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Nice crestNice
v
Paris Saint Germain crestParis Saint Germain

Ligue 1 | Sat 21 Nov, 16:15

Nice v Paris Saint Germain Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 06:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Nice face Paris Saint Germain in Ligue 1 on Sat 21 Nov, 16:15. Given PSG's 54 league goals, they are highly likely to secure a victory while ensuring at least two goals are scored in the process.

BT4Y best bet

Nice Win

  • At 17/2, Nice Win implies roughly 11%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 26%.
  • Defensive Stability: Total Goals Conceded
  • Paris Saint Germain have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 9 for Nice.
  • Paris Saint Germain have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Nice Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Nice sit 10 in the table, while Paris Saint Germain sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 26% for Nice Win sits against roughly 11% implied by the current price. Paris Saint Germain have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 9 for Nice. Defensive Stability: Total Goals Conceded

Model chance vs price26% model chance against roughly 11% implied
Strong positive
Paris Saint Germain have the stronger recent points return, taking.Visible data support
Positive
Paris Saint Germain have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6.Visible data support
Positive
Defensive Stability: Total Goals ConcededArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Nice Win is the preferred angle because defensive Stability: Total Goals Conceded Paris Saint Germain have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 9 for Nice. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Nice Win evidence

Defensive Stability: Total Goals Conceded

Paris Saint Germain have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 9 for Nice.

Paris Saint Germain have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Nice Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Nice sit 10 in the table, while Paris Saint Germain sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Nice Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Nice1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Paris Saint Germain2.2
    Nice1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Paris Saint Germain0.6
    Nice80%
    BTTS rate
    Paris Saint Germain60%
    Nice80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Paris Saint Germain60%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Nice

    WLWWL
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 3L
    23 Oct 2026A Stade Brestois 292-1
    18 Oct 2026A Lyon1-2
    11 Oct 2026H Strasbourg2-1
    20 Sep 2026H Lille2-1
    12 Sep 2026A Auxerre0-1

    Paris Saint Germain

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 2D 1L
    26 Oct 2026H Lyon2-0
    17 Oct 2026A Strasbourg3-1
    10 Oct 2026H Le Mans3-1
    20 Sep 2026A Marseille2-1
    13 Sep 2026A Stade Brestois 291-0

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Nice Over 2.5
    60%Paris Saint Germain Over 2.5
    2.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Nice sit at 80% and Paris Saint Germain sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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