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Montpellier crestMontpellier
v
Le Puy Foot crestLe Puy Foot

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 16:00

Montpellier v Le Puy Foot Stats

Data last updated: Sat 18 Jul 2026, 05:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Montpellier face Le Puy Foot in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 16:00. Montpellier come in with 3 recent points and 3 goals per match, while Le Puy Foot have 2 points and 0.5 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.92, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 58%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Montpellier and 0% for Le Puy Foot, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Montpellier are carrying more of the scoring load at 3 goals per match, with Le Puy Foot at 0.5.
  • BTTS rates of 100% for Montpellier and 50% for Le Puy Foot show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 58% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Montpellier and 0% for Le Puy Foot, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price58% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Montpellier and 0%.Visible data support
Positive
Montpellier are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Montpellier and 0% for Le Puy Foot, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Montpellier and 0% for Le Puy Foot, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Montpellier are carrying more of the scoring load at 3 goals per match, with Le Puy Foot at 0.5.

BTTS rates of 100% for Montpellier and 50% for Le Puy Foot show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Montpellier3
Avg goals scored
Le Puy Foot0.5
Montpellier2
Avg goals conceded
Le Puy Foot0.5
Montpellier100%
BTTS rate
Le Puy Foot50%
Montpellier100%
Over 2.5 goals
Le Puy Foot0%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 52% · edge +6.3 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for Montpellier and 0% for Le Puy Foot, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 52% · edge +6.3 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Load more odds for this section
Le Puy Foot Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Montpellier to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Montpellier Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Le Puy Foot to WinBetfred guide price · model 26%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Montpellier

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
11 Jul 2026H Aubagne3-2

Le Puy Foot

DD
Last 50W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 0L
11 Jul 2026H Dijon1-1
27 Mar 2026A Clermont Foot0-0
Best odds for this sectionLe Puy Foot Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 30% · edge +11.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.01
Check odds @ 2.01
Montpellier to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Montpellier Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Le Puy Foot to WinBetfred guide price · model 26%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Montpellier wins
0Draws
1Le Puy Foot wins
21 Dec 2024Le Puy Foot v Montpellier4-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 52% · edge +6.3 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Load more odds for this section
Montpellier to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Le Puy Foot to WinBetfred guide price · model 26%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Montpellier2
Played
Le Puy Foot3
Montpellier4
Avg goals for
Le Puy Foot1
Montpellier2
Avg goals against
Le Puy Foot2
Montpellier0
Clean sheets
Le Puy Foot1
Best odds for this sectionLe Puy Foot Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 30% · edge +11.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Montpellier to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Montpellier Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Le Puy Foot to WinBetfred guide price · model 26%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Season data supports Le Puy Foot Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Montpellier Over 2.5
0%Le Puy Foot Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Montpellier sit at 100% and Le Puy Foot sit at 0% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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