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Molde crestMolde
v
Brann crestBrann

Eliteserien | Sat 18 Jul, 17:00

Molde v Brann Stats

Data last updated: Fri 17 Jul 2026, 05:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Molde and Brann face off in an Eliteserien clash where attacking intent is expected to shape the game. Molde, positioned fifth, have shown a moderate goal output but a solid offensive approach, while Brann, sitting ninth, have demonstrated a more aggressive scoring pattern despite defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently, suggesting an open encounter with chances at both ends. Tactical setups hint at a contest where offensive players like N. Breivik will be key, and the match could hinge on which side capitalizes on transition opportunities and set-piece deliveries.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Molde and Brann have combined for an average of 3 goals per game in their last 10 meetings.
  • Brann has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, indicating consistent high-scoring games.
  • Molde averages 15 shots per game with 4.67 on target, showing offensive pressure.
  • Key attackers like N. Breivik contribute significantly to goal threats and shot volume.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at a 70.6% chance, supported by both teams' offensive tendencies and recent scoring trends. Brann's perfect Over 2.5 record and Molde's consistent shot creation underpin the likelihood of multiple goals. The average of 3 goals in their last 10 meetings further strengthens the case for a high-scoring game. Player data highlights key attackers with strong shot and goal involvement, reinforcing the expectation of an open, attacking match. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake opportunity.

Recent Over 2.5 Rate Brann100%
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Rate Molde60%
Positive
Average Goals H2H3.0
Positive
Shot Volume Molde15 per game
Positive
Key Player Goal ThreatsN. Holm, E. Breivik
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both teams pushing forward, as Molde and Brann have shown attacking intent and vulnerability at the back. The data supports a match with multiple goals, driven by key offensive players and recent high-scoring trends. Over 2.5 Goals is a logical choice given these factors.

Main risk

The main risk is that defensive adjustments or cautious tactics could reduce scoring chances, especially if either side prioritizes defensive solidity over attack.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“Molde and Brann's attacking profiles and recent matches suggest a lively encounter with goals likely at both ends. Their offensive players are in form, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling angle for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Molde and Brann have combined for an average of 3 goals per game in their last 10 meetings.

Brann has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, indicating consistent high-scoring games.

Molde averages 15 shots per game with 4.67 on target, showing offensive pressure.

Key attackers like N. Breivik contribute significantly to goal threats and shot volume.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, Molde and Brann have averaged 3 goals per game, indicating a history of open, high-scoring matches.
  • This trend, combined with recent attacking form, suggests a fast tempo and multiple goal-scoring chances, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals angle for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Molde1.2
Avg goals scored
Brann1.4
Molde1.4
Avg goals conceded
Brann1.8
Molde60%
BTTS rate
Brann100%
Molde60%
Over 2.5 goals
Brann100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 65% · edge +5.2 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams have shown a propensity for goals, with Brann's 100% Over 2.5 rate and Molde's 60% indicating frequent high-scoring games. The average of 3 goals in their last 10 meetings supports expectations of multiple goals and likely BTTS, driven by open play and offensive focus.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 65% · edge +5.2 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Molde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Molde to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Brann to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
The Over 2.5 Goals market aligns well with the model's 70.6% probability, reflecting the attacking strengths of both teams. While no explicit are available, the statistical backing from recent form and player contributions suggests this market is a solid choice without significant price sensitivity.

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Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Molde5
Avg corners for
Brann6.33
Molde10.75
Avg total corners
Brann10.33
Molde1.75
Avg yellow cards
Brann2
Molde14
Avg shots
Brann12
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 65% · edge +3.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Molde and Brann generate similar corner counts, around six per game, indicating balanced territorial play and set-piece opportunities. Shot volumes are healthy, with Molde averaging 15 shots and Brann 12.5, including strong shots on target rates, suggesting sustained pressure and chances. Card counts are moderate, pointing to a competitive but not overly aggressive match.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Molde

DWLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
11 Jul 2026A Aalesund2-2
30 May 2026H Sandefjord2-1
25 May 2026A Sarpsborg 08 FF1-2
16 May 2026H Kristiansund BK1-0
10 May 2026A Tromso0-2

Brann

WLLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
12 Jul 2026H Start2-1
29 May 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF1-2
24 May 2026A Bodo/Glimt1-3
20 May 2026A Aalesund1-2
16 May 2026H KFUM Oslo2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 74% · edge +2.7 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Molde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Molde to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Brann to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Brann Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Recent form data shows Brann with a perfect 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate and Molde at 60%, indicating both sides have been involved in high-scoring encounters. Molde's average goals for (1.2) and against (1.4) and Brann's (1.4 for, 1.8 against) reflect open games with defensive vulnerabilities, supporting the likelihood of multiple goals.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

9Molde wins
0Draws
1Brann wins
22 Nov 2025Molde v Brann4-0
29 May 2025Brann v Molde0-3
23 Nov 2024Molde v Brann2-1
26 May 2024Brann v Molde1-3
19 Mar 2024Molde v Brann1-0
21 Oct 2023Brann v Molde3-2
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 65% · edge +5.2 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Molde to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Brann to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 3 goals per game, supporting the expectation of a high-scoring encounter. While historical data is a useful reference, current attacking form and player contributions provide stronger signals for this match's goal potential.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eliteserien

Molde13
Played
Brann14
Molde1.6
Avg goals for
Brann2
Molde1.3
Avg goals against
Brann1.6
Molde3
Clean sheets
Brann1
Best odds for this sectionMolde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +7.7 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Molde to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Brann to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Brann Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Season-long statistics reveal Molde's balanced attack and defense, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, while Brann exhibits a more attack-heavy profile, scoring 1.4 but conceding 1.8 on average. These figures suggest a match prone to goal-scoring opportunities and defensive lapses, favoring Over 2.5 Goals.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Molde20136254
6Brann19146176
Molde sits fifth with 20 points, and Brann ninth with 16 points, reflecting competitive mid-table positions. While standings provide background, the focus remains on offensive and defensive trends rather than table pressure, as both teams seek to improve their positions through attacking performances.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Molde Over 2.5
100%Brann Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, Molde and Brann have averaged 3 goals per game, indicating a history of open, high-scoring matches. This trend, combined with recent attacking form, suggests a fast tempo and multiple goal-scoring chances, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals angle for this fixture.

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