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Nashville SC crestNashville SC
v
Los Angeles FC crestLos Angeles FC

Major League Soccer | Mon 18 May, 01:00

Nashville SC v Los Angeles FC Stats

Data last updated: Sun 17 May 2026, 03:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Nashville SC face Los Angeles FC in Major League Soccer on Mon 18 May, 01:00. Nashville SC come in with 11 recent points and 2.2 goals per match, while Los Angeles FC have 5 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Nashville SC to Win

  • At 2.2, Nashville SC Win implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • Nashville SC have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 5 for Los Angeles FC.
  • Nashville SC have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Nashville SC Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Nashville SC sit 1 in the table, while Los Angeles FC sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for Nashville SC Win sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. Nashville SC have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 5 for Los Angeles FC.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Strong positive
Nashville SC have the stronger recent points return, taking 11.Visible data support
Positive
Nashville SC have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Nashville SC Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Nashville SC have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 5 for Los Angeles FC. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Nashville SC Win evidence

Nashville SC have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 5 for Los Angeles FC.

Nashville SC have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Nashville SC Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Nashville SC sit 1 in the table, while Los Angeles FC sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Nashville SC Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Nashville SC2.2
    Avg goals scored
    Los Angeles FC1
    Nashville SC0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Los Angeles FC1.6
    Nashville SC40%
    BTTS rate
    Los Angeles FC60%
    Nashville SC60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Los Angeles FC60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 33% · edge +26.7 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Major League Soccer hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickNashville SC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 46% · edge +28.5 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Nashville SC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Nashville SC to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Nashville SC6
    Avg corners for
    Los Angeles FC5.4
    Nashville SC11
    Avg total corners
    Los Angeles FC9.6
    Nashville SC1.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Los Angeles FC2.6
    Nashville SC12.4
    Avg shots
    Los Angeles FC11.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 48% · edge +12 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Nashville SC

    WDDWW
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 2D 1L
    14 May 2026A New England Revolution3-0
    10 May 2026H DC United2-2
    03 May 2026A Philadelphia Union0-0
    26 Apr 2026H Charlotte4-2
    19 Apr 2026A Atlanta United FC2-0

    Los Angeles FC

    LLDWD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 4L
    14 May 2026A St. Louis City1-2
    11 May 2026H Houston Dynamo1-4
    03 May 2026A San Diego2-2
    25 Apr 2026A Minnesota United FC1-0
    23 Apr 2026H Colorado Rapids0-0
    Market aligned with main pickNashville SC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 46% · edge +28.5 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Nashville SC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Nashville SC wins
    1Draws
    2Los Angeles FC wins
    24 Mar 2024Los Angeles FC v Nashville SC5-0
    23 Apr 2023Nashville SC v Los Angeles FC1-1
    09 Oct 2022Los Angeles FC v Nashville SC0-1
    18 Jul 2022Nashville SC v Los Angeles FC1-2
    Market aligned with main pickNashville SC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 46% · edge +28.5 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Nashville SC to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Major League Soccer

    Nashville SC14
    Played
    Los Angeles FC15
    Nashville SC2.2
    Avg goals for
    Los Angeles FC1.6
    Nashville SC0.8
    Avg goals against
    Los Angeles FC1.1
    Nashville SC6
    Clean sheets
    Los Angeles FC9
    Market aligned with main pickNashville SC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 46% · edge +28.5 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Nashville SC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Season data supports Nashville SC to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    5Los Angeles FC24157357
    1Nashville SC3314103120
    Nashville SC sit in position 1, while Los Angeles FC sit in position 5, so table pressure belongs in the Nashville SC Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Nashville SC Over 2.5
    60%Los Angeles FC Over 2.5
    2.75H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Nashville SC sit at 60% and Los Angeles FC sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.75 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Next step

    Betting context

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