Nashville SC

Inter Miami

Major League Soccer | Sun 16 Aug, 01:30

Nashville SC v Inter Miami Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Major League Soccer clash features Nashville SC hosting Inter Miami in a high-stakes encounter with the top two teams separated by just two points. Nashville SC leads the standings with 40 points, closely followed by Inter Miami on 38. Inter Miami's recent attacking form stands out, averaging 2.8 goals per game compared to Nashville's 1.2, suggesting an open contest. Both teams have shown resilience, but Inter Miami's offensive potency and ability to create chances could prove decisive in this tightly contested fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Inter Miami to Win

Inter Miami ranks second in MLS with 38 points, just two behind Nashville SC.
Inter Miami averages 2.8 goals per game, more than double Nashville SC's 1.2.
Inter Miami averages 18.25 shots per game with 7 on target, indicating strong attacking pressure.
Nashville SC concedes fewer goals (0.8 per game) but faces a potent Inter Miami attack.
Recent form favors Inter Miami with 13 points compared to Nashville's 10 in recent matches.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Inter Miami's of 61.7% to win reflects their superior attacking metrics, including 2.8 goals per game and a high shot volume (18.25 shots with 7 on target per match). Their ability to consistently create scoring opportunities, led by key players like Lionel Messi and Luis Suárez, underpins this . Nashville SC's defensive solidity is notable but may be tested by Inter Miami's offensive firepower. The price offers positive value with a 23.5% edge, making Inter Miami to win a compelling selection based on form and attacking quality.

Model Chance61.7%

Strong positive

Implied Chance38.2%

Strong positive

Value Edge23.5%

Strong positive

Inter Miami Goals per Game2.8

Strong positive

Nashville SC Goals Against per Game0.8

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Inter Miami's attacking prowess, spearheaded by Lionel Messi and Luis Suárez, combined with their recent strong form, makes them the likely winners in this top-of-the-table clash. Nashville SC's defense is solid but may struggle to contain Inter Miami's dynamic forward line, tipping the balance in favor of the visitors.

Main risk

Both drew 2-2 last time out, but the wider picture is far more revealing.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking strength and tactical advantage

“Inter Miami's offensive depth and creativity, especially through Messi and Suárez, provide a clear tactical edge in this fixture. Their ability to generate high-quality chances should be decisive against Nashville's disciplined defense.”

Key Data Signals

Inter Miami to Win evidence

Inter Miami ranks second in MLS with 38 points, just two behind Nashville SC.

Inter Miami averages 2.8 goals per game, more than double Nashville SC's 1.2.

Inter Miami averages 18.25 shots per game with 7 on target, indicating strong attacking pressure.

Nashville SC concedes fewer goals (0.8 per game) but faces a potent Inter Miami attack.

What To Watch In The Data

Inter Miami to Win notes

In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.4, indicating a relatively high-scoring fixture historically.
Inter Miami's 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent games supports the expectation of an open, attacking match with multiple goals.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Nashville SC3.8

Avg corners for

Inter Miami6.5

Nashville SC7.2

Avg total corners

Inter Miami10.5

Nashville SC1.4

Avg yellow cards

Inter Miami2.75

Nashville SC8.6

Avg shots

Inter Miami18.25

Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 52% · edge +5.6 pts

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

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Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 54%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 60%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Inter Miami's control in shots (18.25 per game) and corners (6.5 per game) highlights their territorial control and attacking pressure. Nashville SC's lower averages suggest they may be on the back foot, while Inter Miami's higher card count (2.75 yellows per game) reflects their aggressive pressing and physical style.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Nashville SC1.2

Avg goals scored

Inter Miami2.8

Nashville SC0.8

Avg goals conceded

Inter Miami1.6

Nashville SC40%

BTTS rate

Inter Miami60%

Nashville SC40%

Over 2.5 goals

Inter Miami60%

Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 79% vs implied 88% · edge -8.8 pts

1.14

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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Inter Miami's average of 2.8 goals per game and a 60% BTTS rate indicate a strong likelihood of goals in this match. Nashville SC's lower scoring rate and 40% BTTS rate suggest a more cautious approach, but the combined attacking threat points toward a game with multiple goals and both teams scoring.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickInter Miami to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

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Inter Miami Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 60%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

The for Inter Miami to win reflect a positive value opportunity, with the model assigning a 61.7% chance compared to an implied market chance of 38.2%. This significant suggests the market underestimates Inter Miami's current form and attacking capabilities, making the selection price-sensitive but attractive.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Nashville SC

DLWWW

Last 53W 1D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 106W 3D 1L

02 Aug 2026A DC United2-2

26 Jul 2026A Orlando City SC0-1

23 Jul 2026H CF Montreal1-0

18 Jul 2026H Atlanta United FC1-0

24 May 2026H New York City FC2-1

Inter Miami

DWWWW

Last 54W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 107W 2D 1L

02 Aug 2026H Columbus Crew2-2

26 Jul 2026A CF Montreal1-0

23 Jul 2026H Chicago Fire3-2

25 May 2026H Philadelphia Union6-4

17 May 2026H Portland Timbers2-0

Market aligned with main pickInter Miami to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Inter Miami Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

Inter Miami's recent form, accumulating 13 points compared to Nashville SC's 10, underscores their momentum and . Their higher goal-scoring rate and shot volume in recent matches suggest they have been more effective offensively, which could be decisive in this encounter.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Nashville SC wins

2Draws

7Inter Miami wins

18 Mar 2026Inter Miami v Nashville SC1-1

11 Mar 2026Nashville SC v Inter Miami0-0

09 Nov 2025Inter Miami v Nashville SC4-0

01 Nov 2025Nashville SC v Inter Miami2-1

25 Oct 2025Inter Miami v Nashville SC3-1

18 Oct 2025Nashville SC v Inter Miami2-5

Market aligned with main pickInter Miami to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

The head-to-head record over ten matches shows an average of 3.4 goals per game, suggesting a history of open contests. While this supports the likelihood of goals, the sample does not strongly favor either side, making current form and player quality more decisive.

Season team stats

Major League Soccer

Nashville SC18

Played

Inter Miami18

Nashville SC1.9

Avg goals for

Inter Miami2.5

Nashville SC0.8

Avg goals against

Inter Miami1.8

Nashville SC8

Clean sheets

Inter Miami4

Market aligned with main pickInter Miami to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts

2.62

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Inter Miami Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

Over the season, Inter Miami's offensive output of 2.8 goals per game contrasts with Nashville SC's more conservative 1.2 goals per game. Defensively, Nashville concedes fewer goals, but Inter Miami's balanced attack and ability to create chances consistently provide them with an edge.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
1	Nashville SC	40	18	12	4	2	21
2	Inter Miami	38	18	11	5	2	13

The tight standings with Nashville SC first and Inter Miami second, separated by only two points, add significant competitive pressure. Both teams are motivated, but Inter Miami's recent surge and offensive form position them well to challenge for the top spot.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Nashville SC Over 2.5

60%Inter Miami Over 2.5

3.4H2H avg goals

In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.4, indicating a relatively high-scoring fixture historically. Inter Miami's 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent games supports the expectation of an open, attacking match with multiple goals.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Nashville SC v Inter Miami Stats

Match Report

Inter Miami to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Nashville SC

Inter Miami

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Football Stats Hub

Nashville SC v Inter Miami Stats

Match Report

Inter Miami to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Nashville SC

Inter Miami

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