston Villa3.6
Nottingham Forest9.6
Avg total cornersAston Villa6.8
Nottingham Forest1
Avg yellow cardsAston Villa0.8
Nottingham Forest16.2
Avg shotsAston Villa10.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 51% · edge -1.6 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
J. JimohAston Villa · Midfielder
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9011.25
SOT /907.5
Igor JesusNottingham Forest · Attacker
Goal threat86/100
Shots /902.69
SOT /901.8
D. MalenAston Villa · Attacker
Goal threat76/100
Shots /902.74
SOT /902.19
J. SinclairNottingham Forest · Midfielder
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
E. AndersonNottingham Forest · Midfielder
Goal threat21/100
Shots /901.29
SOT /900.32
K. YoungAston Villa · Attacker
Goal threat23/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats
UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest16
PlayedAston Villa14
Nottingham Forest1.6
Avg goals forAston Villa2
Nottingham Forest1
Avg goals againstAston Villa0.6
Nottingham Forest7
Clean sheetsAston Villa8
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 38% · edge +31.8 pts
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aston Villa | 21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
