Nantes
ToulouseLigue 1 | Sun 17 May, 20:00
Nantes v Toulouse Stats
Data last updated: Fri 19 Jun 2026, 19:27 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Nantes face Toulouse in Ligue 1 on Sun 17 May, 20:00. Toulouse’s last six league matches have all cleared the 2.5 goal line, pointing towards another open encounter on Sunday afternoon. Against Lens they created 15 shots despite having only 36% possession.
A specific outcome over 90 minutes
- At 12/1, Nantes Win implies roughly 8%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 30%.
- Nantes showed they can score against top sides like Marseille, while Toulouse's defensive vulnerability away from home makes a multi-goal scoreline a realistic prospect.
- Toulouse have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Nantes.
- Nantes have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Nantes Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Nantes sit 17 in the table, while Toulouse sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 30% for Nantes Win sits against roughly 8% implied by the current price. Toulouse have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Nantes. Nantes showed they can score against top sides like Marseille, while Toulouse's defensive vulnerability away from home makes a multi-goal scoreline a realistic prospect.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Nantes Win is the preferred angle because nantes showed they can score against top sides like Marseille, while Toulouse's defensive vulnerability away from home makes a multi-goal scoreline a realistic prospect. Toulouse have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Nantes. Due to the high number of possible outcomes, it offers much higher but carries significantly more volatility.
Due to the high number of possible outcomes, it offers much higher but carries significantly more volatility.
Key Data Signals
Nantes Win evidence
Nantes showed they can score against top sides like Marseille, while Toulouse's defensive vulnerability away from home makes.
Toulouse have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Nantes.
Nantes have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Nantes Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Nantes sit 17 in the table, while Toulouse sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Nantes Win notes
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
Load more odds for this section
Continue the research
Useful next reads
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Load more odds for this section
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Nantes
Toulouse
Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
Load more odds for this section
Season team stats
Ligue 1
Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Toulouse | 44 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 1 |
| 17 | Nantes | 23 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
