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Nice crestNice
v
Lens crestLens

Ligue 1 | Sat 02 May, 20:05

Nice v Lens Stats

Data last updated: Mon 15 Jun 2026, 11:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Nice face Lens in Ligue 1 on Sat 02 May, 20:05. Lens are currently overflowing with and average four goals per match in this competition. Lens enter this tournament finale with heavy support following five wins in their last eight games, contrasted with Nice's solitary victory in nine.

BT4Y best bet

Lens 2-1 Nice Correct Score Lifting the Coupe de France requires balancing attacking ambition with knockout discipline

  • At 21/10, Lens Win & BTTS implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Lens possess a relentlessly dangerous attack, scoring sixteen goals across four cup fixtures.
  • Lens need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Nice on 3 and Lens on 7.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for Nice and 80% for Lens.
  • Lens Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 0.6 for Nice and 2.4 for Lens are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Lens Win & BTTS sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Lens need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Nice on 3 and Lens on 7. Lens possess a relentlessly dangerous attack, scoring sixteen goals across four cup fixtures.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 32% implied
Strong positive
Lens need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Lens possess a relentlessly dangerous attack, scoring sixteen goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Lens Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because lens possess a relentlessly dangerous attack, scoring sixteen goals across four cup fixtures. Lens need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Nice on 3 and Lens on 7. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Lens Win & BTTS evidence

Lens possess a relentlessly dangerous attack, scoring sixteen goals across four cup fixtures.

Lens need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Nice on 3 and Lens on 7.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for Nice and 80% for Lens.

Lens Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 0.6 for Nice and 2.4 for Lens are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Lens Win & BTTS notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Nice4.2
Avg corners for
Lens8
Nice8.8
Avg total corners
Lens9.6
Nice1.2
Avg yellow cards
Lens1.8
Nice7.8
Avg shots
Lens23.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 46% · edge +5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Nice0.6
Avg goals scored
Lens2.4
Nice1.8
Avg goals conceded
Lens2.2
Nice60%
BTTS rate
Lens80%
Nice40%
Over 2.5 goals
Lens100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 36% · edge +39.6 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickLens Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Lens to WinBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Lens Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Nice

DDDLL
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 4D 5L
26 Apr 2026A Marseille1-1
18 Apr 2026A Lille0-0
12 Apr 2026H Le Havre1-1
04 Apr 2026A Strasbourg1-3
21 Mar 2026H Paris Saint Germain0-4

Lens

DWLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
24 Apr 2026A Stade Brestois 293-3
17 Apr 2026H Toulouse3-2
04 Apr 2026A Lille0-3
20 Mar 2026H Angers5-1
14 Mar 2026A Lorient1-2
Market aligned with main pickLens Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Lens to WinBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Nice wins
2Draws
2Lens wins
14 Dec 2025Lens v Nice2-0
08 Feb 2025Nice v Lens2-0
28 Sep 2024Lens v Nice0-0
16 Mar 2024Lens v Nice1-3
20 Dec 2023Nice v Lens2-0
01 Feb 2023Lens v Nice0-1
Market aligned with main pickLens to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 60% · edge +9.5 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The head-to-head sample gives context for Lens to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Ligue 1

Nice36
Played
Lens34
Nice1.1
Avg goals for
Lens1.9
Nice1.7
Avg goals against
Lens1
Nice7
Clean sheets
Lens12
Market aligned with main pickLens Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Lens to WinBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Season data supports Lens Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Lens7034224831
16Nice323471116-23
Nice sit in position 16, while Lens sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Lens Win & BTTS assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Nice Over 2.5
100%Lens Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Nice sit at 40% and Lens sit at 100% with the H2H average at 1.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.