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Montenegro crestMontenegro
v
Cyprus crestCyprus

UEFA Nations League | Fri 25 Sep, 19:45

Montenegro v Cyprus Stats

Data last updated: Fri 16 Oct 2026, 09:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Montenegro face Cyprus in UEFA Nations League on Fri 25 Sep, 19:45. Montenegro begin their latest UEFA Nations League campaign back in League C, facing Cyprus in Podgorica with both sides trying to establish an early position in a group completed by Armenia and Latvia.

BT4Y best bet

Respects Montenegro's higher ranking and Cyprus's potential to score despite previous clean sheets against them

  • At 13/2, Respects Montenegro's higher ranking and Cyprus's potential to score despite previous clean sheets against them implies roughly 13%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 21%.
  • The selection respects Montenegro's higher ranking and Cyprus's potential to score despite previous clean sheets against them.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 21% for Respects Montenegro's higher ranking and Cyprus's potential to score despite previous clean sheets against them sits against roughly 13% implied by the current price. The selection respects Montenegro's higher ranking and Cyprus's potential to score despite previous clean sheets against them.

Model chance vs price21% model chance against roughly 13% implied
Positive
The selection respects Montenegro's higher ranking and Cyprus's potential.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +8 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Montenegro Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because the selection respects Montenegro's higher ranking and Cyprus's potential to score despite previous clean sheets against them. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Respects Montenegro's higher ranking and Cyprus's potential to score despite previous clean sheets against them evidence

The selection respects Montenegro's higher ranking and Cyprus's potential to score despite previous clean sheets against them.

What To Watch In The Data

Respects Montenegro's higher ranking and Cyprus's potential to score despite previous clean sheets against them notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Montenegro

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Montenegro yet.

Cyprus

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Cyprus yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 86% · edge -7.6 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
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Montenegro to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Montenegro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Montenegro-
Avg goals scored
Cyprus-
Montenegro-
Avg goals conceded
Cyprus-
Montenegro-
BTTS rate
Cyprus-
Montenegro-
Over 2.5 goals
Cyprus-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 54% · edge +1.7 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more UEFA Nations League analysisfull betting preview for Montenegro v Cyprusplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickMontenegro to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 57% · edge -5.7 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Montenegro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Montenegro to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Montenegro Over 2.5
-Cyprus Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The selection respects Montenegro's higher ranking and Cyprus's potential to score despite previous clean sheets against them.

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