Football Stats Hub

Monza crestMonza
v
Juve Stabia crestJuve Stabia

Serie B | Tue 19 May, 19:00

Monza v Juve Stabia Stats

Data last updated: Wed 24 Jun 2026, 18:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Monza face Juve Stabia in Serie B on Tue 19 May, 19:00. Juve Stabia have shown defensive instability, conceding in five of their last six matches, which will prove critical under intense playoff pressure at the U-Power Stadium.

BT4Y best bet

Monza to Win (4/7) Monza enter this home playoff fixture with substantial structural advantages that make them definitive favourites over regular time

  • At 15/2, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 12%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • Higher-risk strategies often combine the Match Result with Both Teams to Score (BTTS) to capture better pricing, trading stability for directional probability.
  • Monza show a 60% BTTS rate and Juve Stabia show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Monza average 2 goals scored and Juve Stabia average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 12% implied by the current price. Monza show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Juve Stabia show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Higher-risk strategies often combine the Match Result with Both Teams to Score (BTTS) to capture better pricing, trading stability for directional probability.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 12% implied
Strong positive
Monza show a 60% BTTS rate and Juve Stabia show.Visible data support
Positive
Monza average 2 goals scored and Juve Stabia average 1.Visible data support
Positive
Higher-risk strategies often combine the Match Result with Both.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because higher-risk strategies often combine the Match Result with Both Teams to Score (BTTS) to capture better pricing, trading stability for directional probability. Monza show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Juve Stabia show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Those are not explosive figures, but they are efficient ones.

Main risk

Those are not explosive figures, but they are efficient ones.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Higher-risk strategies often combine the Match Result with Both Teams to Score (BTTS) to capture better pricing, trading.

Monza show a 60% BTTS rate and Juve Stabia show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Monza average 2 goals scored and Juve Stabia average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Monza2
Avg goals scored
Juve Stabia1
Monza1.4
Avg goals conceded
Juve Stabia1
Monza60%
BTTS rate
Juve Stabia60%
Monza80%
Over 2.5 goals
Juve Stabia20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 52% · edge +20.9 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91

Continue the research

Useful next reads

related match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 52% · edge +20.9 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Monza to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Juve Stabia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Monza Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Monza5.4
Avg corners for
Juve Stabia3.2
Monza8.8
Avg total corners
Juve Stabia8
Monza1.8
Avg yellow cards
Juve Stabia1.6
Monza15.4
Avg shots
Juve Stabia11.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 56% · edge -3.1 pts
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Monza

DDLWW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 5D 1L
16 May 2026A Juve Stabia2-2
08 May 2026H Empoli2-2
01 May 2026A Mantova2-3
24 Apr 2026H Modena1-0
17 Apr 2026A Sampdoria3-0

Juve Stabia

DWDLD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
16 May 2026H Monza2-2
12 May 2026A Modena1-0
08 May 2026A Sudtirol1-1
01 May 2026H Frosinone0-1
25 Apr 2026A Pescara1-1
Best odds for this sectionJuve Stabia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 30% · edge +11.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Monza to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Juve Stabia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Monza Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Monza wins
2Draws
0Juve Stabia wins
16 May 2026Juve Stabia v Monza2-2
15 Feb 2026Monza v Juve Stabia2-1
30 Nov 2025Juve Stabia v Monza2-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 52% · edge +20.9 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Monza to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Juve Stabia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

Monza42
Played
Juve Stabia41
Monza1.6
Avg goals for
Juve Stabia1.2
Monza0.9
Avg goals against
Juve Stabia1.2
Monza17
Clean sheets
Juve Stabia12
Best odds for this sectionJuve Stabia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 30% · edge +11.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Monza to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Juve Stabia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Monza Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Season data supports Juve Stabia Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Monza76382210629
7Juve Stabia513811189-1
Monza sit in position 3, while Juve Stabia sit in position 7, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Monza Over 2.5
20%Juve Stabia Over 2.5
3.67H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Monza sit at 80% and Juve Stabia sit at 20% with the H2H average at 3.67 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Monza v Juve Stabia prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Browse football stats pages

Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

Competition and hubs

related match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre