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Nantes crestNantes
v
Toulouse crestToulouse

Ligue 1 | Sun 17 May, 20:00

Nantes v Toulouse Stats

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • At 1.98, Over 9.5 Corners is priced at roughly 51% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 69%, so the current line is showing a +18.5-point value edge.
  • The detailed sample shows average total corners of 12.8 for Nantes games and 10.6 for Toulouse games.
  • The corner data supports the Over 9.5 Corners angle: Nantes have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
  • The corner data supports the Over 9.5 Corners angle: Toulouse have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.98, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%Nantes Over 2.5
100%Toulouse Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Nantes

LWLLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
08 May 2026A Lens0-1
02 May 2026H Marseille3-0
26 Apr 2026A Rennes1-2
22 Apr 2026A Paris Saint Germain0-3
19 Apr 2026H Stade Brestois 291-1

Toulouse

WWDLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
10 May 2026H Lyon2-1
03 May 2026A Strasbourg2-1
25 Apr 2026H Monaco2-2
17 Apr 2026A Lens2-3
12 Apr 2026H Lille0-4
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 80% vs implied 74% · edge +6.5 pts
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 30%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Nantes1
Avg goals scored
Toulouse1.6
Nantes1.4
Avg goals conceded
Toulouse2.2
Nantes40%
BTTS rate
Toulouse80%
Nantes60%
Over 2.5 goals
Toulouse100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 81%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 41%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

3Nantes wins
4Draws
3Toulouse wins
27 Sep 2025Toulouse v Nantes2-2
27 Apr 2025Nantes v Toulouse0-0
18 Aug 2024Toulouse v Nantes0-0
11 Feb 2024Toulouse v Nantes1-2
13 Aug 2023Nantes v Toulouse1-2
14 May 2023Toulouse v Nantes0-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 30%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Nantes7
Avg corners for
Toulouse3.8
Nantes12.8
Avg total corners
Toulouse10.6
Nantes1.4
Avg yellow cards
Toulouse3
Nantes16.8
Avg shots
Toulouse12.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 51% · edge +18.5 pts
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleJulián Vignolo Anytime GoalscorerJulián Vignolo · 2 goals · 3.04 SOT/90
85/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
Julián Vignolo 1+ Shot On TargetJulián Vignolo · 3.04 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
Julián Vignolo 2+ ShotsJulián Vignolo · 3.04 shots/90
79/100
Bet HERE
Y. Gboho To Assist / Key Pass AngleY. Gboho · 3 assists · 1.95 key passes/90
69/100
Bet HERE
Y. Gboho To Be FouledY. Gboho · 2.37 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
D. Methalie Card RiskD. Methalie · 9 yellows · 2.7 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Julián Vignolo
Julián VignoloToulouse · Attacker
Goal threat89/100
Shots /903.04
SOT /903.04
Emersonn
EmersonnToulouse · Attacker
Goal threat64/100
Shots /902.49
SOT /901.12
F. Magri
F. MagriToulouse · Attacker
Goal threat54/100
Shots /901.78
SOT /900.85
B. Deuff
B. DeuffNantes · Midfielder
Goal threat31/100
Shots /902.57
SOT /901.1
D. Methalie
D. MethalieToulouse · Midfielder
Goal threat25/100
Shots /900.57
SOT /900.33
I. Sissoko
I. SissokoNantes · Defender
Goal threat8/100
Shots /900.33
SOT /900
Season team stats

Ligue 1

Nantes33
Played
Toulouse33
Nantes0.9
Avg goals for
Toulouse1.4
Nantes1.6
Avg goals against
Toulouse1.4
Nantes7
Clean sheets
Toulouse9
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 38% · edge +15.9 pts
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 30%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Toulouse4433128131
17Nantes23335820-23

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

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