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Newcastle crestNewcastle
v
Strasbourg crestStrasbourg

Friendlies Clubs | Sun 16 Aug, 16:00

Newcastle v Strasbourg Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Newcastle prepares to face Strasbourg in a friendly match that offers both teams a chance to sharpen their squads ahead of the competitive season. Newcastle enters with solid recent form, securing 7 points from their last fixtures and demonstrating a strong attacking edge with an average of 1.6 goals per game. Strasbourg, meanwhile, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 4 goals per match and failing to collect points recently. The match will test Newcastle's offensive capabilities against Strasbourg's vulnerable defense, with tactical adjustments likely as both sides seek rhythm and .

BT4Y best bet

Newcastle to Win

  • Newcastle has earned 7 points recently, showing strong form.
  • Strasbourg has conceded 4 goals per game on average, indicating defensive weakness.
  • Newcastle scores 1.6 goals per match, suggesting attacking potency.
  • Strasbourg's recent matches have yielded no points, reflecting struggles.
  • High Over 2.5 Goals rate (80%) for Newcastle suggests open play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Newcastle to win with a 74% chance, driven by their superior recent form and attacking efficiency compared to Strasbourg's defensive frailties. Newcastle's high Over 2.5 Goals rate (80%) and BTTS rate (80%) indicate an aggressive style that Strasbourg's leaky defense is unlikely to contain. Although this is a friendly, Newcastle's consistency and goal threat provide a strong football rationale for backing them to prevail. No price warnings apply, supporting a standard stake approach.

Recent FormNewcastle 7 points vs Strasbourg 0 points
Strong positive
Goals ScoredNewcastle 1.6 goals per game
Positive
Goals ConcededStrasbourg concedes 4 goals per game
Strong positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateNewcastle 80%
Positive
BTTS RateNewcastle 80%, Strasbourg 40%
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Newcastle's recent form and attacking threat make them the clear favorite to win this friendly. Their ability to score consistently contrasts sharply with Strasbourg's defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting Newcastle will control the match tempo and create more scoring opportunities.

Main risk

The concern is compounded by a limited attacking return.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Newcastle's attacking momentum and Strasbourg's defensive struggles set the stage for a home victory. The match should favor Newcastle's ability to impose their style and capitalize on defensive gaps.”

Key Data Signals

Newcastle to Win evidence

Newcastle has earned 7 points recently, showing strong form.

Strasbourg has conceded 4 goals per game on average, indicating defensive weakness.

Newcastle scores 1.6 goals per match, suggesting attacking potency.

Strasbourg's recent matches have yielded no points, reflecting struggles.

What To Watch In The Data

Newcastle to Win notes

  • Over the recent sample, Newcastle's 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate indicates a tendency for open, high-scoring matches.
  • This trend, combined with Strasbourg's defensive vulnerabilities, suggests a lively encounter with multiple goal-scoring opportunities and a fast tempo.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Newcastle1.2
Avg goals scored
Strasbourg1
Newcastle2.2
Avg goals conceded
Strasbourg4
Newcastle100%
BTTS rate
Strasbourg40%
Newcastle80%
Over 2.5 goals
Strasbourg60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Newcastle's high Over 2.5 Goals rate of 80% combined with Strasbourg's leaky defense suggests a match likely to feature multiple goals. The BTTS split favors Newcastle scoring, while Strasbourg's lower BTTS rate reflects their defensive struggles, supporting expectations of goals but possibly not both teams scoring consistently.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The Newcastle to Win market aligns well with the model's 74% win probability, indicating a strong football read. Without visible , this selection appears price-sensitive but justified by Newcastle's superior form and goal threat. Any drift upwards would enhance value.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Newcastle

LLWLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 3L
15 Aug 2026H Bayer Leverkusen1-2
12 Aug 2026H Everton1-3
08 Aug 2026A Valencia2-1
29 Jul 2026A Bristol City1-4
25 Jul 2026A Gateshead1-1

Strasbourg

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 5L
08 Aug 2026A SC Freiburg0-2
04 Aug 2026H SV Elversberg2-5
01 Aug 2026A Brighton3-4
25 Jul 2026H Blackburn0-2
20 Jul 2026A Sporting CP0-7

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Newcastle wins
0Draws
0Strasbourg wins
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
No previous meetings exist between Newcastle and Strasbourg, so head-to-head data offers no direct insight. Tactical approaches and current form will be the primary factors influencing the match outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Newcastle6
Played
Strasbourg5
Newcastle1.5
Avg goals for
Strasbourg1
Newcastle1.8
Avg goals against
Strasbourg4
Newcastle1
Clean sheets
Strasbourg0

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Newcastle Over 2.5
60%Strasbourg Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the recent sample, Newcastle's 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate indicates a tendency for open, high-scoring matches. This trend, combined with Strasbourg's defensive vulnerabilities, suggests a lively encounter with multiple goal-scoring opportunities and a fast tempo.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.