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New York City FC crestNew York City FC
v
CF Montreal crestCF Montreal

Major League Soccer | Sat 31 Oct, 18:00

New York City FC v CF Montreal Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 08:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

New York City FC and CF Montreal meet in a Major League Soccer clash where offensive opportunities are expected to shape the contest. New York City FC has shown a more potent attack recently, averaging 1.2 goals per game, while Montreal's scoring has been limited but their attacking players remain a threat. Defensively, both sides have conceded regularly, suggesting an open game. The tactical setup points to a match where both teams will seek to break down the opposition, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends in this late October fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • New York City FC scores in 80% of recent matches, Montreal in 40%.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.
  • New York City FC averages 13.4 shots per game with 5.4 on target.
  • Owusu has 15 goals and 1.34 shots on target per 90 minutes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 73.3% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong attacking signals from New York City FC and a capable offensive threat from CF Montreal despite their lower scoring average. Both teams have shown a propensity to concede goals, with New York City FC allowing 1.6 and Montreal 2.4 goals per game, supporting the likelihood of goals at both ends. The price at 1.75 offers positive value given the model's and the attacking profiles of key players like P. Fernández Mercau. No data limitations or price warnings affect this pick.

Model Chance72.1% model chance vs 57.1% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance72.1% model chance vs 57.1% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge72.1% model chance vs 57.1% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Confidence88
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown tendencies to concede and create chances, making a Both Teams to Score bet tactically sound. New York City FC's attacking consistency combined with Montreal's key goal threats supports the expectation of goals at both ends in this matchup.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture features two sides with attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities, making Both Teams to Score a compelling angle given the player profiles and recent goal concessions.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

New York City FC scores in 80% of recent matches, Montreal in 40%.

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.

New York City FC averages 13.4 shots per game with 5.4 on target.

Owusu has 15 goals and 1.34 shots on target per 90 minutes.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 1.9, with both teams showing a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season.
  • This trend suggests a moderate tempo with opportunities for multiple goals, driven by open play and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

New York City FC1.2
Avg goals scored
CF Montreal0.4
New York City FC1.6
Avg goals conceded
CF Montreal2.4
New York City FC80%
BTTS rate
CF Montreal40%
New York City FC60%
Over 2.5 goals
CF Montreal60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 31%
2
Check odds @ 2
New York City FC scores in 80% of matches while Montreal does so in 40%, indicating a strong likelihood of goals from both sides. Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting open games with multiple scoring opportunities. The average goals per game in their head-to-head is 1.9, supporting a moderate scoring tempo.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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CF Montreal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 39%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
New York City FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
New York City FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
CF Montreal to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
The 72.1% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.1% implied by the current price (+15 pts). New York City FC show a 80% BTTS rate and CF Montreal show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

New York City FC

WDDLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
28 Oct 2026H Atlanta United FC2-1
25 Oct 2026A Orlando City SC2-2
18 Oct 2026H Los Angeles FC1-1
15 Oct 2026A Inter Miami0-2
10 Oct 2026A Chicago Fire1-2

CF Montreal

LLDLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 8L
28 Oct 2026A Charlotte0-4
24 Oct 2026H Nashville SC0-2
18 Oct 2026A Seattle Sounders1-1
15 Oct 2026H Atlanta United FC0-3
10 Oct 2026A Toronto FC1-2
Best odds for this sectionCF Montreal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
New York City FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
New York City FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
CF Montreal to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 22%
5
Check odds @ 5
Recent form data shows New York City FC earning 5 points from their last matches, scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 1.6 on average, while Montreal has struggled with only 1 point, scoring 0.4 and conceding 2.4. Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, and New York City FC has a strong 80% BTTS rate, indicating a trend toward open, goal-filled games.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%New York City FC Over 2.5
60%CF Montreal Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 1.9, with both teams showing a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season. This trend suggests a moderate tempo with opportunities for multiple goals, driven by open play and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.

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