Football Stats Hub

Nice crestNice
v
Strasbourg crestStrasbourg

Ligue 1 | Sun 11 Oct, 14:00

Nice v Strasbourg Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 08:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Coupe de France semi-final features Strasbourg hosting Nice at Stade de la Meinau, with Strasbourg unbeaten in eight of their last nine home matches across all competitions. Strasbourg have been prolific in this cup run, scoring first in every match and netting 13 goals in four ties, leveraging wide play and possession control. Nice arrive after a recent 3-1 defeat to Strasbourg but remain dangerous with vertical attacking threats from Sofiane Diop and Elye Wahi. The tactical battle centers on Strasbourg's wing control against Nice's vulnerable flank defense, while Nice's quick transitions and through-ball attacks pose a counter threat in a high-stakes knockout setting.

BT4Y best bet

Nice Win & Over 2.5 Goals

  • Strasbourg unbeaten in 8 of last 9 home matches, showing strong home form
  • Strasbourg scored first in all 4 Coupe de France matches this season, winning each
  • Nice have a vertical attack threat with Diop and Wahi capable of exploiting defensive errors
  • Last head-to-head ended 3-1 to Strasbourg, indicating recent control but room for Nice goals
  • Strasbourg's wide play exploits Nice's defensive weakness on the flanks, suggesting multiple goals likely

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Nice Win & Over 2.5 Goals due to Strasbourg's dominant home form and prolific scoring in the Coupe de France, combined with Nice's attacking threats that make a high-scoring game plausible. Strasbourg's ability to control possession and exploit wide areas aligns with the over 2.5 goals angle, while Nice's vertical counters increase the chance of both teams scoring. The offer a positive , reflecting a realistic scenario of Strasbourg winning in an open, attacking match. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Strasbourg Home FormUnbeaten in 8 of last 9 home matches
Strong positive
Strasbourg Cup Scoring13 goals in 4 Coupe de France matches
Strong positive
Nice Attacking ThreatDiop and Wahi provide vertical threat and goal scoring
Positive
Defensive VulnerabilitiesNice weak on flanks, Strasbourg weak on through-ball defense
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Strasbourg's commanding home record and prolific cup scoring set the stage for a home win, while Nice's pace and vertical attack ensure the match will be open and competitive. This combination supports a bet on Strasbourg to win with over 2.5 goals, reflecting both tactical control and attacking potential from both sides.

Main risk

Strasbourg have been prolific in the cup but remain vulnerable to individual errors and through-ball attacks.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and goal expectation

“Strasbourg's wide attacking prowess combined with Nice's counter-attacking threat creates a dynamic semi-final likely to produce multiple goals and a home victory.”

Key Data Signals

Nice Win & Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Strasbourg unbeaten in 8 of last 9 home matches, showing strong home form

Strasbourg scored first in all 4 Coupe de France matches this season, winning each

Nice have a vertical attack threat with Diop and Wahi capable of exploiting defensive errors

Last head-to-head ended 3-1 to Strasbourg, indicating recent control but room for Nice goals

What To Watch In The Data

Nice Win & Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.5, aligning with the over 2.5 goals trend.
  • Strasbourg's recent control and scoring first in all cup matches this season suggest a fast tempo and open play, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Nice0.6
Avg goals scored
Strasbourg2
Nice1.2
Avg goals conceded
Strasbourg2
Nice40%
BTTS rate
Strasbourg80%
Nice40%
Over 2.5 goals
Strasbourg80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 64% · edge +6.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 77%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Strasbourg have scored first in every Coupe de France match this season and boast an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, while Nice also have an 80% BTTS rate, suggesting both teams are likely to score. The tactical emphasis on wide play and transition attacks supports a high-scoring encounter with goals from both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickNice Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 51% · edge -6.3 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Nice to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
The 16.4% for Nice Win & Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 11.8% implied by the current price (+4.6 pts). Can Strasbourg turn their formidable home edge into a place in the Coupe de France final?

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Ligue 1 hubNice v Strasbourg predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Nice

WLDLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 2L
20 Sep 2026H Lille2-1
12 Sep 2026A Auxerre0-1
05 Sep 2026H Le Mans1-1
30 Aug 2026A Paris FC0-3
22 Aug 2026H Lorient0-0

Strasbourg

LDWWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
19 Sep 2026A Paris FC1-2
12 Sep 2026H Monaco1-1
06 Sep 2026A Estac Troyes6-2
29 Aug 2026H Lens2-1
21 Aug 2026A Marseille0-4
Market aligned with main pickNice Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 51% · edge -6.3 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Nice to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Strasbourg's recent form shows 7 points from their last matches with a strong goal-scoring average of 2 per game and an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating offensive momentum. Nice have collected 5 points with a lower scoring rate of 0.6 goals per game and a 40% over 2.5 rate, suggesting they may struggle to contain Strasbourg's attack but can contribute to the goal tally.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Nice Over 2.5
80%Strasbourg Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.5, aligning with the over 2.5 goals trend. Strasbourg's recent control and scoring first in all cup matches this season suggest a fast tempo and open play, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture.

Loading deeper match data…