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World Cup | Sat 11 Jul, 22:00

Norway v England Stats

Data last updated: Fri 10 Jul 2026, 03:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This World Cup quarter-final between Norway and England promises a high-stakes clash marked by contrasting styles and key individual battles. Norway arrives with a dynamic, attack-focused approach led by Erling Haaland, having scored and conceded in every tournament match, reflecting both their offensive firepower and defensive vulnerabilities. England, unbeaten and structurally balanced, face a defensive reshuffle due to Jarell Quansah's suspension but possess versatile attacking threats including Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham. The tactical duel centers on midfield control and exploiting spaces between lines, setting the stage for an open, intense encounter with a strong likelihood of goals from both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Norway have scored and conceded in all five World Cup matches, showing attacking strength and defensive gaps.
  • England remain unbeaten with 11 goals scored but face a key defensive suspension disrupting their backline.
  • Erling Haaland leads the tournament with seven goals, posing a constant threat to England's reshuffled defense.
  • England’s attacking variety, including Kane’s aerial threat and Bellingham’s creativity, complements their balanced structure.
  • Both teams’ recent form and tactical setups suggest an open game with multiple scoring opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 76% probability, reflecting Norway’s consistent pattern of scoring and conceding in every World Cup match and England’s potent attack despite defensive adjustments. Haaland’s clinical finishing and Odegaard’s creativity combine with England’s diverse offensive threats to create a scenario where both sides are likely to find the net. The price offers positive value with a 12.3% edge, supported by recent form data and tactical context. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Norway’s scoring and conceding pattern100% BTTS rate in tournament
Strong positive
England’s attacking output11 goals in 5 matches
Strong positive
Haaland’s finishing efficiency7 goals from 5.9 xG
Strong positive
England’s defensive reshuffle riskSuspension of Jarell Quansah
Positive
Price vs model chance1.57 odds with 76% model chance
Strong positive
Main risk

The main risk is that knockout match caution could lead to a slower start with fewer goals early on, potentially delaying scoring and affecting the BTTS outcome.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“The clash between Haaland’s relentless finishing and England’s versatile attack amid defensive changes makes Both Teams to Score a compelling and football-rich selection for this quarter-final.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Norway have scored and conceded in all five World Cup matches, showing attacking strength and defensive gaps.

England remain unbeaten with 11 goals scored but face a key defensive suspension disrupting their backline.

Erling Haaland leads the tournament with seven goals, posing a constant threat to England's reshuffled defense.

England’s attacking variety, including Kane’s aerial threat and Bellingham’s creativity, complements their balanced structure.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, Norway have produced 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while England’s 60% rate reflects a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • The combined attacking tempo and defensive openness suggest a match prone to multiple goals, supporting an Over 2.5 Goals trend alongside the BTTS selection.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Norway4.4
Avg corners for
England6.2
Norway10.4
Avg total corners
England10.6
Norway0.4
Avg yellow cards
England1.4
Norway10.6
Avg shots
England16
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 51% · edge +17.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
England’s higher average of 6.2 corners and 16 shots per match contrasts with Norway’s 4.4 corners and 10.6 shots, indicating England’s territorial pressure and attacking volume. Norway’s aggressive style and defensive lapses contribute to fouls and card risks, setting a dynamic scene with sustained offensive pressure and set-piece opportunities.

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World Cup hubfull betting preview for Norway v Englandcorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Norway2.4
Avg goals scored
England2.2
Norway1.8
Avg goals conceded
England1
Norway100%
BTTS rate
England60%
Norway100%
Over 2.5 goals
England60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Norway’s tournament pattern of scoring and conceding in every match, combined with England’s 11 goals scored and recent defensive suspension, creates a fertile environment for goals from both teams. The attacking prowess of Haaland and Kane, supported by creative midfielders, underpins the likelihood of a BTTS outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Norway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Norway to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
England to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.57, reflecting a 63.7% implied chance, while the model estimates a higher 76% probability, indicating positive value. This price sensitivity suggests bettors can confidently back this market given the strong attacking profiles and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Norway

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 1L
05 Jul 2026A Brazil2-1
30 Jun 2026A Ivory Coast2-1
26 Jun 2026H France1-4
23 Jun 2026H Senegal3-2
16 Jun 2026A Iraq4-1

England

WWWDW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 0L
06 Jul 2026A Mexico3-2
01 Jul 2026H Congo DR2-1
27 Jun 2026A Panama2-0
23 Jun 2026H Ghana0-0
17 Jun 2026H Croatia4-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 52% · edge +11.8 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Norway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Norway to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
England to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
England Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Norway’s perfect BTTS record and 2.4 goals scored per game reflect their open, high-scoring style, while England’s unbeaten run with 11 goals and a 60% BTTS rate demonstrate balanced attacking efficiency. Both teams’ recent performances support an expectation of goals at both ends in this knockout encounter.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Norway wins
0Draws
0England wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Norway to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
England to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
No previous head-to-head matches exist between Norway and England in this tournament context, limiting direct historical insight. Therefore, current form, tactical setups, and player performances provide the primary basis for expectations rather than past meetings.
Season team stats

World Cup

Norway5
Played
England5
Norway2.4
Avg goals for
England2.2
Norway1.8
Avg goals against
England1
Norway0
Clean sheets
England2
Best odds for this sectionNorway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 37% · edge +8.8 pts
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Load more odds for this section
Norway to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
England to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
England Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Norway’s season-long tendency to both score and concede heavily contrasts with England’s more balanced defensive record, conceding fewer goals. Norway’s aggressive attacking numbers and England’s efficient scoring underpin the BTTS market, with defensive vulnerabilities on both sides increasing the likelihood of goals from each team.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Norway632011
1England732104
In the World Cup group and knockout context, England hold a slight edge atop the standings, but Norway’s strong second-place position and recent upset over Brazil highlight their momentum. The standings underscore the competitive balance and stakes, reinforcing the expectation of an open, goal-involved match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Norway Over 2.5
60%England Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Norway have produced 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while England’s 60% rate reflects a moderately high-scoring trend. The combined attacking tempo and defensive openness suggest a match prone to multiple goals, supporting an Over 2.5 Goals trend alongside the BTTS selection.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Norway v England prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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